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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$MFG

Trade-Ideas alerts 62.1% at 60-min n=29 2023-01-12 → 2026-07-17

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 29 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. American Depositary Shares (Each representing one-fifth of an Ordinary Share) National Commercial Banks (SIC 6021)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 08, 2006 🔗 www.mizuho-fg.co.jp
💰 Market Cap: $131.80B 👥 Employees: 64,539
Mizuho Financial Group is roughly tied with megabank peer Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group for the status as Japan's second-largest bank after Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group. In Japan, Mizuho has more of a corporate focus than SMFG, which has a larger retail business. Its overseas weighting is slightly smaller than that of MUFG. Unlike its two Japanese megabank peers, which own foreign banks outright or hold noncontrolling stakes in local banks overseas, Mizuho expanded in recent years beyond its traditional Japanese borrowers, mainly through its core banking and securities units, focusing on the financing needs of global multinational corporations.
Total alerts
29
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
62.1%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
+0.27%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.46%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading MFG on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.8%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -0.83%
Best: +2.15%
Worst: -2.72%
Trades: 13/14

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.3%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.02%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: +2.31%
Worst: -2.11%
Trades: 14/14

30MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.29%
Avg Winner: +0.89%
Avg Loser: -0.57%
Best: +2.15%
Worst: -1.40%
Trades: 16/11

60MIN

Win Rate: 62.1%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +2.74%
Worst: -1.81%
Trades: 18/9

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.7%
Avg Gain: +0.44%
Avg Winner: +1.64%
Avg Loser: -1.07%
Best: +3.97%
Worst: -2.43%
Trades: 15/11

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.46%
Best MFE: +4.30%
Avg Time to MFE: 128 min

On average, MFG alerts reach +1.46% profit potential within 128 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.40%
Worst MAE: -2.87%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.40%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.68:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.68x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 29 alerts, MFG typically reaches +1.46% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 29
Gap Up % 58.6%
Avg Gap +0.15%
Best Gap +1.70%

🏭 Sector Comparison: National Commercial Banks

How MFG compares to 33 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MFG: +0.03% Sector: -0.04% +0.07%
EOD Gain
MFG: +0.48% Sector: -0.08% +0.56%
Avg MFE
MFG: +1.55% Sector: +1.48% +0.06%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MFG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-07-17 09:25:00 $9.84 -0.56% -0.71% -0.20% +0.66% +0.30% +1.22% -1.12% -0.30% LOSS
2026-07-09 09:25:00 $10.21 +0.00% +0.34% +0.05% +0.78% +1.18% +1.86% -0.10% +0.39% LOSS
2026-06-10 09:25:00 $9.51 -0.28% +0.09% +0.38% +0.70% -1.67% +0.96% -0.50% -0.41% LOSS
2026-06-09 09:25:00 $9.71 -0.10% -0.36% -0.05% -0.31% -1.44% +0.21% -0.62% -0.10% LOSS
2026-05-19 09:25:00 $8.6 +0.23% +0.70% +1.10% +0.41% +1.05% +2.15% -0.12% +0.00% WIN
2026-05-18 09:25:00 $8.39 -0.60% -0.60% +0.30% +0.18% +0.00% +0.83% +0.12% +0.12% LOSS
2026-03-23 09:25:00 $7.81 +0.00% -0.58% -0.51% +0.13% -0.77% +0.77% -0.77% +0.38% LOSS
2026-03-03 09:25:00 $7.96 +0.13% +0.82% +0.45% -0.13% +3.27% +3.58% -0.38% +0.38% WIN
2026-02-17 09:25:00 $9.15 -0.11% +0.82% +0.98% +1.48% +2.08% +2.51% -0.77% +0.22% LOSS
2026-02-03 09:25:00 $8.9 +0.11% +1.07% +0.23% -0.34% -0.11% +1.07% -0.22% +0.45% WIN
2026-02-02 09:25:00 $8.58 +0.12% +1.40% +1.98% +2.74% +3.03% +3.61% +0.12% +0.93% WIN
2026-01-29 09:25:00 $8.63 +1.61% +2.01% +1.90% +0.51% +0.11% +2.14% +1.03% +1.15% WIN
2024-10-08 09:29:26 $4.11 +1.70% +1.46% +1.58% +1.58% +1.46% +1.95% +1.22% +1.70% WIN
2024-10-07 09:29:45 $4.2 +0.98% +1.31% +1.19% +1.55% +1.67% +3.80% +0.69% +0.71% WIN
2024-10-02 09:28:17 $4.11 -0.24% -0.36% +0.00% +0.12% +0.00% +0.61% +0.24% +0.49% LOSS
2024-10-01 09:26:16 $4.2 +0.95% +0.00% -0.12% +0.12% +0.00% +1.19% +0.00% +0.71% WIN
2024-09-30 09:28:21 $4.15 -0.36% -0.24% +0.24% +0.00% +0.72% +1.62% -0.48% -0.48% LOSS
2024-09-25 09:27:19 $4.0 -0.62% -0.38% -0.38% +0.00% -0.25% +0.25% -0.75% +0.00% LOSS
2024-09-24 09:25:38 $4.09 -0.37% -0.49% -0.49% +0.12% +0.49% +1.71% -0.98% -0.24% LOSS
2024-09-20 09:28:54 $4.05 +0.48% +0.71% +0.89% +0.73% +2.96% +3.95% +0.25% +0.25% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 62.1% Baseline on MFG

The 62.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push MFG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MFG Strategy →

Why Analyze MFG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MFG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MFG historically offers an average upside of +1.46% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MFG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.1%, MFG shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MFG performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.27%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.