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SEAT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-05-18 → 2024-03-05

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Vivid Seats Inc. Class A Common Stock SERVICES-MISCELLANEOUS AMUSEMENT & RECREATION (SIC 7990)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 19, 2021 🔗 www.vividseats.com
💰 Market Cap: $67.9M 👥 Employees: 768
Vivid Seats Inc is an online ticket marketplace for connecting fans to live events and artists. It is the official ticketing partner of brands in the entertainment industry providing tickets for sports, concerts, theatres, and comedy events in the United States, Canada and Japan. It operates in two segments namely marketplace and resale. Marketplace segment, act as an intermediary between ticket buyers, sellers, and partners through which company earn revenue from processing ticket sales for live events and facilitating the booking of hotel rooms and packages on websites and mobile applications. Resale segment provides internal research and development support for Skybox and supplements ongoing efforts to deliver software and tools. Majority of revenue is from Marketplace segment.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
71.4%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.14%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+3.34%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +1.14%
Avg Winner: +1.85%
Avg Loser: -0.65%
Best: +3.83%
Worst: -0.91%
Trades: 5/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.23%
Avg Loser: -2.74%
Best: +3.11%
Worst: -4.83%
Trades: 5/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +0.62%
Avg Winner: +1.22%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +3.60%
Worst: -1.33%
Trades: 5/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +1.18%
Avg Winner: +2.58%
Avg Loser: -2.30%
Best: +6.59%
Worst: -4.15%
Trades: 5/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +1087.03%
Avg Winner: +1522.26%
Avg Loser: -1.03%
Best: +1938.40%
Worst: -1.29%
Trades: 5/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.34%
Best MFE: +7.58%
Avg Time to MFE: 99 min

On average, SEAT alerts reach +3.34% profit potential within 99 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.84%
Worst MAE: -1.82%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.84%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.99:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.99x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, SEAT typically reaches +3.34% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 42.9%
Avg Gap -0.11%
Best Gap +1.16%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MISCELLANEOUS AMUSEMENT & RECREATION

How SEAT compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SEAT: +1.14% Sector: +0.00% +1.13%
EOD Gain
SEAT: +1087.03% Sector: +7.84% +1079.20%
Avg MFE
SEAT: +3.34% Sector: +2.23% +1.11%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SEAT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-03-05 09:26:33 $5.42 +0.18% +0.74% +0.00% -4.15% -1.29% +4.43% -0.92% -0.74% WIN
2024-02-09 09:25:22 $6.01 +3.83% -4.83% -1.33% +3.08% +1856.74% +4.83% -0.17% +1.16% WIN
2023-12-28 09:29:00 $6.25 +1.12% +0.56% +1.20% +2.00% +1938.40% +2.56% +0.32% +0.64% WIN
2023-12-08 09:28:00 $6.6 +3.24% +3.11% +3.60% +6.59% +6.82% +7.58% -1.52% - WIN
2023-11-28 09:29:00 $7.95 +0.88% +0.63% +0.57% +0.69% +1930.19% +1.76% -0.25% +0.38% WIN
2023-11-16 09:25:00 $7.67 -0.91% -0.65% -0.39% -0.46% +1879.14% +0.13% -1.50% -0.91% LOSS
2023-05-18 09:27:00 $7.71 -0.39% +1.10% +0.71% +0.52% -0.78% +2.08% -1.82% -1.30% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 71.4% Baseline on SEAT

The 71.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SEAT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SEAT Strategy →

Why Analyze SEAT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SEAT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SEAT historically offers an average upside of +3.34% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SEAT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 71.4%, SEAT shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SEAT performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.14%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.