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CTM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 64 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-14 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (64 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Jun 03, 2011 🔗 www.castellumus.com
💰 Market Cap: $93.7M 👥 Employees: 238
Castellum Inc is engaged in providing information technology services. The company provides financial services, healthcare, and other users of large data applications with services that include intelligence analysis, software development, software engineering, program management, strategic and mission planning, information assurance, cybersecurity and policy support, data analytics, and MBSE. In addition to constantly innovating and enhancing organic capabilities, Castellum is acquiring technology companies in the areas of cybersecurity, information technology, electronic warfare, information warfare, and information operations with businesses in the defense, federal, civilian, and commercial markets.
📊
64
Total Alerts
🎯
39.1%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.69%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+12.12%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 35.9%
Avg Gain: -1.26%
Avg Winner: +2.81%
Avg Loser: -3.64%
Best: +11.01%
Worst: -11.27%
Trades: 23/40

15MIN

Win Rate: 30.2%
Avg Gain: -2.26%
Avg Winner: +3.66%
Avg Loser: -5.04%
Best: +8.97%
Worst: -20.01%
Trades: 19/42

30MIN

Win Rate: 36.5%
Avg Gain: -2.54%
Avg Winner: +3.37%
Avg Loser: -5.94%
Best: +9.52%
Worst: -17.07%
Trades: 23/40

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -2.51%
Avg Winner: +6.06%
Avg Loser: -6.80%
Best: +16.60%
Worst: -24.65%
Trades: 21/42

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 39.1%
Avg Gain: +0.69%
Avg Winner: +13.69%
Avg Loser: -7.64%
Best: +68.40%
Worst: -25.00%
Trades: 25/39

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +12.12%
Best MFE: +108.66%
Avg Time to MFE: 116 min

On average, CTM alerts reach +12.12% profit potential within 116 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.65%
Worst MAE: -31.20%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.65%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.15:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.15x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 64 alerts, CTM typically reaches +12.12% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 64
Gap Up % 35.9%
Avg Gap -0.10%
Best Gap +14.07%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES

How CTM compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CTM: -1.20% Sector: -0.52% -0.68%
EOD Gain
CTM: +0.76% Sector: +302.11% -301.34%
Avg MFE
CTM: +12.38% Sector: +13.65% -1.27%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CTM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:30 $1.07 +2.79% -0.61% +0.93% +2.80% -1.87% +2.80% -0.93% -0.93% WIN
2025-02-13 09:26:02 $1.08 +1.84% +6.48% +0.93% +5.58% +4.63% +11.11% -0.93% - WIN
2025-02-12 09:26:40 $0.94 +2.35% +3.05% +6.23% +8.41% +13.67% +14.73% -0.23% +3.10% WIN
2025-02-11 09:27:16 $0.98 +0.03% -1.00% +4.61% +6.15% +4.10% +8.19% -6.10% +2.06% WIN
2025-02-10 09:26:50 $1.12 -11.27% -5.39% -2.68% -8.04% -7.14% +3.12% -0.89% - LOSS
2025-02-07 09:26:07 $1.15 -1.04% +6.09% +3.03% +12.29% -9.57% +17.39% -6.96% -0.87% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:25:36 $0.86 +5.01% +2.36% -4.99% -3.71% +16.18% +22.24% -6.53% -2.18% WIN
2025-02-04 09:28:29 $0.67 -0.30% -2.60% -2.44% -6.77% -2.23% +2.55% -2.60% -2.60% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:27:02 $0.64 -2.36% +0.38% +4.60% +1.61% +3.02% +7.60% -3.00% +0.69% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:27:37 $0.71 -1.42% -3.18% -3.74% +5.16% -2.65% +8.47% -5.55% -1.39% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:12 $0.76 -0.46% +3.03% +3.32% -2.63% -6.99% +5.26% -3.75% -3.75% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:27:09 $0.76 +0.41% -3.10% -4.90% -3.10% -4.07% +1.72% -1.88% -1.88% WIN
2025-01-28 09:25:07 $0.83 +0.59% -2.90% -2.67% -7.18% -7.28% +1.47% -1.22% +0.43% WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:13 $0.86 -3.45% -1.23% +2.31% +5.14% -1.90% +6.97% -7.01% -2.31% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:25:47 $0.93 -0.28% +0.78% +2.01% +0.80% -2.92% +6.61% -2.41% -2.41% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:29:58 $1.04 -2.42% -2.88% -3.59% -9.13% -10.58% +1.92% -1.92% +1.92% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:25:03 $1.04 -0.96% -2.88% -2.06% -3.27% +2.88% +2.88% -5.77% -1.92% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:28:27 $1.17 -2.56% -8.12% -10.28% -8.12% -6.84% -0.28% -4.27% -1.71% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:27:06 $1.12 -4.46% -0.45% +1.79% +7.59% -0.89% +15.18% -5.36% -0.89% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:27:44 $1.0 +1.98% +8.00% +7.00% +3.50% +10.00% +19.00% -3.55% -2.00% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 39.1% Baseline on CTM

The 39.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CTM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CTM Strategy →

Why Analyze CTM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CTM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CTM historically offers an average upside of +12.12% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CTM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 39.1%, CTM shows choppy price action, requiring strict filters or quick profit-taking.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CTM performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.69%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.