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TMDX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-05 → 2025-01-10

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

TransMedics Group, Inc. Common Stock ELECTROMEDICAL & ELECTROTHERAPEUTIC APPARATUS (SIC 3845)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 02, 2019 🔗 www.transmedics.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.62B 👥 Employees: 728
TransMedics Group Inc is a commercial-stage medical technology company transforming organ transplant therapy for end-stage organ failure patients across multiple disease states. It has developed the Organ Care System(OCS) to comprehensively address the limitations of cold storage. The OCS is a portable organ perfusion, optimization and monitoring system that utilizes technology to replicate near-physiologic conditions for donor organs outside of the human body. The Company has developed and is commercializing a proprietary system to preserve and deliver human organs for transplant in a near-physiologic condition to address the limitations of cold storage organ preservation.
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.36%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+9.37%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +1.36%
Avg Winner: +2.95%
Avg Loser: -3.39%
Best: +5.31%
Worst: -3.69%
Trades: 6/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.07%
Avg Winner: +4.57%
Avg Loser: -2.42%
Best: +6.22%
Worst: -5.01%
Trades: 4/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +2.15%
Avg Winner: +6.23%
Avg Loser: -4.66%
Best: +14.23%
Worst: -7.34%
Trades: 5/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +2.22%
Avg Winner: +6.00%
Avg Loser: -4.09%
Best: +12.85%
Worst: -5.11%
Trades: 5/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +4.71%
Avg Winner: +7.51%
Avg Loser: -3.70%
Best: +16.14%
Worst: -5.47%
Trades: 6/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.37%
Best MFE: +20.73%
Avg Time to MFE: 196 min

On average, TMDX alerts reach +9.37% profit potential within 196 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.99%
Worst MAE: -8.29%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.99%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.13:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.13x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, TMDX typically reaches +9.37% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 37.5%
Avg Gap -0.35%
Best Gap +0.51%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTROMEDICAL & ELECTROTHERAPEUTIC APPARATUS

How TMDX compares to 17 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TMDX: +1.36% Sector: -0.30% +1.67%
EOD Gain
TMDX: +4.71% Sector: +884236.30% -884231.60%
Avg MFE
TMDX: +9.37% Sector: +9.64% -0.27%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TMDX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-10 09:27:56 $63.53 +4.70% -0.07% -1.18% -4.17% +8.31% +8.59% -5.32% -0.94% WIN
2024-10-29 09:27:24 $93.62 -3.69% -4.54% -5.47% -5.11% -5.47% +3.00% -3.76% -2.64% LOSS
2024-08-09 09:25:43 $161.85 +1.83% +0.55% +0.34% +1.67% +0.64% +3.01% -0.87% - WIN
2024-05-01 09:29:05 $110.0 +3.42% +5.42% +8.08% +8.05% +6.91% +12.89% -4.13% - WIN
2024-02-27 09:25:40 $90.45 -3.10% -5.01% -7.34% -2.99% -1.92% +2.41% -8.29% +0.01% LOSS
2023-11-07 09:28:00 $56.71 +5.31% +6.08% +14.23% +12.85% +7.14% +20.73% -0.37% +0.51% WIN
2023-05-09 09:29:00 $71.25 +0.24% -0.06% +0.20% +0.81% +5.91% +7.87% -0.84% -0.21% WIN
2022-08-05 09:25:00 $42.0 +2.19% +6.22% +8.31% +6.62% +16.14% +16.43% -0.36% +0.48% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on TMDX

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TMDX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TMDX Strategy →

Why Analyze TMDX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TMDX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TMDX historically offers an average upside of +9.37% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TMDX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, TMDX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TMDX performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.36%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.