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Ticker Report β€” Active Last signal Β·

$XLF

Trade-Ideas alert history 658 alerts 2022-01-03 β†’ 2025-02-13

🏒 Company Profile

State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6022)
πŸ“ NYSE Arca πŸ“… IPO: Dec 16, 1998
Total alerts
658
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate Β· 60MIN
54.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain Β· 60MIN
+0.00%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.73%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading XLF on historical setups β€” browse all patterns across all tickers β†’

Playable XLF setups

Historical XLF setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.5%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.20%
Avg Loser: -0.21%
Best: +0.76%
Worst: -0.91%
Trades: 332/306

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.29%
Avg Loser: -0.34%
Best: +1.19%
Worst: -1.39%
Trades: 342/306

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.7%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.38%
Avg Loser: -0.40%
Best: +1.35%
Worst: -1.47%
Trades: 347/304

60MIN

Win Rate: 54.0%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: +1.98%
Worst: -2.03%
Trades: 355/293

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.6%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.71%
Avg Loser: -0.82%
Best: +6.23%
Worst: -3.59%
Trades: 346/303

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.73%
Best MFE: +6.50%
Avg Time to MFE: 160 min

On average, XLF alerts reach +0.73% profit potential within 160 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.31%
Worst MAE: -2.10%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.31%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.4:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.4x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 658 alerts, XLF typically reaches +0.73% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 658
Gap Up % 42.7%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +0.68%

🏭 Sector Comparison: STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS

How XLF compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
XLF: +0.00% Sector: -0.03% +0.03%
EOD Gain
XLF: -0.00% Sector: -0.04% +0.04%
Avg MFE
XLF: +0.73% Sector: +1.25% -0.52%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical XLF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:29:28 $51.47 -0.25% -0.04% -0.07% -0.08% +0.45% +0.58% -0.37% +0.06% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:27:31 $51.14 +0.14% -0.07% +0.19% -0.07% +0.43% +0.47% -0.43% +0.27% WIN
2025-02-11 09:29:48 $51.32 -0.43% -0.28% -0.31% -0.50% +0.43% +0.62% -0.58% +0.02% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:29:47 $51.96 -0.62% -1.03% -0.70% -0.96% -1.06% +0.03% -0.19% -0.10% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:25:35 $52.25 -0.23% -0.44% -0.04% -0.19% -0.82% +0.04% -0.08% -0.15% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:27:34 $52.05 -0.17% -0.31% -0.32% -0.36% +0.12% +0.14% -0.56% -0.13% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:28:15 $51.37 -0.07% +0.09% -0.13% +0.18% +0.60% +0.62% -0.46% -0.02% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:25:07 $51.22 +0.16% -0.13% -0.29% -0.02% -0.16% +0.33% -0.43% +0.20% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:00 $50.63 +0.46% +0.16% -0.14% +0.43% +1.24% +1.51% -0.43% +0.24% WIN
2025-01-31 09:26:04 $51.78 -0.11% +0.21% +0.00% +0.20% -0.60% +0.37% -0.14% +0.10% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:19 $51.69 +0.15% +0.12% +0.16% +0.01% +0.15% +0.68% -0.12% +0.12% WIN
2025-01-29 09:29:53 $51.22 +0.13% +0.50% +0.76% +0.82% +0.12% +1.02% -0.10% -0.08% WIN
2025-01-28 09:25:58 $51.4 -0.22% +0.00% -0.44% -0.21% -0.16% +0.29% -0.66% -0.10% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:01 $50.75 -0.04% -0.07% +0.02% +0.31% +1.30% +1.36% -0.26% +0.02% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:29:40 $50.53 +0.32% +0.35% +0.40% +0.51% +0.63% +0.73% -0.10% +0.00% WIN
2025-01-23 09:29:37 $50.54 +0.23% +0.38% +0.40% +0.02% +0.32% +0.49% -0.12% -0.10% WIN
2025-01-22 09:26:06 $50.57 -0.16% -0.26% -0.29% -0.23% -0.32% +0.18% -0.10% +0.16% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:26:57 $50.45 -0.04% +0.26% +0.43% +0.16% +0.40% +0.52% -0.13% -0.10% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:29:42 $49.92 -0.24% +0.06% +0.24% +0.24% +0.62% +0.80% -0.38% -0.02% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:27:21 $49.58 -0.07% +0.10% +0.12% +0.09% +0.46% +0.53% -0.25% -0.24% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ XLF Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 54.0% win rate, XLF has +0.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making XLF profitable.

πŸ”§ Fix XLF Risk / Reward β†’

Why Analyze XLF with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XLF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XLF historically offers an average upside of +0.73% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š XLF Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.0%, XLF shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: XLF shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at +0.00%). This suggests XLF is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.