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Ticker Report — Historical Last signal ·

$EFC

Trade-Ideas alerts 80.0% at EOD n=5 2026-01-27 → 2026-05-29

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 5 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Ellington Financial Inc. Common Stock REAL ESTATE (SIC 6500)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 08, 2010 🔗 www.ellingtonfinancial.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.49B 👥 Employees: 500
Ellington Financial Inc is a specialty finance company. Its primary investment objective is to generate attractive, risk-adjusted total returns for its shareholders by making investments. The company has two reportable segments; The Investment Portfolio Segment is focused on investing in a diverse array of financial assets, including residential and commercial mortgage loans, residential mortgage-backed securities, non-mortgage- and mortgage-related derivatives, debt and equity investments in loan origination companies, and other strategic investments, and The Longbridge Segment is focused on the origination and servicing of reverse mortgage loans. It acquires reverse mortgage loans both through its origination activities and through secondary market purchases.
Total alerts
5
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
80.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+0.39%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.95%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading EFC on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -0.24%
Best: +0.70%
Worst: -0.30%
Trades: 3/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.66%
Avg Loser: -0.76%
Best: +1.18%
Worst: -0.91%
Trades: 3/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: +0.66%
Worst: -1.35%
Trades: 3/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +0.82%
Worst: -0.93%
Trades: 3/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +0.39%
Avg Winner: +0.54%
Avg Loser: -0.22%
Best: +1.04%
Worst: -0.22%
Trades: 4/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.95%
Best MFE: +1.56%
Avg Time to MFE: 150 min

On average, EFC alerts reach +0.95% profit potential within 150 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.46%
Worst MAE: -1.48%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.46%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.08:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.08x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, EFC typically reaches +0.95% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 60.0%
Avg Gap +0.10%
Best Gap +0.29%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE

How EFC compares to 19 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
EFC: +0.22% Sector: -0.31% +0.53%
EOD Gain
EFC: +0.39% Sector: +313.09% -312.71%
Avg MFE
EFC: +0.95% Sector: +6.71% -5.76%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical EFC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-05-29 09:25:00 $13.43 -0.19% +0.37% +0.53% +0.82% +1.04% +1.56% -0.72% +0.22% LOSS
2026-05-27 09:25:00 $13.56 +0.66% +1.18% +0.66% +0.48% +0.29% +1.25% +0.00% +0.29% WIN
2026-04-27 09:25:00 $13.21 +0.23% +0.42% +0.38% +0.27% +0.38% +0.83% -0.00% +0.00% WIN
2026-03-23 09:25:00 $11.48 +0.70% -0.91% -1.35% -0.78% +0.44% +0.78% -1.48% +0.17% WIN
2026-01-27 09:25:00 $13.4 -0.30% -0.60% -0.22% -0.93% -0.22% +0.31% -0.07% -0.19% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 80.0% Baseline on EFC

The 80.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push EFC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize EFC Strategy →

Why Analyze EFC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EFC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, EFC historically offers an average upside of +0.95% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 EFC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 80.0%, EFC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show EFC performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.39%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.