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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$SMFG

Trade-Ideas alerts 45.7% at 5-min n=36 2022-04-01 → 2026-09-08

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 36 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc American Depositary Shares (each representing 1.2 shares of Common Stock) Commercial Banks, NEC (SIC 6029)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 13, 1999 🔗 www.smfg.co.jp
💰 Market Cap: $160.50B 👥 Employees: 123,000
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group is roughly tied with Mizuho Financial Group for the status of Japan's second-largest bank after Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group. As of March 2025, its market share of domestic loans was 7.3%, compared with 8.4% for MUFG. It has a larger consumer finance business than the other two megabanks, owning 100% of the Promise business and SMBC Card. It also controls one of Japan's largest leasing companies and SMBC Aviation Capital, one of the top five aircraft lessors globally. In securities, its SMBC Nikko unit is Japan's third-largest retail broker, although SMFG has lagged somewhat in institutional securities business and asset management.
Total alerts
36
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
45.7%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.18%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.71%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SMFG on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.38%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +1.20%
Worst: -3.45%
Trades: 16/19

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +0.49%
Avg Loser: -0.94%
Best: +1.20%
Worst: -3.78%
Trades: 15/19

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +0.66%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +2.20%
Worst: -4.19%
Trades: 15/20

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +3.45%
Worst: -4.02%
Trades: 16/17

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +1.02%
Avg Loser: -1.16%
Best: +3.29%
Worst: -3.12%
Trades: 16/19

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.71%
Best MFE: +3.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 128 min

On average, SMFG alerts reach +0.71% profit potential within 128 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.51%
Worst MAE: -4.27%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.51%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.41:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 36 alerts, SMFG typically reaches +0.71% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 36
Gap Up % 44.4%
Avg Gap -0.18%
Best Gap +1.65%

🏭 Sector Comparison: Commercial Banks, NEC

How SMFG compares to 30 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SMFG: -0.18% Sector: -0.02% -0.17%
EOD Gain
SMFG: -0.18% Sector: +662.22% -662.40%
Avg MFE
SMFG: +0.71% Sector: +3.39% -2.69%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SMFG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $27.23 -0.11% -0.37% -0.28% -0.79% -1.62% +0.04% -0.66% +0.04% LOSS
2026-07-30 09:25:00 $24.96 +0.30% +0.96% +2.20% +3.45% +3.29% +3.67% -0.02% +0.48% WIN
2026-06-26 09:25:00 $23.7 +0.30% +0.34% +0.46% +1.03% +0.55% +1.31% -0.04% +0.04% WIN
2026-06-24 09:25:00 $23.77 -0.59% -1.01% -0.78% -0.76% -0.63% -0.04% -0.04% -0.67% LOSS
2026-06-23 09:25:00 $23.8 -0.06% +0.50% +0.80% +0.95% +0.63% +1.34% -0.80% -0.08% LOSS
2026-06-22 09:25:00 $24.92 +0.28% +0.20% +0.52% +1.00% +0.44% +1.38% -0.16% +0.28% WIN
2026-05-20 09:25:00 $22.34 +0.18% +0.72% +0.78% +1.34% +2.24% +2.33% +0.04% +0.22% WIN
2026-05-19 09:25:00 $22.46 -0.66% -0.49% -0.04% -0.60% -0.31% +0.60% -0.85% -0.27% LOSS
2026-05-14 09:25:00 $21.87 -0.55% -0.64% -0.37% -0.27% -0.69% +0.05% -1.23% -0.41% LOSS
2026-05-13 09:25:00 $22.46 -0.85% -1.60% -0.71% +0.00% -0.58% +0.24% -0.85% -0.27% LOSS
2026-04-08 09:25:00 $21.57 +0.37% +0.37% +0.23% +0.07% +0.05% +0.67% -0.05% +0.00% WIN
2026-02-13 09:25:00 $23.74 +0.55% -0.55% -0.27% +0.21% +0.29% +0.84% -0.72% +0.08% WIN
2026-01-30 09:25:00 $21.04 +0.81% +0.90% +1.02% +0.71% -0.24% +1.28% +0.28% +0.47% WIN
2025-02-10 09:29:22 $14.76 -0.41% -0.68% -0.54% -0.68% -1.02% -0.20% -0.54% -0.47% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:29:24 $14.88 +0.27% +0.50% +0.44% +0.20% -0.60% +0.60% +0.17% +0.47% WIN
2025-02-06 09:29:00 $14.88 +0.47% +0.49% +0.81% +1.55% +1.28% +1.81% +0.07% +0.40% WIN
2025-02-05 09:26:12 $14.96 -0.33% -0.20% -0.13% +0.43% +0.40% +0.67% -0.53% +0.07% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:29:11 $14.31 -0.07% -0.10% +0.24% +0.91% +1.68% +2.52% -0.63% -0.42% LOSS
2024-10-15 09:27:16 $13.03 -0.38% -0.50% -0.38% -0.65% -1.53% +0.46% -0.61% -0.23% LOSS
2024-03-28 09:28:01 $11.79 -0.13% +0.00% -0.08% -0.13% -0.17% +0.17% -0.34% -0.25% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ SMFG Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.7% win rate and -0.18% average gain, SMFG alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SMFG for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SMFG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SMFG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SMFG historically offers an average upside of +0.71% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SMFG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.7%, SMFG shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SMFG may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SMFG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.18%). This suggests SMFG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.