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Latest signal:

NI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-09 → 2024-05-01

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.nisource.com
💰 Market Cap: $20.54B 👥 Employees: 7,746
NiSource is one of the nation's largest natural gas distribution companies with 3.2 million customers in Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. NiSource's electric utility transmits and distributes electricity in northern Indiana to about 500,000 customers. The regulated electric utility also owns more than 3,000 megawatts of generation capacity, including coal, natural gas, and renewable energy.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.06%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.00%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.41%
Avg Loser: -0.55%
Best: +0.68%
Worst: -0.82%
Trades: 4/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 30.0%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +0.32%
Avg Loser: -0.52%
Best: +0.76%
Worst: -0.98%
Trades: 3/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +0.46%
Avg Loser: -0.58%
Best: +0.83%
Worst: -1.19%
Trades: 4/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.70%
Avg Loser: -0.57%
Best: +0.89%
Worst: -1.47%
Trades: 5/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +1.67%
Worst: -3.29%
Trades: 4/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.00%
Best MFE: +2.01%
Avg Time to MFE: 153 min

On average, NI alerts reach +1.00% profit potential within 153 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.59%
Worst MAE: -1.42%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.59%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.71:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, NI typically reaches +1.00% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 30.0%
Avg Gap -0.32%
Best Gap +0.58%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRIC & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED

How NI compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NI: -0.17% Sector: -0.07% -0.10%
EOD Gain
NI: -0.21% Sector: -0.02% -0.19%
Avg MFE
NI: +1.00% Sector: +0.96% +0.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-05-01 09:29:23 $27.86 +0.43% -0.18% +0.27% +0.74% +0.86% +2.01% -0.29% -0.22% WIN
2023-11-15 09:25:00 $25.96 -0.15% +0.12% +0.50% +0.65% -0.81% +1.04% -0.19% -0.15% LOSS
2023-01-24 09:28:00 $27.22 -0.62% -0.73% -1.19% -0.70% +0.37% +0.73% -1.07% -1.07% LOSS
2023-01-17 09:26:00 $27.79 +0.68% +0.76% +0.83% +0.70% -0.61% +0.97% +0.36% +0.58% WIN
2023-01-12 09:25:00 $27.93 +0.37% +0.09% -0.11% +0.50% -0.11% +0.93% -0.25% +0.04% WIN
2023-01-09 09:29:00 $27.79 -0.79% -0.61% -0.29% -0.04% +0.32% +1.03% -0.94% -0.72% LOSS
2022-09-19 09:25:00 $28.81 -0.38% -0.07% +0.24% +0.89% +1.67% +1.72% -0.69% -0.17% LOSS
2022-07-22 09:25:00 $28.54 -0.82% -0.91% -1.02% -0.53% -0.35% +0.04% -1.23% -1.09% LOSS
2022-06-14 09:25:00 $28.54 +0.14% -0.18% -0.56% -1.47% -3.29% +0.39% -0.14% +0.11% WIN
2022-05-09 09:25:00 $29.49 -0.54% -0.98% -0.31% -0.14% -0.17% +1.14% -1.42% -0.51% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on NI

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NI Strategy →

Why Analyze NI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NI historically offers an average upside of +1.00% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, NI shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NI performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.06%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.