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Latest signal:

NWG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 49 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-01-17

⚠️ Small sample size (49 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

NatWest Group plc American Depositary Shares, (each representing two (2) Ordinary Shares)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 11, 2007 🔗 www.natwestgroup.com
💰 Market Cap: $71.44B 👥 Employees: 59,200
NatWest Group derives around 90% of its total income from the United Kingdom. The bank operates a retail, commercial, and private bank in the UK, offering clients lending and payment services as well as asset management services.
📊
49
Total Alerts
🎯
65.3%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+2.16%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.06%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.9%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.25%
Avg Loser: -0.28%
Best: +0.48%
Worst: -0.50%
Trades: 22/19

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.38%
Avg Loser: -0.42%
Best: +1.10%
Worst: -0.86%
Trades: 21/21

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.44%
Avg Loser: -0.45%
Best: +1.93%
Worst: -0.93%
Trades: 24/22

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.1%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.71%
Avg Loser: -0.64%
Best: +1.74%
Worst: -2.24%
Trades: 26/22

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 65.3%
Avg Gain: +2.16%
Avg Winner: +3.82%
Avg Loser: -1.16%
Best: +9.11%
Worst: -3.94%
Trades: 32/14

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.06%
Best MFE: +3.82%
Avg Time to MFE: 160 min

On average, NWG alerts reach +1.06% profit potential within 160 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.35%
Worst MAE: -2.28%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.35%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.05:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.05x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 49 alerts, NWG typically reaches +1.06% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 49
Gap Up % 51.0%
Avg Gap +0.06%
Best Gap +0.64%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NWG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-17 09:25:14 $10.21 +0.15% +0.39% - -0.03% - +0.49% - - WIN
2025-01-15 09:29:54 $9.97 -0.30% -0.35% +0.15% +0.75% +1.20% +1.81% -0.40% +0.20% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:27:56 $10.26 +0.32% +0.17% +0.54% +0.89% +1.07% +1.36% - - WIN
2024-08-23 09:26:55 $9.11 +0.05% +0.11% +0.06% +0.99% +1.76% +1.87% -0.05% +0.11% WIN
2024-06-24 09:29:59 $8.23 - +0.12% +0.43% +0.49% -0.73% +0.79% -0.18% +0.12% -
2024-05-29 09:28:37 $8.07 -0.50% -0.50% -0.56% -0.99% -0.50% - -1.05% -0.25% LOSS
2024-05-15 09:25:34 $8.39 -0.06% - -0.30% -0.24% +0.95% +1.07% -0.36% - LOSS
2024-05-07 09:28:34 $8.08 - +0.43% -0.37% -0.87% -1.86% +0.49% -0.12% -0.12% -
2024-05-03 09:27:23 $7.79 +0.13% +0.19% +0.39% -0.39% -0.13% +0.64% -0.19% +0.39% WIN
2023-12-27 09:25:00 $5.64 +0.35% +0.18% +0.62% +0.71% +0.89% +1.24% +0.09% +0.18% WIN
2023-10-31 09:27:00 $4.38 -0.23% - -0.23% -0.11% +0.23% +0.46% -0.57% -0.46% LOSS
2023-10-27 09:25:00 $4.51 -0.44% -0.70% -0.55% -0.55% -2.00% +0.33% -1.11% +0.22% LOSS
2023-08-29 09:27:00 $5.91 -0.17% +0.25% +0.17% +0.78% +1.35% +1.18% -0.25% +0.17% LOSS
2023-05-10 09:28:00 $6.63 -0.30% -0.53% -0.30% -0.38% -0.45% -0.15% -0.15% -0.15% LOSS
2023-05-02 09:25:00 $6.58 +0.08% +0.30% -0.38% -1.14% -1.52% +0.30% - +0.30% WIN
2023-04-21 09:28:00 $6.87 -0.29% -0.36% -0.44% -0.36% -0.58% +0.15% -0.15% +0.15% LOSS
2023-03-24 09:29:00 $6.29 +0.48% +0.56% +0.36% +0.16% +2.23% +2.07% -0.56% +0.64% WIN
2023-03-20 09:27:00 $6.28 +0.48% +0.40% +0.16% +0.64% +0.32% +1.40% -0.16% +0.32% WIN
2023-03-15 09:28:00 $6.36 +0.47% +1.10% +0.31% +1.42% +0.63% +1.89% - +0.31% WIN
2023-02-17 09:29:00 $6.98 +0.07% -0.86% -0.86% -0.14% +0.43% +0.64% -1.00% +0.29% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 65.3% Baseline on NWG

The 65.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NWG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NWG Strategy →

Why Analyze NWG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NWG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NWG historically offers an average upside of +1.06% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NWG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 65.3%, NWG shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NWG performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.16%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.