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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$LITE

Trade-Ideas alerts 49.5% at 30-min n=184 2022-02-03 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

Lumentum Holdings Inc. Common Stock COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT, NEC (SIC 3669)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 23, 2015 🔗 www.lumentum.com
💰 Market Cap: $97.92B 👥 Employees: 13,757
Lumentum Holdings Inc is a California-based technology firm. The company provides two types of optical and photonic products: optical components that are used in telecommunications networking equipment, and commercial lasers for manufacturing, inspection, and life-science lab uses. Its segments are Optical Communications and Commercial Lasers. The firm is also expanding into new optical applications, such as 3-D sensing laser diode for consumer electronics. It generates maximum revenue from the OpComms segment. The OpComms segment products include a wide range of components, modules, and subsystems to support customers including carrier networks for access (local), metro (intracity), long-haul, and submarine (undersea) applications.
Total alerts
184
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
49.5%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
+0.00%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+4.06%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading LITE on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.5%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.39%
Avg Loser: -1.27%
Best: +5.70%
Worst: -5.20%
Trades: 80/104

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +2.48%
Avg Loser: -2.25%
Best: +10.47%
Worst: -9.37%
Trades: 88/96

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.5%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +3.01%
Avg Loser: -2.95%
Best: +13.33%
Worst: -11.87%
Trades: 91/93

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +3.37%
Avg Loser: -3.17%
Best: +11.69%
Worst: -10.78%
Trades: 88/96

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.3%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +4.16%
Avg Loser: -3.93%
Best: +16.96%
Worst: -12.76%
Trades: 87/97

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.06%
Best MFE: +17.56%
Avg Time to MFE: 114 min

On average, LITE alerts reach +4.06% profit potential within 114 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.57%
Worst MAE: -7.68%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.57%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.58:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.58x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 184 alerts, LITE typically reaches +4.06% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 184
Gap Up % 45.7%
Avg Gap -0.14%
Best Gap +2.41%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT, NEC

How LITE compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LITE: -0.11% Sector: -0.53% +0.43%
EOD Gain
LITE: -0.11% Sector: +385.53% -385.63%
Avg MFE
LITE: +4.06% Sector: +6.36% -2.30%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LITE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $1051.01 -0.21% -0.03% -1.02% +2.30% +3.27% +3.86% -1.31% +0.21% LOSS
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $980.0 -0.05% +0.42% +3.16% +5.43% +6.71% +10.00% -1.43% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $982.08 +1.42% -2.13% -2.82% -2.46% -1.10% +2.79% -0.15% +0.35% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $938.53 -0.25% +1.98% +6.07% +5.40% +3.72% +6.43% -0.51% +0.69% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $930.99 +1.21% -2.02% -2.24% -3.69% -1.04% +2.15% -0.21% +1.81% WIN
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $936.0 -0.02% -2.14% -0.75% -0.50% +0.60% +2.87% -2.43% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $924.54 -0.41% +1.50% +0.37% -0.33% +0.49% +3.24% -1.13% -0.08% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $947.51 -0.30% -0.75% -1.68% -0.99% -1.11% +1.32% -2.42% -0.10% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $935.0 +1.20% +3.72% +6.42% +4.30% +1.14% +7.17% -0.07% +0.23% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $959.86 +0.17% +0.72% +1.43% +1.70% -0.56% +2.46% -1.44% -0.06% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $910.74 +1.93% +3.52% +1.42% -0.65% +2.21% +4.49% +0.04% +0.54% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $944.56 -0.64% -1.96% -1.60% -4.11% -5.39% +0.42% -0.00% -1.02% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $859.05 +1.22% +2.50% +4.22% +3.46% +7.03% +9.18% -0.46% -0.35% WIN
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $845.54 +0.47% -0.22% +0.78% +0.32% -0.78% +1.24% -1.18% -0.34% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $859.49 -0.87% -1.47% -0.83% -0.31% -2.85% +2.27% -2.03% +0.16% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $952.23 +1.15% +0.43% -0.84% -1.12% -2.65% +2.23% -1.76% -0.70% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $958.0 +0.48% +3.26% +1.75% +2.09% -2.33% +3.81% -0.72% +0.15% WIN
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $980.0 +2.13% +1.69% +2.48% +2.36% +0.92% +4.77% -0.70% +0.01% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $888.0 +0.62% +1.12% +3.94% +7.73% +10.20% +12.63% -0.45% +1.08% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $861.0 -1.68% -0.40% +1.28% +0.41% +2.35% +2.88% -2.32% +0.04% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ LITE Shows Negative Expectancy

With 49.5% win rate and +0.00% average gain, LITE alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider LITE for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze LITE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LITE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LITE historically offers an average upside of +4.06% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LITE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.5%, LITE shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: LITE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at +0.00%). This suggests LITE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.