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CNH Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-07-01 → 2025-02-04

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 30, 2013 🔗 www.cnh.com
💰 Market Cap: $13.56B 👥 Employees: 35,850
CNH Industrial is the world's second largest manufacturer of agricultural machinery (82% of industrial net sales) as well as a major player in construction equipment (18% of industrial net sales). Its Case and New Holland brands have served farmers for generations. Geographically, agriculture sales are 40% North America, 32% Europe, Middle East, and Africa, 18% South America, and 10% Asia-Pacific. CNH's products are available through a robust independent dealer network, which includes over 2,600 dealer and distribution locations and reach into 164 countries. The construction business leverages over 400 dealers. The company's captive finance arm provides retail financing to its customers as well as wholesale financing for dealers to maintain inventory, which supports sales.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
77.8%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.95%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.35%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.94%
Avg Winner: +1.63%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +4.25%
Worst: -1.05%
Trades: 6/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +1.15%
Avg Winner: +1.87%
Avg Loser: -0.29%
Best: +5.40%
Worst: -0.37%
Trades: 6/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.58%
Avg Winner: +2.43%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +6.26%
Worst: -2.60%
Trades: 4/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.60%
Avg Winner: +2.09%
Avg Loser: -0.59%
Best: +4.87%
Worst: -1.09%
Trades: 4/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 77.8%
Avg Gain: +0.95%
Avg Winner: +1.70%
Avg Loser: -1.68%
Best: +4.09%
Worst: -2.89%
Trades: 7/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.35%
Best MFE: +7.03%
Avg Time to MFE: 110 min

On average, CNH alerts reach +2.35% profit potential within 110 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.68%
Worst MAE: -2.64%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.68%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.48:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.48x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, CNH typically reaches +2.35% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.31%
Best Gap +1.68%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY & EQUIP

How CNH compares to 2 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CNH: +0.94% Sector: +0.20% +0.74%
EOD Gain
CNH: +0.95% Sector: +0.36% +0.59%
Avg MFE
CNH: +2.35% Sector: +1.75% +0.61%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CNH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-04 09:27:08 $12.23 +4.25% +5.40% +6.26% +4.87% +4.09% +7.03% +0.08% +1.68% WIN
2025-01-28 09:29:55 $13.05 +1.88% +1.69% +1.57% +0.73% +0.84% +2.07% +0.23% +0.23% WIN
2024-11-14 09:27:37 $10.71 -0.28% -0.37% -0.75% -0.51% -0.47% +0.37% -1.68% -0.47% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:25:02 $10.59 -1.05% -0.14% -2.60% -0.33% +0.66% +0.66% -2.64% +0.09% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:29:10 $11.49 +0.61% +0.09% +0.17% +0.87% +0.78% +2.00% +0.44% +0.70% WIN
2024-09-24 09:29:54 $11.15 +1.81% +1.30% -0.27% -0.13% +0.90% +2.20% -0.36% -0.09% WIN
2024-07-31 09:26:42 $10.55 +0.05% +0.85% -0.47% -0.90% +0.95% +2.18% -1.90% +0.47% WIN
2024-07-30 09:28:16 $9.81 +1.17% +1.89% +1.73% +1.89% +3.67% +3.87% - +0.41% WIN
2024-07-01 09:29:17 $10.05 - -0.35% -0.45% -1.09% -2.89% +0.80% -0.25% -0.25% -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 77.8% Baseline on CNH

The 77.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CNH's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CNH Strategy →

Why Analyze CNH with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CNH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CNH historically offers an average upside of +2.35% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CNH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 77.8%, CNH shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CNH performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.95%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.