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UAA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 52 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-02-06

⚠️ Small sample size (52 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 18, 2005 🔗 www.underarmour.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.69B 👥 Employees: 14,400
Under Armour develops, markets, and distributes athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories in North America, Asia-Pacific, Europe, and Latin America. Consumers of its performance-based clothing and shoes include professional and amateur athletes, sponsored college and professional teams, and people with active lifestyles. The company sells merchandise through wholesale partners, company-owned digital channels, and approximately 450 company-owned outlet and full-price stores. The Baltimore-based firm was founded in 1996 and is led by controlling shareholder Kevin Plank.
📊
52
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.11%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+2.80%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 34.6%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.08%
Avg Loser: -1.11%
Best: +4.98%
Worst: -5.17%
Trades: 18/30

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +2.24%
Avg Loser: -2.02%
Best: +10.94%
Worst: -6.09%
Trades: 26/26

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.24%
Avg Winner: +2.48%
Avg Loser: -2.08%
Best: +10.45%
Worst: -7.63%
Trades: 26/25

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +2.91%
Avg Loser: -2.18%
Best: +13.00%
Worst: -6.46%
Trades: 25/27

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: -0.45%
Avg Winner: +2.64%
Avg Loser: -3.31%
Best: +9.22%
Worst: -10.69%
Trades: 25/27

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.80%
Best MFE: +16.68%
Avg Time to MFE: 101 min

On average, UAA alerts reach +2.80% profit potential within 101 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.30%
Worst MAE: -6.59%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.30%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.15:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.15x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 52 alerts, UAA typically reaches +2.80% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 52
Gap Up % 36.5%
Avg Gap -0.11%
Best Gap +2.16%

🏭 Sector Comparison: APPAREL & OTHER FINISHD PRODS OF FABRICS & SIMILAR MATL

How UAA compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
UAA: -0.27% Sector: -0.22% -0.05%
EOD Gain
UAA: -0.45% Sector: +79.60% -80.05%
Avg MFE
UAA: +2.80% Sector: +3.31% -0.52%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UAA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:29:16 $8.51 -5.17% -2.70% +0.94% -2.94% -10.69% +1.65% -5.76% -0.59% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:27:20 $7.95 -1.89% -0.82% -1.58% -0.69% +1.64% +1.64% -3.02% - LOSS
2024-11-07 09:25:15 $10.19 +1.96% +8.83% +9.81% +13.00% +9.22% +16.68% -1.37% +2.16% WIN
2024-08-08 09:25:02 $7.34 +1.91% +3.81% +3.88% +6.27% +5.04% +6.61% -0.55% +1.91% WIN
2024-08-05 09:26:54 $6.2 +1.05% +0.81% +3.15% +3.55% +2.74% +4.84% -0.48% - WIN
2024-07-23 09:25:44 $6.5 -0.31% +0.46% +1.15% +2.08% +0.92% +3.08% -0.77% -0.15% LOSS
2024-06-28 09:28:44 $6.83 - -1.24% -2.12% -1.68% -2.34% +0.15% -1.76% -0.88% -
2024-05-16 09:28:54 $6.22 +4.98% +10.94% +10.45% +10.11% +7.88% +13.02% -0.64% +0.48% WIN
2024-04-10 09:28:04 $6.71 +0.07% -0.07% - -0.15% -0.15% +0.89% -0.89% -0.89% WIN
2024-04-05 09:26:55 $6.96 -1.15% -0.65% -0.65% -0.43% -2.01% +0.07% -1.44% -1.01% LOSS
2024-03-14 09:27:27 $7.5 -0.13% -3.60% -5.07% -5.33% -3.60% +0.67% -1.47% -1.20% LOSS
2024-02-08 09:29:12 $8.21 -1.34% -6.09% -3.17% -6.46% -6.09% +0.73% -2.44% - LOSS
2023-12-22 09:26:00 $8.72 -0.29% +3.73% +1.78% +1.72% +2.87% +4.30% -1.03% +1.15% LOSS
2023-11-08 09:28:00 $7.15 -2.10% +5.10% +5.45% +5.10% +3.78% +7.69% -3.36% -0.56% LOSS
2023-09-21 09:25:00 $6.99 - +0.36% -0.14% +0.50% -0.86% +1.14% - +0.43% -
2023-08-23 09:29:00 $7.11 -0.56% -0.77% +0.14% -0.59% +0.28% +0.56% -1.69% -0.70% LOSS
2023-08-22 09:25:00 $7.3 -0.55% -0.34% -0.55% -1.03% -1.37% +0.34% -0.68% -0.14% LOSS
2023-08-10 09:26:00 $7.95 +0.69% -0.19% +0.19% +1.95% +0.13% +2.14% -0.38% -0.25% WIN
2023-08-08 09:26:00 $7.79 -0.77% -1.28% -0.39% +0.90% -0.77% +1.28% -1.80% -0.06% LOSS
2023-07-28 09:28:00 $7.97 -0.56% -1.25% -1.19% -0.88% -0.38% +0.50% -0.25% +0.38% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on UAA

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push UAA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize UAA Strategy →

Why Analyze UAA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UAA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UAA historically offers an average upside of +2.80% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UAA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, UAA shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show UAA performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.11%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.