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JPM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 167 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-13

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 05, 1969 🔗 www.jpmorganchase.com
💰 Market Cap: $802.71B 👥 Employees: 318,153
JPMorgan Chase is one of the largest and most complex financial institutions in the United States, with more than $4.4 trillion in assets. It is organized into four major segments: consumer and community banking, corporate and investment banking, commercial banking, and asset and wealth management. JPMorgan operates and is subject to regulation in multiple countries.
📊
167
Total Alerts
🎯
46.4%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.02%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.26%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.3%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.46%
Avg Loser: -0.39%
Best: +2.53%
Worst: -1.45%
Trades: 74/93

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.3%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.70%
Avg Loser: -0.62%
Best: +3.27%
Worst: -2.03%
Trades: 74/93

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.5%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: -0.74%
Best: +4.26%
Worst: -2.53%
Trades: 71/94

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.1%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.02%
Avg Loser: -0.93%
Best: +3.88%
Worst: -2.75%
Trades: 72/95

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.4%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.38%
Avg Loser: -1.16%
Best: +7.38%
Worst: -3.71%
Trades: 77/89

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.26%
Best MFE: +7.90%
Avg Time to MFE: 134 min

On average, JPM alerts reach +1.26% profit potential within 134 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.55%
Worst MAE: -2.60%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.55%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.28:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.28x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 167 alerts, JPM typically reaches +1.26% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 167
Gap Up % 47.3%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +0.84%

🏭 Sector Comparison: NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS

How JPM compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
JPM: -0.02% Sector: -0.06% +0.04%
EOD Gain
JPM: +0.02% Sector: -0.08% +0.10%
Avg MFE
JPM: +1.27% Sector: +1.53% -0.27%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical JPM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:25:01 $275.79 -0.26% -0.20% -0.13% -0.46% +0.19% +0.43% -0.72% -0.11% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:25:18 $253.39 -0.13% +0.65% +1.08% +1.07% +0.35% +1.44% -0.31% +0.24% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:26:39 $249.44 -1.13% -0.58% +0.26% +0.05% +1.17% +1.70% -2.31% +0.38% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:27:12 $242.5 +0.74% +1.00% +0.92% +1.22% +2.05% +2.15% -0.80% +0.07% WIN
2025-01-08 09:26:59 $243.84 -0.53% -0.29% -0.97% -1.35% -0.29% +0.17% -0.66% -0.45% LOSS
2024-12-24 09:26:31 $239.0 +0.35% +0.67% +0.25% +0.81% +1.38% +1.46% +0.03% +0.18% WIN
2024-12-23 09:27:39 $236.61 -0.13% -0.23% -0.29% -0.40% +0.75% +0.85% -0.73% -0.23% LOSS
2024-12-17 09:25:16 $238.78 -0.00% -0.41% -0.39% -0.45% -0.18% +0.15% +0.15% -0.05% LOSS
2024-12-02 09:29:27 $249.89 -0.32% -0.40% -0.99% -1.62% -1.46% +0.14% -0.16% -0.14% LOSS
2024-11-26 09:27:44 $250.48 -0.24% -0.47% -0.45% -0.67% -0.20% +0.21% +0.20% +0.00% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:29:37 $242.94 +0.10% +0.01% - -0.17% +0.75% +1.05% -0.34% +0.12% WIN
2024-11-20 09:27:37 $242.36 -0.04% -0.61% -0.70% -1.28% -0.65% +1.09% -0.07% +0.84% LOSS
2024-11-14 09:25:17 $241.7 +0.17% +0.02% +0.56% +0.86% +0.07% +1.07% -0.04% +0.30% WIN
2024-11-13 09:26:23 $241.36 -0.18% +0.04% +0.17% +0.62% -0.08% +1.13% -0.43% -0.32% LOSS
2024-11-07 09:29:04 $244.5 -0.72% -1.61% -2.07% -2.17% -3.32% +0.03% -0.30% - LOSS
2024-11-06 09:27:03 $233.99 +1.29% +3.27% +2.54% +3.48% +5.59% +5.99% +0.33% +0.43% WIN
2024-10-11 09:28:18 $214.16 +2.53% +2.53% +4.26% +3.88% +3.80% +4.89% +0.13% +0.71% WIN
2024-10-04 09:25:02 $207.73 +0.91% +0.47% +0.46% +0.23% +1.68% +1.90% -0.39% +0.76% WIN
2024-08-12 09:27:21 $206.4 +0.20% -0.16% -1.10% -0.20% -0.10% +0.36% -0.16% +0.00% WIN
2024-08-05 09:26:33 $192.8 -0.18% -0.33% -0.01% +0.73% +1.09% +1.75% -0.99% +0.65% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 46.4% Baseline on JPM

The 46.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push JPM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize JPM Strategy →

Why Analyze JPM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for JPM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, JPM historically offers an average upside of +1.26% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 JPM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 46.4%, JPM shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show JPM performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.