SMPL Analysis: 60.0% Win Rate

Ticker Report — Active Last signal · April 09, 2026

🏢 Company Profile

The Simply Good Foods Company Common Stock FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS (SIC 2000)

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 06, 2016 🔗 www.thesimplygoodfoodscompany.com

💰 Market Cap: $1.17B 👥 Employees: 328

The Simply Good Foods Co Company is a consumer packaged food and beverage company that develops, markets, and sells protein bars, ready-to-drink protein shakes, sweet and salty snacks, and confectionery products under the Quest, Atkins, and OWYN brands. The products target consumers seeking protein-rich foods with limited sugars and carbohydrates, with OWYN offering plant-based and allergen-tested options. The company distributes mainly in North America through grocery, club, mass merchandise, e-commerce, and specialty channels. It operates two segments: Quest and Atkins, and OWYN. The company operates in North America and internationally, with the majority of revenue coming from North America.

Total alerts

Trade-Ideas signal history

Win rate · 5MIN

60.0%

Best timeframe baseline

Avg gain · 5MIN

-0.24%

Per-alert expectancy

Best trade

+0.58%

Single-alert top outcome

Practice trading SMPL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%

Avg Gain: -0.24%

Avg Winner: +0.33%

Avg Loser: -2.20%

Best: +0.58%

Worst: -2.20%

Trades: 3/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%

Avg Gain: -1.14%

Avg Winner: +0.20%

Avg Loser: -1.96%

Best: +0.20%

Worst: -2.69%

Trades: 1/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%

Avg Gain: -1.23%

Avg Winner: +1.00%

Avg Loser: -2.38%

Best: +1.00%

Worst: -4.73%

Trades: 1/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%

Avg Gain: -2.41%

Avg Winner: +0.00%

Avg Loser: -4.01%

Best: +0.00%

Worst: -6.84%

Trades: 0/3

🎯 Top Alert Patterns

Above sma200

Alerts 3

Win Rate 66.7%

Avg Gain -0.60%

Below sma200

Alerts 2

Win Rate 50.0%

Avg Gain +0.29%

📅 Recent Activity

Last 7 Days

1 alerts

Win Rate: 100.0%

Avg Gain: +0.58%

Last 30 Days

1 alerts

Win Rate: 100.0%

Avg Gain: +0.58%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SMPL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date	Time	Price	5min	15min	30min	60min	EOD	MFE	MAE	Gap	Result
2026-04-09	None	$10.48	+0.58%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2020-11-05T00:00:00	None	$19.38	+0.00%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2020-10-26T00:00:00	None	$20.95	+0.20%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2020-07-08T00:00:00	None	$22.55	+0.20%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2019-10-07T00:00:00	None	$25.55	-2.20%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ SMPL Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 60.0% win rate, SMPL has -0.24% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making SMPL profitable.

🔧 Fix SMPL Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze SMPL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SMPL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SMPL historically offers an average upside of +0.00% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SMPL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, SMPL shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.20%) outweigh average wins (+0.33%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SMPL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.24%). This suggests SMPL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.

$SMPL