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AIRE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 22 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-11-06 → 2025-01-17

⚠️ Small sample size (22 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

reAlpha Tech Corp. Common Stock REAL ESTATE (SIC 6500)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 23, 2023 🔗 www.realpha.com
💰 Market Cap: $55.8M 👥 Employees: 132
ReAlpha Tech Corp is a real estate technology company. The group is engaged in an end-to-end commission-free homebuying platform. It develops and utilizes its artificial intelligence-focused technology stack to empower retail investor participation in short-term rental properties, which are real estate units listed for a rental term. It provides short-term rental investment opportunities to everyday investors. The company has developed technologies and tools that allow for the analysis of short-term rental properties using AI to provide insight into that property's potential profitability and ways to increase such profitability. The company's reportable segments are; Platform Services and the Rental business segment.
📊
22
Total Alerts
🎯
45.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.72%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+16.79%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 31.8%
Avg Gain: -1.57%
Avg Winner: +2.91%
Avg Loser: -3.66%
Best: +8.86%
Worst: -9.83%
Trades: 7/15

15MIN

Win Rate: 31.8%
Avg Gain: -3.41%
Avg Winner: +3.33%
Avg Loser: -6.55%
Best: +7.29%
Worst: -17.56%
Trades: 7/15

30MIN

Win Rate: 27.3%
Avg Gain: -4.77%
Avg Winner: +3.61%
Avg Loser: -7.92%
Best: +5.63%
Worst: -14.02%
Trades: 6/16

60MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -4.62%
Avg Winner: +5.95%
Avg Loser: -9.48%
Best: +9.53%
Worst: -18.45%
Trades: 6/14

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: +0.72%
Avg Winner: +16.71%
Avg Loser: -12.60%
Best: +86.46%
Worst: -23.22%
Trades: 10/12

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +16.79%
Best MFE: +133.85%
Avg Time to MFE: 102 min

On average, AIRE alerts reach +16.79% profit potential within 102 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -6.16%
Worst MAE: -38.04%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 6.16%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.72:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.72x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 22 alerts, AIRE typically reaches +16.79% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 13.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 22
Gap Up % 40.9%
Avg Gap -1.17%
Best Gap +5.19%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE

How AIRE compares to 14 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AIRE: -1.47% Sector: -0.30% -1.17%
EOD Gain
AIRE: +0.41% Sector: +499.57% -499.17%
Avg MFE
AIRE: +16.01% Sector: +8.13% +7.88%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AIRE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-17 09:26:25 $2.11 -9.83% -17.56% -13.74% -18.45% -23.22% +1.90% -3.32% -2.84% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:27:08 $2.12 +1.88% -3.77% -1.89% -8.49% -2.36% +6.60% +0.47% +5.19% WIN
2025-01-06 09:28:21 $2.13 +1.88% +5.40% +5.63% +5.17% +3.29% +7.51% +0.47% +1.41% WIN
2025-01-03 09:25:00 $2.36 -0.81% -4.66% -7.20% -7.63% -3.81% - -0.42% -0.42% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:29:25 $2.78 -4.67% -11.48% -13.20% -12.56% -14.03% -1.08% -3.42% -1.08% LOSS
2024-12-31 09:27:47 $2.35 -2.13% -6.81% -5.93% -2.44% +22.98% +20.85% -10.64% - LOSS
2024-12-30 09:25:06 $2.36 -1.27% +0.43% +3.39% +9.53% +5.51% +19.49% -2.54% -2.12% LOSS
2024-12-27 09:27:18 $3.21 -1.86% -5.61% -14.02% -17.45% -20.87% +2.49% -3.43% +1.25% LOSS
2024-12-26 09:28:46 $1.92 +8.86% +7.29% -2.03% -0.52% +86.46% +133.85% -8.59% - WIN
2024-12-24 09:28:28 $1.3 -3.85% +3.08% +4.58% +7.69% +5.38% +13.08% -3.85% +0.77% LOSS
2024-11-12 09:29:19 $0.98 +2.04% +1.02% +1.50% +0.28% +8.16% +12.24% -6.12% -1.02% WIN
2023-12-18 09:26:00 $2.45 -6.94% -5.71% -8.57% -7.35% -6.12% +0.41% -7.76% +0.41% LOSS
2023-12-01 09:25:00 $3.09 +0.80% +5.18% +2.90% +3.56% +10.03% +9.71% - +0.32% WIN
2023-11-30 09:26:00 $3.7 -0.81% -4.86% -6.24% -7.71% -7.84% +1.35% -4.05% -2.97% LOSS
2023-11-22 09:25:00 $4.33 +2.49% +0.92% -3.23% -6.00% -8.78% +3.46% -0.46% +1.39% WIN
2023-11-21 09:25:00 $4.55 -8.57% -9.45% -10.55% -9.01% -3.08% +26.59% -13.63% -9.89% LOSS
2023-11-17 09:26:00 $11.76 -0.60% -4.68% -6.55% -12.07% -20.15% +1.61% -2.21% - LOSS
2023-11-16 09:27:00 $11.95 -2.76% -4.10% +3.68% - +1.26% +33.05% -8.45% -2.59% LOSS
2023-11-15 09:27:00 $10.46 -0.19% -0.10% -3.25% +9.46% +16.63% +32.31% -7.07% -5.35% LOSS
2023-11-14 09:25:00 $11.17 -3.71% -3.67% -13.34% - +7.43% +33.21% -38.04% +0.27% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 45.5% Baseline on AIRE

The 45.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AIRE's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AIRE Strategy →

Why Analyze AIRE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AIRE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AIRE historically offers an average upside of +16.79% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AIRE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.5%, AIRE shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AIRE performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.72%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.