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ROKU Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 275 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Roku, Inc. Class A Common Stock CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES (SIC 4841)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 28, 2017 🔗 www.roku.com
💰 Market Cap: $15.70B 👥 Employees: 3,340
Roku enables consumers to stream television programming. It has more than 90 million streaming households and provided 127 billion streaming hours in 2024. Roku is the top streaming operating system in the US, reaching more than half of broadband households, according to the company. Roku's OS is built into streaming devices and televisions that Roku sells and on connected televisions from other manufacturers that license Roku's name and software. Roku also operates the Roku Channel, a free, ad-supported streaming television platform that offers a mix of on-demand and live television programming. Roku generates revenue primarily from selling devices, licensing, and advertising, and it receives fees from subscription streaming platforms that sell subscriptions through Roku.
📊
275
Total Alerts
🎯
51.3%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.12%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+3.70%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.5%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +4.30%
Worst: -4.84%
Trades: 139/135

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.3%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.77%
Avg Loser: -1.63%
Best: +5.59%
Worst: -6.23%
Trades: 141/132

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.0%
Avg Gain: +0.24%
Avg Winner: +2.35%
Avg Loser: -1.71%
Best: +9.16%
Worst: -6.88%
Trades: 132/142

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.1%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +2.92%
Avg Loser: -2.11%
Best: +10.41%
Worst: -9.46%
Trades: 124/151

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.9%
Avg Gain: +0.49%
Avg Winner: +3.85%
Avg Loser: -3.00%
Best: +20.57%
Worst: -8.53%
Trades: 140/135

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.70%
Best MFE: +21.29%
Avg Time to MFE: 135 min

On average, ROKU alerts reach +3.70% profit potential within 135 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.25%
Worst MAE: -6.65%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.25%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.96:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.96x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 275 alerts, ROKU typically reaches +3.70% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 275
Gap Up % 43.3%
Avg Gap -0.05%
Best Gap +2.27%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES

How ROKU compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ROKU: +0.10% Sector: +0.08% +0.02%
EOD Gain
ROKU: +0.49% Sector: +0.22% +0.27%
Avg MFE
ROKU: +3.70% Sector: +2.68% +1.02%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ROKU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:12 $100.38 +3.35% -1.13% -2.17% -1.62% -1.30% +4.56% -0.33% +0.41% WIN
2025-02-04 09:29:52 $79.0 +2.82% +3.53% +3.99% +2.41% +1.47% +4.68% -0.16% +0.10% WIN
2024-12-04 09:26:09 $79.7 +0.95% +1.23% +0.90% +3.85% +4.07% +7.84% -0.68% +0.59% WIN
2024-11-20 09:29:10 $67.93 +0.27% +0.27% +1.40% +1.22% +1.15% +2.83% -1.19% +0.09% WIN
2024-10-31 09:25:44 $67.87 -1.08% -5.84% -5.99% -8.80% -5.58% +1.30% -0.80% +0.19% LOSS
2024-09-12 09:28:09 $74.84 -0.13% -1.40% -1.06% -1.23% -0.95% +0.57% -2.58% -0.25% LOSS
2024-09-05 09:28:50 $66.9 -1.29% +0.04% +1.38% +0.88% -0.30% +2.24% -2.26% -0.07% LOSS
2024-08-23 09:29:08 $64.38 +2.17% +4.69% +3.39% +5.89% +7.40% +9.60% -0.59% +0.02% WIN
2024-08-05 09:25:58 $49.82 -0.80% -2.56% -0.33% -1.10% +3.71% +6.30% -2.99% +0.06% LOSS
2024-08-02 09:25:07 $55.89 +2.62% +2.36% -2.38% -3.02% -4.92% +3.74% +0.16% +1.81% WIN
2024-05-02 09:27:45 $59.5 -0.66% -1.04% -1.46% -1.46% +0.75% +0.82% -2.45% -0.42% LOSS
2024-04-30 09:27:47 $60.2 -0.94% +0.21% -0.61% -0.08% -4.22% +2.09% -1.66% -0.13% LOSS
2024-04-29 09:26:50 $56.95 +1.32% +3.18% +3.35% +3.24% +3.00% +5.16% -0.11% +0.40% WIN
2024-04-26 09:27:34 $60.3 -4.84% -5.04% -4.43% -6.04% -6.55% +1.13% +0.32% +0.71% LOSS
2024-04-25 09:28:47 $60.0 +0.50% +1.00% +0.40% +1.80% +4.68% +5.35% -0.56% -0.12% WIN
2024-04-24 09:29:55 $61.85 +0.42% +0.15% +0.27% -0.56% -0.03% +0.95% -0.97% -0.23% WIN
2024-04-23 09:28:14 $59.26 +2.26% +2.39% +4.60% +3.97% +4.18% +5.37% -0.61% -0.44% WIN
2024-04-12 09:29:58 $60.74 +0.63% +0.42% -0.91% +0.00% -1.38% +1.17% -0.46% - WIN
2024-04-10 09:25:11 $61.0 -0.59% +0.03% -0.24% +0.11% +0.23% +0.92% -1.44% -0.75% LOSS
2024-04-05 09:26:18 $59.9 -0.02% +0.70% -0.07% -1.37% -0.12% +1.17% -0.83% +0.02% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 51.3% Baseline on ROKU

The 51.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ROKU's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ROKU Strategy →

Why Analyze ROKU with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ROKU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ROKU historically offers an average upside of +3.70% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ROKU Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.3%, ROKU shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ROKU performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.12%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.