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DIS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 434 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-05

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 02, 1962 🔗 www.thewaltdisneycompany.com
💰 Market Cap: $209.55B 👥 Employees: 233,000
Disney operates in three global business segments: entertainment, sports, and experiences. Entertainment and experiences both benefit from the firm's ownership of iconic franchises and characters. Entertainment includes the ABC broadcast network, several cable television networks, and the Disney+ and Hulu streaming services. Within the segment, Disney also engages in movie and television production and distribution, with content licensed to movie theaters, other content providers, or, increasingly, kept in-house for use on Disney's own streaming platform and television networks. The sports segment houses ESPN and the ESPN+ streaming service. Experiences contains Disney's theme parks and vacation destinations, and also benefits from merchandise licensing.
📊
434
Total Alerts
🎯
46.5%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.08%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.12%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.5%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.37%
Avg Loser: -0.36%
Best: +1.73%
Worst: -1.76%
Trades: 189/243

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.7%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.55%
Avg Loser: -0.58%
Best: +2.65%
Worst: -1.99%
Trades: 194/238

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.5%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +3.04%
Worst: -2.88%
Trades: 202/231

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.9%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.83%
Best: +3.02%
Worst: -3.51%
Trades: 195/235

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.5%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -1.25%
Best: +6.39%
Worst: -6.58%
Trades: 202/229

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.12%
Best MFE: +6.51%
Avg Time to MFE: 131 min

On average, DIS alerts reach +1.12% profit potential within 131 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.52%
Worst MAE: -4.17%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.52%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.14:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.14x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 434 alerts, DIS typically reaches +1.12% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 434
Gap Up % 40.8%
Avg Gap -0.05%
Best Gap +1.28%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MISCELLANEOUS AMUSEMENT & RECREATION

How DIS compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DIS: -0.04% Sector: +0.00% -0.05%
EOD Gain
DIS: -0.10% Sector: +7.84% -7.94%
Avg MFE
DIS: +1.12% Sector: +2.23% -1.11%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DIS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-05 09:25:22 $114.99 +1.43% -1.99% -0.95% -2.28% -3.87% +3.13% -0.25% +0.62% WIN
2025-02-04 09:25:23 $114.1 -0.21% +0.32% +0.11% -0.29% -0.70% +0.49% -0.53% -0.26% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:27:55 $109.62 +0.45% +0.13% -0.55% -1.31% -0.88% +0.84% -0.11% +0.35% WIN
2025-01-07 09:29:04 $112.31 +0.82% +0.67% +0.47% - -0.82% +1.27% -0.14% -0.14% WIN
2024-12-27 09:25:13 $111.84 +0.05% -0.02% +0.13% -0.50% -0.26% +0.50% -0.03% -0.02% WIN
2024-12-23 09:26:50 $111.43 +0.12% -0.66% -0.85% -0.41% -0.03% +0.38% -0.11% +0.16% WIN
2024-12-20 09:27:34 $110.63 +0.16% +0.72% +0.57% +0.85% +1.27% +2.12% -0.19% -0.02% WIN
2024-12-19 09:28:15 $111.99 +0.50% +0.63% +0.28% +0.28% -0.55% +0.82% -0.29% -0.29% WIN
2024-12-18 09:28:43 $113.23 +1.49% +1.16% +2.07% +2.14% -1.66% +2.55% - +0.10% WIN
2024-12-16 09:29:27 $112.94 -0.35% -0.26% -0.25% -0.08% -0.73% +0.11% -0.23% +0.05% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:28:24 $116.85 +0.12% -0.44% -0.68% -0.92% -0.34% +0.33% -0.15% +0.13% WIN
2024-11-26 09:26:07 $115.79 +0.25% +0.04% +0.20% +0.16% -0.29% +0.54% +0.05% +0.18% WIN
2024-11-20 09:28:41 $111.95 +0.26% +0.02% +0.04% -0.18% +2.06% +2.16% -0.43% +0.28% WIN
2024-11-19 09:28:54 $112.14 -0.44% -0.62% -0.72% -0.29% +0.25% +0.32% -0.08% -0.08% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:29:45 $113.86 -0.25% +0.09% -0.47% +0.66% -0.28% +1.38% -0.85% -0.47% LOSS
2024-11-15 09:25:29 $109.55 +1.31% +2.37% +2.84% +3.02% +5.05% +5.15% -0.05% +0.64% WIN
2024-11-14 09:25:25 $112.29 -0.17% +1.00% +0.80% -1.18% -2.82% +2.24% -1.82% -1.75% LOSS
2024-11-07 09:26:25 $98.93 -0.29% -0.09% -0.16% +0.40% - +0.60% -0.81% -0.15% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:29:36 $98.24 +0.80% +0.32% +0.46% +0.40% +0.66% +1.33% -0.03% -0.03% WIN
2024-11-01 09:25:48 $96.25 -1.35% -0.42% -0.75% -0.15% -0.46% +0.15% -1.48% -0.57% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ DIS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 46.5% win rate and -0.08% average gain, DIS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider DIS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze DIS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DIS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DIS historically offers an average upside of +1.12% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DIS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 46.5%, DIS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests DIS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: DIS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.08%). This suggests DIS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.