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NSSC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-02-09 → 2023-08-22

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Napco Security Technologies, Inc COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT, NEC (SIC 3669)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 29, 1981 🔗 www.napcosecurity.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.37B 👥 Employees: 1,061
NAPCO Security Technologies Inc manufactures security products, encompassing access control systems, door-locking products, intrusion and fire alarm systems and video surveillance products. Its products are used for various applications which includes alarm systems like automatic communicators, combination control panels/digital communicators and digital keypad systems, fire alarm control panel and area detectors mainly used for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial and governmental uses. Geographically, the company derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+2.56%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+6.68%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.08%
Avg Loser: -2.22%
Best: +1.65%
Worst: -2.22%
Trades: 2/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.56%
Avg Winner: +2.56%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.10%
Worst: +1.88%
Trades: 3/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.16%
Avg Winner: +3.16%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.30%
Worst: +1.03%
Trades: 3/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +2.14%
Avg Winner: +3.47%
Avg Loser: -0.53%
Best: +6.11%
Worst: -0.53%
Trades: 2/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.55%
Avg Winner: +7.54%
Avg Loser: -4.60%
Best: +7.54%
Worst: -6.43%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.68%
Best MFE: +10.00%
Avg Time to MFE: 102 min

On average, NSSC alerts reach +6.68% profit potential within 102 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.32%
Worst MAE: -5.72%
Avg Time to MAE: 1 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.32%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.88:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.88x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, NSSC typically reaches +6.68% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap +0.30%
Best Gap +1.32%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT, NEC

How NSSC compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NSSC: -0.02% Sector: -0.60% +0.58%
EOD Gain
NSSC: -0.55% Sector: +1012.79% -1013.34%
Avg MFE
NSSC: +6.68% Sector: +9.94% -3.25%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NSSC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-08-22 09:27:00 $21.61 +0.51% +2.71% +4.30% +6.11% +7.54% +10.00% -0.74% -0.28% WIN
2023-08-21 09:28:00 $22.56 -2.22% +3.10% +4.16% -0.53% -6.43% +5.01% -5.72% -0.13% LOSS
2023-02-09 09:25:00 $32.51 +1.65% +1.88% +1.03% +0.83% -2.77% +5.04% -0.49% +1.32% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on NSSC

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NSSC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NSSC Strategy →

Why Analyze NSSC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NSSC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NSSC historically offers an average upside of +6.68% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NSSC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, NSSC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NSSC performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.56%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.