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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$FRVO

Trade-Ideas alerts 45.5% at 5-min n=11 2026-05-14 → 2026-10-01

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 11 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Fervo Energy Company Class A common stock ELECTRIC SERVICES (SIC 4911)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 13, 2026 🔗 www.fervoenergy.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.26B
Fervo Energy Co operates as a geothermal energy developer that builds, owns, and operates geothermal power facilities. Its innovations include technologies such as computational models, horizontal drilling, and distributed fiber optic sensing. The company's revenue is derived mainly from the sale of electricity from geothermal resources, facilitated through long-term PPAs with utilities and other entities.
Total alerts
11
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
45.5%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-1.14%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+5.67%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading FRVO on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -1.14%
Avg Winner: +1.12%
Avg Loser: -3.02%
Best: +3.52%
Worst: -5.29%
Trades: 5/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -0.48%
Avg Winner: +2.85%
Avg Loser: -2.38%
Best: +5.19%
Worst: -4.86%
Trades: 4/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -1.03%
Avg Winner: +5.16%
Avg Loser: -4.57%
Best: +9.06%
Worst: -7.16%
Trades: 4/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -1.38%
Avg Winner: +4.95%
Avg Loser: -6.65%
Best: +15.16%
Worst: -10.39%
Trades: 5/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -0.99%
Avg Winner: +10.42%
Avg Loser: -7.51%
Best: +19.26%
Worst: -15.20%
Trades: 4/7

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.67%
Best MFE: +21.20%
Avg Time to MFE: 104 min

On average, FRVO alerts reach +5.67% profit potential within 104 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.83%
Worst MAE: -6.12%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.83%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.09:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.09x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 11 alerts, FRVO typically reaches +5.67% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 11
Gap Up % 9.1%
Avg Gap -0.75%
Best Gap +0.23%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRIC SERVICES

How FRVO compares to 43 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FRVO: -1.14% Sector: -0.25% -0.88%
EOD Gain
FRVO: -0.99% Sector: -0.48% -0.51%
Avg MFE
FRVO: +5.67% Sector: +3.65% +2.02%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FRVO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $13.85 -0.07% -1.48% -1.41% -1.26% +4.40% +5.45% -2.31% -0.76% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $15.14 -0.53% -2.25% -2.18% -5.35% -6.84% +1.19% -0.66% +0.23% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $17.9 -2.54% -4.86% -7.16% -10.39% -15.20% +0.06% -0.34% -1.76% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $18.51 -5.13% -0.73% -6.92% -7.50% -9.72% +0.17% -5.94% -0.11% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $17.3 +0.30% +3.39% +5.50% +2.64% +4.98% +7.40% -1.15% -0.17% WIN
2026-09-02 09:25:00 $18.95 -5.29% -3.14% -6.32% -7.02% -5.12% +0.11% +0.00% -2.89% LOSS
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $16.56 +3.52% +5.19% +9.06% +15.16% +19.26% +21.20% -0.72% -0.54% WIN
2026-08-17 09:25:00 $19.58 -4.55% -2.22% -5.80% -8.35% -7.56% +1.12% +0.92% -0.46% LOSS
2026-08-13 09:25:00 $20.99 +1.17% +2.12% -2.24% +1.91% -3.19% +3.43% -2.57% -1.33% WIN
2026-06-22 09:25:00 $38.25 +0.55% -1.96% +4.00% +3.78% -4.94% +8.29% -6.12% -0.29% WIN
2026-05-14 09:25:00 $35.95 +0.04% +0.68% +2.09% +1.25% +13.02% +13.95% -1.28% -0.21% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ FRVO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.5% win rate and -1.14% average gain, FRVO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider FRVO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze FRVO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FRVO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FRVO historically offers an average upside of +5.67% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FRVO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.5%, FRVO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests FRVO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: FRVO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.14%). This suggests FRVO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.