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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$DFNS

Trade-Ideas alerts 32.9% at EOD n=85 2026-02-09 → 2026-09-11

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 85 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 25, 2014 🔗 www.t3dfns.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.4M 👥 Employees: 18
T3 Defense Inc is a holding company that acquires and operates mission-critical defense businesses involved in national security programs. The company operates as a strategic platform, building a portfolio of mission-critical suppliers and technology companies. Its portfolio includes businesses involved in defense and aerospace technologies, such as AI software, unmanned aerial systems, electro-mechanical manufacturing, and motion control systems, as well as activities in technology distribution, licensing, and defense infrastructure development through joint ventures.
Total alerts
85
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
32.9%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-3.03%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+8.89%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading DFNS on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 31.8%
Avg Gain: -1.31%
Avg Winner: +1.51%
Avg Loser: -2.82%
Best: +9.31%
Worst: -8.19%
Trades: 27/54

15MIN

Win Rate: 27.7%
Avg Gain: -1.88%
Avg Winner: +4.55%
Avg Loser: -4.50%
Best: +33.56%
Worst: -21.67%
Trades: 23/58

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.9%
Avg Gain: -3.18%
Avg Winner: +5.79%
Avg Loser: -6.32%
Best: +60.96%
Worst: -51.30%
Trades: 22/63

60MIN

Win Rate: 21.4%
Avg Gain: -3.54%
Avg Winner: +5.95%
Avg Loser: -6.13%
Best: +43.78%
Worst: -42.68%
Trades: 18/66

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 32.9%
Avg Gain: -3.03%
Avg Winner: +10.14%
Avg Loser: -9.50%
Best: +86.61%
Worst: -37.45%
Trades: 28/57

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.89%
Best MFE: +127.78%
Avg Time to MFE: 90 min

On average, DFNS alerts reach +8.89% profit potential within 90 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.45%
Worst MAE: -40.34%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.45%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.0:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.0x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 85 alerts, DFNS typically reaches +8.89% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 85
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap -0.20%
Best Gap +4.89%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES

How DFNS compares to 18 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DFNS: -1.25% Sector: -0.63% -0.62%
EOD Gain
DFNS: -2.83% Sector: +143.41% -146.24%
Avg MFE
DFNS: +8.96% Sector: +9.62% -0.66%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DFNS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $9.5 +1.58% +4.92% +3.68% +1.95% +0.95% +5.68% +0.00% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $10.22 +0.17% +1.27% -4.11% -2.20% -3.72% +6.65% -3.62% -0.39% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $9.53 -0.84% -1.47% -1.57% -0.31% +7.45% +8.08% -5.46% -3.04% LOSS
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $10.82 -2.22% -9.80% -6.28% -6.19% -6.84% +0.28% -1.66% -0.65% LOSS
2026-08-31 09:25:00 $12.05 +0.04% +2.90% -0.04% -1.73% -1.91% +4.56% -0.66% -0.41% WIN
2026-08-28 09:25:00 $12.46 -2.25% -2.09% -0.97% -1.69% -2.17% +1.20% -0.80% -0.96% LOSS
2026-08-27 09:25:00 $11.88 -3.96% -0.42% -0.51% +9.26% +6.99% +19.53% -4.46% -1.43% LOSS
2026-08-26 09:25:00 $12.2 -4.51% -1.39% -2.99% -3.89% -2.66% +3.29% -5.74% -0.33% LOSS
2026-08-25 09:25:00 $15.88 -0.69% -7.29% -15.46% -15.55% -17.88% +5.98% -2.52% +2.68% LOSS
2026-08-06 09:25:00 $45.77 -5.62% -8.63% -7.52% -6.77% +0.50% +3.65% -5.62% +0.31% LOSS
2026-08-05 09:25:00 $56.31 +1.58% +10.55% +9.04% -3.75% -18.47% +13.48% -0.02% +0.16% WIN
2026-08-04 09:25:00 $53.91 -1.28% +3.00% +0.13% -3.13% -12.15% +10.02% -4.92% -1.98% LOSS
2026-08-03 09:25:00 $41.6 +1.47% +17.15% +20.19% +10.10% +47.84% +70.14% -3.54% +0.75% WIN
2026-07-31 09:25:00 $38.08 -3.20% - -34.20% +1.39% -27.31% +7.67% -40.34% -2.84% LOSS
2026-07-30 09:25:00 $84.76 -7.28% - -15.58% -12.37% +0.26% +7.36% -29.51% -0.83% LOSS
2026-07-29 09:25:00 $39.31 +9.31% -9.70% -14.17% -18.44% +27.75% +56.14% -21.93% -0.20% WIN
2026-07-28 09:25:00 $20.17 +6.97% +33.56% +60.96% +43.78% +18.99% +81.90% -0.84% +1.49% WIN
2026-07-27 09:25:00 $7.02 -7.98% -2.94% -9.62% -3.28% +86.61% +127.78% -12.96% -0.85% LOSS
2026-07-22 09:25:00 $6.5 -7.38% -5.00% -8.15% -9.23% -27.69% +1.23% -9.21% +1.23% LOSS
2026-07-17 09:25:00 $0.07 -8.19% -21.67% -20.92% -29.86% -37.45% +2.90% -3.20% -2.61% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ DFNS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 32.9% win rate and -3.03% average gain, DFNS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider DFNS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze DFNS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DFNS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DFNS historically offers an average upside of +8.89% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DFNS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 32.9%, DFNS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests DFNS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: DFNS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -3.03%). This suggests DFNS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.