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ABSI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 28 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (28 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 22, 2021 🔗 www.absci.com
💰 Market Cap: $437.6M 👥 Employees: 157
Absci Corp is the Artificial intelligence powered synthetic biology company unlocking the potential of proteins as the next generation of therapeutics. It enables the creation of novel biologics by unifying biologic drug discovery and cell line development into one simultaneous process.
📊
28
Total Alerts
🎯
57.1%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.46%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+6.97%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: -0.46%
Avg Winner: +1.89%
Avg Loser: -3.59%
Best: +4.92%
Worst: -7.83%
Trades: 16/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.43%
Avg Winner: +4.24%
Avg Loser: -5.09%
Best: +12.14%
Worst: -11.95%
Trades: 14/14

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +5.35%
Avg Loser: -5.97%
Best: +13.98%
Worst: -15.98%
Trades: 14/14

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +6.60%
Avg Loser: -6.91%
Best: +24.93%
Worst: -21.20%
Trades: 14/14

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.54%
Avg Winner: +7.17%
Avg Loser: -8.90%
Best: +15.47%
Worst: -21.76%
Trades: 14/13

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.97%
Best MFE: +26.07%
Avg Time to MFE: 93 min

On average, ABSI alerts reach +6.97% profit potential within 93 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.36%
Worst MAE: -9.20%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.36%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.95:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.95x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 28 alerts, ABSI typically reaches +6.97% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 28
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.12%
Best Gap +2.16%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMMERCIAL PHYSICAL & BIOLOGICAL RESEARCH

How ABSI compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ABSI: -0.46% Sector: -0.11% -0.35%
EOD Gain
ABSI: -0.54% Sector: +146.46% -147.00%
Avg MFE
ABSI: +6.97% Sector: +9.42% -2.46%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ABSI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:58 $5.08 +4.92% +6.69% +13.98% +10.33% +14.57% +15.16% -0.98% +0.20% WIN
2025-02-12 09:29:12 $4.8 -0.83% -0.21% +2.40% +2.50% +3.96% +5.21% -3.75% +0.83% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:26:07 $4.7 -1.49% -2.77% -2.02% -6.91% -7.87% +1.06% +1.06% - LOSS
2025-02-06 09:26:12 $4.74 +1.05% +0.84% +0.48% -1.37% -0.42% +2.95% -3.76% +0.42% WIN
2025-02-03 09:29:24 $3.46 +2.89% +1.73% +4.48% +8.24% +6.94% +12.72% -1.73% +1.16% WIN
2025-01-27 09:25:56 $3.83 +3.52% +6.01% +4.44% +3.63% -0.52% +9.61% -0.75% +1.31% WIN
2025-01-23 09:26:50 $3.96 -1.13% +0.25% -3.03% +0.88% +5.30% +6.29% -4.29% -0.76% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:27:31 $3.49 +2.44% +6.02% +12.64% +24.93% +15.47% +26.07% -1.72% -0.57% WIN
2025-01-15 09:29:30 $2.82 +0.35% -0.71% -0.32% +1.06% +1.42% +5.32% -5.87% +0.71% WIN
2025-01-14 09:26:59 $2.9 -2.76% -3.79% -6.20% -3.79% -6.55% -1.38% -1.38% -1.72% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:28:40 $2.77 +0.90% +0.54% +2.89% -0.54% +2.89% +3.25% -2.53% +1.08% WIN
2025-01-10 09:26:01 $3.13 -4.79% -7.67% -6.84% -5.11% -8.79% -1.28% -2.24% -1.60% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:29:55 $4.1 -7.83% -11.95% -15.98% -21.20% -21.46% +2.93% -6.34% -0.24% LOSS
2024-12-12 09:25:58 $4.5 -6.56% -7.42% -10.33% -12.56% -18.22% +1.78% +0.22% - LOSS
2024-02-28 09:28:09 $4.5 +1.00% +1.67% +0.67% +0.11% +4.22% +10.22% -2.22% - WIN
2023-12-15 09:26:00 $2.8 -1.79% -4.29% -2.50% -3.21% -2.50% +4.29% -6.79% -1.43% LOSS
2023-12-04 09:27:00 $2.07 -3.86% +10.07% +6.76% +7.25% -5.31% +17.39% -8.70% - LOSS
2023-11-15 09:27:00 $1.28 +0.78% +5.47% +3.91% +9.23% +9.38% +14.07% -0.78% +1.56% WIN
2023-11-14 09:29:00 $1.28 +2.34% +2.34% +4.69% +5.48% +9.38% +10.16% - - WIN
2023-08-02 09:29:00 $2.17 -5.99% -8.78% -7.83% -7.88% -9.68% -1.84% -3.23% -1.84% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ABSI Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 57.1% win rate, ABSI has -0.46% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making ABSI profitable.

🔧 Fix ABSI Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze ABSI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ABSI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ABSI historically offers an average upside of +6.97% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ABSI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 57.1%, ABSI shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-3.59%) outweigh average wins (+1.89%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ABSI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.46%). This suggests ABSI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.