Latest signal:
XLF Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 658 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-13
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, XLF alerts reach +0.73% profit potential within 160 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.31%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.4x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 658 alerts, XLF typically reaches +0.73% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
How XLF compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical XLF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-13 | 09:29:28 | $51.47 | -0.25% | -0.04% | -0.07% | -0.08% | +0.45% | +0.58% | -0.37% | +0.06% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:27:31 | $51.14 | +0.14% | -0.07% | +0.19% | -0.07% | +0.43% | +0.47% | -0.43% | +0.27% | WIN |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:29:48 | $51.32 | -0.43% | -0.28% | -0.31% | -0.50% | +0.43% | +0.62% | -0.58% | +0.02% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:29:47 | $51.96 | -0.62% | -1.03% | -0.70% | -0.96% | -1.06% | +0.03% | -0.19% | -0.10% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:25:35 | $52.25 | -0.23% | -0.44% | -0.04% | -0.19% | -0.82% | +0.04% | -0.08% | -0.15% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:27:34 | $52.05 | -0.17% | -0.31% | -0.32% | -0.36% | +0.12% | +0.14% | -0.56% | -0.13% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:28:15 | $51.37 | -0.07% | +0.09% | -0.13% | +0.18% | +0.60% | +0.62% | -0.46% | -0.02% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:25:07 | $51.22 | +0.16% | -0.13% | -0.29% | -0.02% | -0.16% | +0.33% | -0.43% | +0.20% | WIN |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:26:00 | $50.63 | +0.46% | +0.16% | -0.14% | +0.43% | +1.24% | +1.51% | -0.43% | +0.24% | WIN |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:26:04 | $51.78 | -0.11% | +0.21% | - | +0.20% | -0.60% | +0.37% | -0.14% | +0.10% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:28:19 | $51.69 | +0.15% | +0.12% | +0.16% | +0.01% | +0.15% | +0.68% | -0.12% | +0.12% | WIN |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:29:53 | $51.22 | +0.13% | +0.50% | +0.76% | +0.82% | +0.12% | +1.02% | -0.10% | -0.08% | WIN |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:25:58 | $51.4 | -0.22% | - | -0.44% | -0.21% | -0.16% | +0.29% | -0.66% | -0.10% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:27:01 | $50.75 | -0.04% | -0.07% | +0.02% | +0.31% | +1.30% | +1.36% | -0.26% | +0.02% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-24 | 09:29:40 | $50.53 | +0.32% | +0.35% | +0.40% | +0.51% | +0.63% | +0.73% | -0.10% | - | WIN |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:29:37 | $50.54 | +0.23% | +0.38% | +0.40% | +0.02% | +0.32% | +0.49% | -0.12% | -0.10% | WIN |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:26:06 | $50.57 | -0.16% | -0.26% | -0.29% | -0.23% | -0.32% | +0.18% | -0.10% | +0.16% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:26:57 | $50.45 | -0.04% | +0.26% | +0.43% | +0.16% | +0.40% | +0.52% | -0.13% | -0.10% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:29:42 | $49.92 | -0.24% | +0.06% | +0.24% | +0.24% | +0.62% | +0.80% | -0.38% | -0.02% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-16 | 09:27:21 | $49.58 | -0.07% | +0.10% | +0.12% | +0.09% | +0.46% | +0.53% | -0.25% | -0.24% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ XLF Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 54.0% win rate, XLF has +0.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making XLF profitable.
🔧 Fix XLF Risk/Reward →Why Analyze XLF with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XLF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, XLF historically offers an average upside of +0.73% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 XLF Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 54.0%, XLF shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: XLF shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at +0.00%). This suggests XLF is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.