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IBN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 44 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-01-07

⚠️ Small sample size (44 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

ICICI Bank Limited
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 28, 2000 🔗 www.icicibank.com
💰 Market Cap: $104.42B 👥 Employees: 185,266
ICICI Bank Ltd provides banking services. The company's operating segments include Retail Banking; Wholesale Banking; Treasury, Life insurance, Other Banking Business, and Others. The company generates maximum revenue from the Retail Banking segment which includes exposures of the Bank, which satisfy the four qualifying criteria of a regulatory retail portfolio as stipulated by RBI guidelines on the Basel III framework as well as includes income from credit cards, debit cards, third party product distribution, and the associated costs. Geographical segments include Domestic operations and Foreign operations. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the domestic operations.
📊
44
Total Alerts
🎯
51.2%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.03%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+0.88%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.36%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +1.05%
Worst: -2.20%
Trades: 21/20

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.2%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.39%
Avg Loser: -0.46%
Best: +1.30%
Worst: -2.77%
Trades: 22/21

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.5%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.66%
Avg Loser: -0.52%
Best: +3.08%
Worst: -2.73%
Trades: 20/22

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.2%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.85%
Avg Loser: -0.62%
Best: +2.84%
Worst: -2.68%
Trades: 19/24

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.01%
Avg Loser: -0.82%
Best: +2.79%
Worst: -3.47%
Trades: 20/23

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.88%
Best MFE: +3.65%
Avg Time to MFE: 123 min

On average, IBN alerts reach +0.88% profit potential within 123 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.30%
Worst MAE: -1.53%
Avg Time to MAE: 26 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.30%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.93:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.93x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 44 alerts, IBN typically reaches +0.88% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 44
Gap Up % 43.2%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +0.68%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical IBN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-07 09:26:15 $29.73 +0.24% +0.50% +0.56% +0.27% -0.24% +0.57% +0.15% +0.17% WIN
2024-11-27 09:26:32 $30.97 -0.31% -0.10% -0.13% -0.02% -0.32% +0.19% -0.37% +0.03% LOSS
2024-10-29 09:27:24 $31.58 -0.89% -0.98% -0.85% -1.04% -1.04% +0.06% -0.79% -0.06% LOSS
2024-10-28 09:27:12 $30.55 +1.05% +0.88% +1.16% +1.91% +1.96% +2.13% +0.07% +0.43% WIN
2024-10-22 09:26:52 $29.78 +0.15% +0.03% -0.08% -0.17% +0.27% +0.30% -0.20% - WIN
2024-10-18 09:28:14 $29.64 +0.24% +0.10% -0.08% -0.12% -0.14% +0.47% +0.14% +0.24% WIN
2024-10-03 09:25:07 $29.56 -0.17% -0.24% -0.19% -0.24% -0.88% +0.14% -0.34% -0.34% LOSS
2024-09-11 09:26:29 $29.07 -0.07% -0.29% -0.28% -0.29% +0.41% +0.64% -0.45% -0.14% LOSS
2024-08-27 09:26:06 $28.9 -0.03% -0.03% -0.03% +0.02% +0.35% +0.57% -0.14% -0.03% LOSS
2024-07-22 09:25:15 $29.35 +0.61% +0.17% -0.10% -0.12% +0.03% +0.75% +0.61% +0.68% WIN
2024-06-14 09:28:01 $26.02 -0.12% +0.27% +0.29% +0.38% +0.92% +1.08% -0.23% -0.08% LOSS
2024-06-04 09:27:49 $26.01 -2.20% -2.77% -2.73% -2.25% -0.92% +0.69% - +0.19% LOSS
2024-05-02 09:28:52 $27.55 +0.25% +0.15% +0.18% +0.49% +0.07% +0.54% -0.16% - WIN
2024-03-22 09:28:14 $25.99 +0.19% +0.19% +0.08% -0.04% +0.04% +0.33% +0.12% +0.27% WIN
2024-03-18 09:27:54 $26.01 -0.40% -0.46% -0.52% -0.44% -0.23% +0.06% -0.63% -0.08% LOSS
2024-02-01 00:00:00 $24.61 - - - - +1.95% +2.07% -0.85% -0.61% -
2023-12-06 09:26:00 $24.2 +0.66% +0.41% +0.08% +0.06% -0.83% +0.85% - +0.33% WIN
2023-11-29 09:29:00 $22.38 +0.07% +0.38% +0.54% +0.42% - +0.76% -0.31% +0.04% WIN
2023-11-28 09:29:00 $22.22 -0.20% -0.09% -0.27% -0.00% -0.18% +0.45% -0.27% - LOSS
2023-10-27 09:29:00 $22.1 -0.20% -0.09% +0.09% +0.14% -0.05% +0.32% -0.34% +0.14% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ IBN Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.2% win rate, IBN has -0.03% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making IBN profitable.

🔧 Fix IBN Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze IBN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for IBN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, IBN historically offers an average upside of +0.88% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 IBN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.2%, IBN shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.46%) outweigh average wins (+0.39%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: IBN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.03%). This suggests IBN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.