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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$SAFX

Trade-Ideas alerts 42.1% at EOD n=121 2026-01-06 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS (SIC 2860)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 09, 2025 🔗 xcf.global/overview/default.aspx
💰 Market Cap: $136.8M 👥 Employees: 53
XCF Global Inc is an emerging sustainable aviation fuel company dedicated to accelerating the aviation industry's transition to net-zero emissions. Its flagship facility, New Rise Renewables Reno, has a permitted nameplate production capacity. The Company has one reportable segment: renewable fuels. The renewable fuels segment will derive revenues from selling renewable energy products in the future once the Company's plant facilities reach principal operations.
Total alerts
121
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
42.1%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-0.86%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+9.39%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SAFX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.8%
Avg Gain: -0.49%
Avg Winner: +1.33%
Avg Loser: -1.69%
Best: +4.18%
Worst: -7.90%
Trades: 47/72

15MIN

Win Rate: 38.0%
Avg Gain: -0.91%
Avg Winner: +3.05%
Avg Loser: -3.33%
Best: +13.45%
Worst: -12.80%
Trades: 46/75

30MIN

Win Rate: 32.2%
Avg Gain: -1.70%
Avg Winner: +3.53%
Avg Loser: -4.19%
Best: +24.69%
Worst: -15.26%
Trades: 39/82

60MIN

Win Rate: 35.5%
Avg Gain: -1.75%
Avg Winner: +4.91%
Avg Loser: -5.57%
Best: +38.02%
Worst: -28.59%
Trades: 43/76

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 42.1%
Avg Gain: -0.86%
Avg Winner: +10.89%
Avg Loser: -9.43%
Best: +82.83%
Worst: -30.89%
Trades: 51/70

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.39%
Best MFE: +108.86%
Avg Time to MFE: 114 min

On average, SAFX alerts reach +9.39% profit potential within 114 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.02%
Worst MAE: -18.33%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.02%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.1:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.1x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 121 alerts, SAFX typically reaches +9.39% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 121
Gap Up % 43.8%
Avg Gap -0.41%
Best Gap +4.38%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS

How SAFX compares to 20 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SAFX: -0.49% Sector: -0.27% -0.22%
EOD Gain
SAFX: -0.86% Sector: +95.64% -96.50%
Avg MFE
SAFX: +9.39% Sector: +6.34% +3.05%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SAFX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $0.34 -0.45% -1.43% -1.41% -1.34% -1.96% +0.03% -0.89% -0.89% LOSS
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $0.35 -1.81% -0.46% -1.95% -3.45% -5.17% +0.00% -3.45% -1.64% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $0.36 -1.40% +0.42% -0.73% -0.92% -4.65% +0.81% -1.96% +0.03% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $0.37 +1.53% +4.67% +1.49% +2.05% -0.85% +6.08% -0.19% +3.76% WIN
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $0.42 -2.38% -4.76% -9.65% -12.83% -11.17% +2.24% -2.38% +2.24% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $0.46 -1.14% -3.36% -3.81% -6.88% -8.44% -0.95% -1.14% -0.95% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $0.51 -1.92% -1.94% -0.94% -0.71% -10.06% +3.94% -1.94% -1.94% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $0.5 +0.10% -1.89% -2.60% -2.58% +0.58% +3.10% -3.86% +0.10% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $0.46 -0.80% +0.50% +0.38% +4.96% +2.91% +10.85% -2.17% -2.17% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $0.46 -0.50% -0.65% -0.77% -1.32% +0.66% +1.73% -5.82% -1.53% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $0.43 +1.99% +2.06% +4.55% +0.49% +1.27% +5.49% -1.31% +0.09% WIN
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $0.46 -3.44% -2.58% -3.84% -2.41% -9.03% +0.02% +0.00% -0.41% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $0.41 +1.20% +4.60% +7.04% +7.76% +5.81% +18.07% -1.20% +1.01% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $0.41 +0.92% +2.08% +1.24% +3.15% +0.61% +3.88% -0.82% -0.70% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $0.4 +1.15% +3.03% +2.55% +4.48% +2.55% +6.58% -0.55% -0.03% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $0.38 -0.53% +3.53% +2.09% +4.34% +3.47% +6.47% -0.53% -0.53% LOSS
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $0.37 +0.79% +2.68% +0.91% +0.03% +1.72% +5.63% +0.00% +1.15% WIN
2026-09-02 09:25:00 $0.38 -0.60% +1.14% -0.43% -3.72% -1.92% +1.43% -1.43% +1.40% LOSS
2026-08-25 09:25:00 $0.37 -0.81% -0.65% -7.59% -3.54% -4.35% +1.35% -3.35% -3.35% LOSS
2026-08-24 09:25:00 $0.35 +1.32% +1.09% -0.95% -0.40% +5.20% +5.54% -1.15% +0.00% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ SAFX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 42.1% win rate and -0.86% average gain, SAFX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SAFX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SAFX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SAFX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SAFX historically offers an average upside of +9.39% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SAFX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 42.1%, SAFX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SAFX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SAFX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.86%). This suggests SAFX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.