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Ticker Report — Historical Last signal ·

$NTR

Trade-Ideas alerts 50.0% at 15-min n=18 2022-03-07 → 2026-05-06

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 18 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Nutrien Ltd. Common Shares Agricultural Chemicals (SIC 2870)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 02, 1989 🔗 www.nutrien.com
💰 Market Cap: $33.43B 👥 Employees: 25,100
Created in 2018 as a result of the merger between PotashCorp and Agrium, Nutrien is the world's largest fertilizer producer by capacity. Nutrien produces the three main crop nutrients—nitrogen, potash, and phosphate—although its main focus is potash, where it is the global leader in installed capacity with a roughly 20% market share. The company is also the largest agricultural retailer in North America and Australia, selling fertilizers, crop chemicals, seeds, and services directly to farm customers through its brick-and-mortar stores and online platforms.
Total alerts
18
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
50.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-0.10%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.30%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading NTR on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.92%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +3.60%
Worst: -2.67%
Trades: 8/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.82%
Avg Loser: -2.02%
Best: +4.77%
Worst: -3.87%
Trades: 9/9

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +2.24%
Avg Loser: -2.11%
Best: +4.13%
Worst: -6.06%
Trades: 8/10

60MIN

Win Rate: 38.9%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +2.32%
Avg Loser: -1.92%
Best: +3.78%
Worst: -4.65%
Trades: 7/11

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 38.9%
Avg Gain: +0.19%
Avg Winner: +3.80%
Avg Loser: -2.10%
Best: +8.06%
Worst: -4.60%
Trades: 7/11

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.30%
Best MFE: +8.21%
Avg Time to MFE: 146 min

On average, NTR alerts reach +2.30% profit potential within 146 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.11%
Worst MAE: -5.53%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.11%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.08:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.08x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 18 alerts, NTR typically reaches +2.30% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 18
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.20%
Best Gap +1.54%

🏭 Sector Comparison: Agricultural Chemicals

How NTR compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NTR: -0.07% Sector: -0.26% +0.20%
EOD Gain
NTR: +0.19% Sector: +2457.53% -2457.33%
Avg MFE
NTR: +2.30% Sector: +6.30% -4.00%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NTR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-05-06 09:25:00 $75.56 -1.15% -1.59% -1.88% -2.55% -2.32% +0.62% +0.25% -0.24% LOSS
2026-04-30 09:25:00 $74.99 -0.46% +0.61% +0.19% +0.14% +1.35% +2.04% -0.54% -0.38% LOSS
2026-03-18 09:25:00 $80.39 -0.91% -3.59% -3.35% -2.92% -3.12% +0.76% -0.11% -1.01% LOSS
2026-03-16 09:25:00 $80.3 -0.23% -1.34% -1.07% -1.40% -3.13% +0.77% -1.62% +0.47% LOSS
2026-03-13 09:25:00 $84.5 +0.04% -0.95% -0.91% -1.91% -1.95% +1.02% -0.09% +0.15% WIN
2026-03-12 09:25:00 $82.34 +0.03% +2.49% +2.67% +2.16% +1.94% +3.66% -0.43% -0.26% WIN
2026-03-09 09:25:00 $77.35 +0.17% -1.93% -1.24% -0.98% -1.99% +0.94% -2.20% -0.43% WIN
2026-03-02 09:25:00 $78.0 -1.38% -1.13% -2.50% -3.44% -2.90% +0.17% -0.60% +0.00% LOSS
2026-01-14 09:25:00 $63.34 +0.73% +2.48% +3.21% +2.93% +4.52% +4.59% -0.43% +0.46% WIN
2024-11-04 09:26:34 $50.95 +1.28% +0.10% -0.52% -0.33% -0.33% +1.45% -1.65% -0.88% WIN
2023-06-06 09:28:00 $52.95 +0.94% +2.42% +2.80% +3.78% +8.06% +8.21% -0.25% +0.09% WIN
2023-05-11 09:27:00 $58.6 +3.60% +4.77% +4.13% +3.29% +5.36% +5.39% -0.32% +1.54% WIN
2022-11-03 09:25:00 $74.75 -0.17% -2.74% -6.06% -4.65% -4.60% +0.33% +0.20% -1.00% LOSS
2022-06-10 09:25:00 $88.74 -0.83% +0.55% +0.72% -1.94% -2.57% +1.68% -2.10% +0.29% LOSS
2022-03-29 09:25:00 $101.48 -2.67% -3.87% -1.97% -0.21% -0.15% +1.00% -5.53% -1.20% LOSS
2022-03-28 09:25:00 $106.7 -0.72% -1.06% -1.64% -0.77% -0.01% +0.34% -2.30% -0.36% LOSS
2022-03-11 09:25:00 $99.0 -0.01% +0.82% +0.56% +0.65% +2.42% +3.28% -1.68% -0.52% LOSS
2022-03-07 09:25:00 $96.57 +0.53% +2.15% +3.67% +3.26% +2.92% +5.24% -0.59% -0.36% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ NTR Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.10% average gain, NTR alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider NTR for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze NTR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NTR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NTR historically offers an average upside of +2.30% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NTR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, NTR shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests NTR may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: NTR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.10%). This suggests NTR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.