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Latest signal:

SO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 35 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-01 → 2025-01-06

⚠️ Small sample size (35 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

The Southern Company ELECTRIC SERVICES (SIC 4911)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 04, 1949 🔗 www.southerncompany.com
💰 Market Cap: $96.39B 👥 Employees: 28,600
Southern is one of the largest utilities in the US. The company serves 9 million customers with vertically integrated electric utilities in three states and natural gas distribution utilities in four states. It owns 44 gigawatts of rate-regulated generating capacity, primarily for serving customers in Georgia, Alabama, and Mississippi. Subsidiary Southern Power owns 13 gigawatts of natural gas generation and renewable energy across the US and sells the electricity primarily under long-term contracts.
📊
35
Total Alerts
🎯
45.7%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.08%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+0.72%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.29%
Avg Loser: -0.48%
Best: +0.51%
Worst: -1.38%
Trades: 14/21

15MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +0.41%
Avg Loser: -0.55%
Best: +0.97%
Worst: -2.39%
Trades: 10/25

30MIN

Win Rate: 37.1%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +2.44%
Worst: -2.43%
Trades: 13/22

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.65%
Avg Loser: -0.69%
Best: +3.22%
Worst: -2.45%
Trades: 16/19

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 37.1%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +1.02%
Avg Loser: -1.01%
Best: +2.33%
Worst: -2.27%
Trades: 13/20

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.72%
Best MFE: +4.44%
Avg Time to MFE: 139 min

On average, SO alerts reach +0.72% profit potential within 139 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.46%
Worst MAE: -2.03%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.46%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.55:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 35 alerts, SO typically reaches +0.72% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 35
Gap Up % 37.1%
Avg Gap -0.14%
Best Gap +0.77%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRIC SERVICES

How SO compares to 23 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SO: -0.17% Sector: -0.25% +0.08%
EOD Gain
SO: -0.20% Sector: -0.39% +0.19%
Avg MFE
SO: +0.72% Sector: +4.31% -3.59%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-06 09:26:10 $82.84 -1.38% -2.39% -2.43% -2.45% -2.27% -0.56% -1.34% -0.98% LOSS
2025-01-03 09:27:33 $82.32 -0.12% -0.08% +0.04% +0.73% - +0.83% -0.27% -0.06% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:26:53 $82.9 -0.43% -0.52% -0.52% -0.68% -0.63% +0.07% -0.57% -0.13% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:27:12 $88.46 -0.26% -0.49% -0.30% -0.33% -0.55% -0.06% -0.42% -0.41% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:25:27 $88.88 -0.30% -0.37% -0.27% -0.12% -0.62% +0.28% -0.83% -0.83% LOSS
2024-10-07 09:28:00 $90.26 -0.76% -0.94% -1.16% -1.07% -1.52% -0.03% -0.43% -0.22% LOSS
2024-10-03 09:26:43 $91.95 -0.54% -0.55% -0.31% -0.33% -1.36% +0.01% +0.01% -0.14% LOSS
2024-10-02 09:26:07 $90.74 -0.57% -0.49% +0.09% +0.26% +0.94% +1.19% -0.68% -0.54% LOSS
2024-09-24 09:27:21 $90.41 -0.49% -0.62% -0.52% +0.17% -0.75% +0.49% -0.88% -0.46% LOSS
2024-09-19 09:28:44 $88.64 -0.42% -0.49% +0.02% -0.39% +0.25% +0.42% -0.72% +0.01% LOSS
2024-09-12 09:25:37 $88.76 +0.51% +0.06% +0.09% +0.08% -0.30% +0.52% -0.02% +0.11% WIN
2024-07-31 09:25:52 $83.99 -1.13% -1.67% -1.87% -1.08% -0.56% -0.35% -2.03% -1.25% LOSS
2024-05-09 09:26:04 $77.0 +0.45% +0.39% +0.47% +0.35% +1.62% +1.68% +0.13% +0.77% WIN
2024-05-08 09:25:41 $76.95 -0.16% -0.26% +0.01% -0.10% +0.88% +1.07% -0.38% -0.08% LOSS
2024-05-07 09:29:31 $75.2 +0.32% +0.69% +0.66% +1.13% +2.33% +2.49% - - WIN
2023-12-12 09:29:00 $71.36 -0.76% -1.02% -1.63% -1.19% -1.25% +0.18% -0.25% +0.18% LOSS
2023-11-28 09:25:00 $70.49 -0.27% -0.31% +0.28% +0.31% - +0.94% -0.79% -0.30% LOSS
2023-11-13 09:28:00 $67.86 -0.05% +0.29% -0.06% -0.13% -0.77% +0.50% +0.10% +0.13% LOSS
2023-09-27 09:29:00 $67.09 +0.14% -0.03% -0.06% +0.12% -1.42% +0.52% -0.31% -0.13% WIN
2023-05-24 09:26:00 $71.12 +0.25% +0.04% -0.08% +0.21% -0.38% +0.77% -0.18% -0.10% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.7% win rate and -0.08% average gain, SO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SO historically offers an average upside of +0.72% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.7%, SO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.08%). This suggests SO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.