FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

LULU Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 43 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-10 → 2024-12-23

⚠️ Small sample size (43 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 27, 2007 🔗 www.lululemon.com
💰 Market Cap: $22.41B 👥 Employees: 39,000
Lululemon Athletica designs, distributes, and markets athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories for women, men, and girls. The company offers pants, shorts, tops, and jackets for both leisure and athletic activities such as yoga and running. Lululemon also sells fitness accessories, such as bags, yoga mats, and equipment. It sells its products through digital channels, a small number of wholesale partners, more than 800 company-owned stores in about two dozen countries in North America, Asia, and Western Europe, and about more than 40 franchised locations in the Middle East and Europe. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
📊
43
Total Alerts
🎯
46.5%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.22%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.85%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.2%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +3.53%
Worst: -4.26%
Trades: 19/24

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.5%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +1.20%
Avg Loser: -1.45%
Best: +6.44%
Worst: -6.16%
Trades: 20/23

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.5%
Avg Gain: -0.24%
Avg Winner: +1.39%
Avg Loser: -1.66%
Best: +6.60%
Worst: -5.59%
Trades: 20/23

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.2%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +1.57%
Avg Loser: -1.64%
Best: +6.70%
Worst: -6.12%
Trades: 19/24

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.2%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +2.20%
Avg Loser: -1.99%
Best: +8.63%
Worst: -5.75%
Trades: 19/24

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.85%
Best MFE: +9.55%
Avg Time to MFE: 112 min

On average, LULU alerts reach +1.85% profit potential within 112 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.85%
Worst MAE: -2.96%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.85%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.18:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.18x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 43 alerts, LULU typically reaches +1.85% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 43
Gap Up % 44.2%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +1.17%

🏭 Sector Comparison: APPAREL & OTHER FINISHD PRODS OF FABRICS & SIMILAR MATL

How LULU compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LULU: -0.16% Sector: -0.22% +0.06%
EOD Gain
LULU: -0.14% Sector: +79.60% -79.74%
Avg MFE
LULU: +1.85% Sector: +3.31% -1.46%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LULU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-23 09:26:37 $378.99 +1.11% +2.13% +0.85% -0.22% +1.19% +2.48% +0.13% +0.24% WIN
2024-12-06 09:25:57 $378.05 +3.53% +6.44% +6.60% +5.31% +5.70% +8.37% -0.31% -0.28% WIN
2024-09-03 09:29:19 $259.25 -0.01% -1.97% -2.42% -1.79% -0.45% +0.97% -2.89% -0.38% LOSS
2024-08-30 09:29:03 $269.49 -4.26% -6.16% -4.32% -4.17% -3.72% +0.19% -0.87% -0.16% LOSS
2024-06-06 09:29:45 $337.0 -3.81% -6.03% -5.59% -6.12% -4.15% +0.23% -0.83% +0.00% LOSS
2024-05-22 09:29:46 $307.05 -0.75% -2.30% -2.33% -2.28% -2.42% +0.28% -2.13% -0.05% LOSS
2024-03-26 09:28:25 $393.5 +0.18% -0.45% -0.34% -1.13% -1.87% +0.45% -0.67% +0.02% WIN
2024-03-22 09:26:05 $411.44 +0.33% -0.52% -3.63% -4.13% -2.01% +1.76% -1.23% +1.17% WIN
2024-02-23 09:28:29 $457.9 +0.07% -0.25% -0.50% +0.50% -0.00% +1.07% -0.80% +0.13% WIN
2024-02-12 09:29:29 $472.88 +0.68% +0.07% -0.08% +0.01% -1.44% +1.08% -0.23% +0.08% WIN
2023-12-08 09:26:00 $450.74 +0.33% +3.11% +4.95% +6.70% +8.63% +9.55% -0.43% +1.14% WIN
2023-10-18 09:25:00 $412.6 -0.29% +0.85% +0.05% -0.22% -1.69% +1.11% -0.54% -0.14% LOSS
2023-10-16 09:25:00 $401.99 +1.19% +1.37% +1.71% +2.50% +3.64% +4.23% -0.12% +0.06% WIN
2023-09-01 09:25:00 $393.42 -0.61% -0.46% -0.60% +1.50% +2.74% +3.39% -2.11% -0.11% LOSS
2023-07-24 09:29:00 $383.02 +0.25% -0.01% -1.52% -0.75% -0.69% +0.35% -0.15% -0.15% WIN
2023-07-14 09:28:00 $379.3 +0.37% +0.42% +0.20% +0.01% +0.29% +0.65% +0.02% +0.11% WIN
2023-06-02 09:25:00 $378.99 -0.13% -0.03% -1.43% -2.36% -3.58% +1.94% -0.96% -0.20% LOSS
2023-05-30 09:26:00 $342.35 -0.14% -1.38% -1.82% -1.41% -1.67% +0.30% -0.39% -0.39% LOSS
2023-05-16 09:29:00 $371.34 -0.90% -0.87% -0.29% -0.11% +0.05% +0.41% -1.02% +0.22% LOSS
2023-05-05 09:28:00 $385.33 -0.27% -0.20% -0.67% +0.04% +0.36% +0.97% -0.70% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ LULU Shows Negative Expectancy

With 46.5% win rate and -0.22% average gain, LULU alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider LULU for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze LULU with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LULU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LULU historically offers an average upside of +1.85% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LULU Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 46.5%, LULU shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests LULU may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: LULU shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.22%). This suggests LULU is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.