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ITUB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 249 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-12

🏢 Company Profile

Itau Unibanco Holding S.A. American Depositary Shares
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 02, 2001 🔗 www.itau.com.br
💰 Market Cap: $92.51B 👥 Employees: 96,219
Itau Unibanco is the largest privately held bank in Brazil, the result of the 2008 merger between Banco Itau and Unibanco. In addition to Brazil, the bank has significant operations in Chile, Colombia, Argentina, Uruguay, and Paraguay. Itau's commercial and consumer loans account for 35% and 43% of the bank's total loans, respectively, while foreign loans account for 22% of its portfolio. The bank also operates the fifth-largest insurer in Brazil and is the second-largest asset manager in the country, giving it broad reach over the Brazilian financial system.
📊
249
Total Alerts
🎯
48.2%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.01%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.40%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.2%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.37%
Avg Loser: -0.33%
Best: +1.68%
Worst: -1.27%
Trades: 100/111

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.51%
Avg Loser: -0.53%
Best: +2.16%
Worst: -2.01%
Trades: 115/120

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.2%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.65%
Avg Loser: -0.63%
Best: +2.90%
Worst: -2.03%
Trades: 120/119

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.2%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +5.07%
Worst: -2.88%
Trades: 120/123

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 19.0%
Avg Gain: -5.30%
Avg Winner: +1.48%
Avg Loser: -7.13%
Best: +3.78%
Worst: -13.30%
Trades: 47/194

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.40%
Best MFE: +5.80%
Avg Time to MFE: 164 min

On average, ITUB alerts reach +1.40% profit potential within 164 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.61%
Worst MAE: -3.30%
Avg Time to MAE: 27 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.61%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.3:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.3x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 249 alerts, ITUB typically reaches +1.40% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 249
Gap Up % 30.9%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +0.86%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ITUB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:29:30 $5.94 +0.17% -0.25% -0.51% -2.10% -1.35% +0.34% - +0.17% WIN
2025-02-11 09:29:26 $6.04 -0.17% -0.74% -0.74% -0.91% -9.09% +0.17% -1.32% -0.33% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:28:01 $5.9 - - +0.34% +0.25% -8.63% +1.02% -0.17% - -
2025-02-06 09:26:41 $5.87 +0.60% +0.60% +0.02% -0.26% +1.53% +1.53% -0.51% - WIN
2025-02-05 09:29:18 $5.81 +0.33% +1.38% +1.20% +2.15% +2.07% +2.58% -0.09% - WIN
2025-01-28 09:27:21 $5.61 +0.09% +0.09% +0.36% +0.27% +1.43% +1.78% -0.36% -0.36% WIN
2025-01-16 09:25:38 $5.35 -0.18% -0.21% -0.09% - -0.75% +0.37% -0.37% - LOSS
2025-01-14 09:28:48 $5.02 +0.30% +0.80% +0.80% +0.90% +1.59% +1.99% +0.04% +0.40% WIN
2025-01-13 09:26:07 $5.03 +0.10% +0.80% +1.19% +1.19% +1.19% +1.79% -0.10% - WIN
2025-01-06 09:28:46 $4.98 +0.60% +0.50% +1.61% +1.71% -7.45% +2.61% - +0.20% WIN
2024-12-26 09:25:20 $4.95 - +0.30% +0.81% +0.71% +1.01% +1.62% -0.20% -0.20% -
2024-12-19 09:27:18 $5.08 +0.10% -0.16% +0.41% -0.49% -10.17% +0.79% -0.39% - WIN
2024-12-17 09:26:28 $5.15 +0.19% +0.29% - +0.39% +1.55% +2.91% -0.39% - WIN
2024-12-12 09:27:40 $5.51 -0.09% -0.16% -0.09% -0.73% -2.36% +0.18% -0.36% - LOSS
2024-12-10 09:27:40 $5.43 +0.46% +0.28% +0.92% +1.01% -7.92% +1.84% -0.18% -0.18% WIN
2024-12-02 09:27:27 $5.31 -0.75% -0.19% -0.28% -0.47% - +0.94% -1.13% - LOSS
2024-11-29 09:25:11 $5.33 -0.28% -0.84% +0.66% +0.95% +0.56% +2.25% -0.94% - LOSS
2024-11-14 09:26:39 $5.95 +0.17% +0.08% +0.08% +0.42% -9.70% +0.50% -0.34% +0.17% WIN
2024-11-13 09:29:43 $5.97 -0.17% -0.42% -0.25% -0.59% -0.67% +0.17% -0.17% - LOSS
2024-11-05 09:27:48 $6.22 +0.32% -0.08% -0.24% -0.16% -8.07% +2.73% -0.48% +0.16% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 48.2% Baseline on ITUB

The 48.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ITUB's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ITUB Strategy →

Why Analyze ITUB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ITUB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ITUB historically offers an average upside of +1.40% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ITUB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.2%, ITUB shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ITUB performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.01%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.