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MEDP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-25 → 2022-10-25

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Medpace Holdings, Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-COMMERCIAL PHYSICAL & BIOLOGICAL RESEARCH (SIC 8731)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 11, 2016 🔗 www.medpace.com
💰 Market Cap: $16.56B 👥 Employees: 6,200
Medpace is a late-stage contract research organization that provides full-service drug-development and clinical trial services to small and midsize biotechnology, pharmaceutical, and medical device firms. It also offers ancillary services, including bioanalytical laboratory services and imaging capabilities. The company was founded over 30 years ago and has more than 5,400 employees across 40 countries. Medpace is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio, and its operations are primarily based in the US, with additional presence in Europe, Asia, South America, Africa, and Australia. Cinven, a global private equity firm, acquired Medpace for $915 million in 2014 and exited its investment in 2018.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+2.57%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+10.67%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.57%
Avg Winner: +2.57%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.57%
Worst: +2.57%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +8.60%
Avg Winner: +8.60%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +8.60%
Worst: +8.60%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.42%
Avg Winner: +2.42%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.42%
Worst: +2.42%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +5.86%
Avg Winner: +5.86%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.86%
Worst: +5.86%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +7.73%
Avg Winner: +7.73%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +7.73%
Worst: +7.73%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +10.67%
Best MFE: +10.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 12 min

On average, MEDP alerts reach +10.67% profit potential within 12 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.38%
Worst MAE: -1.38%
Avg Time to MAE: 0 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.38%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

7.75:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 7.75x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, MEDP typically reaches +10.67% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.17%
Best Gap -0.17%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMMERCIAL PHYSICAL & BIOLOGICAL RESEARCH

How MEDP compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MEDP: +2.57% Sector: -0.11% +2.69%
EOD Gain
MEDP: +7.73% Sector: +146.46% -138.73%
Avg MFE
MEDP: +10.67% Sector: +9.42% +1.24%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MEDP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-10-25 09:25:00 $202.79 +2.57% +8.60% +2.42% +5.86% +7.73% +10.67% -1.38% -0.17% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

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🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on MEDP

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MEDP's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MEDP Strategy →

Why Analyze MEDP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MEDP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MEDP historically offers an average upside of +10.67% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MEDP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, MEDP shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MEDP performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.57%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.