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MDT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 56 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-12 → 2025-01-24

⚠️ Small sample size (56 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.medtronic.com
💰 Market Cap: $129.33B 👥 Employees: 95,000
One of the largest medical-device companies, Medtronic develops and manufactures therapeutic medical devices for chronic diseases. Its portfolio includes pacemakers, defibrillators, transcatheter heart valves, stents, insulin pumps, spinal fixation devices, neurovascular products, advanced energy, ablation laser therapy, and surgical tools. The company primarily markets its products to healthcare institutions and physicians in the United States, Western Europe, and Japan. Foreign sales account for roughly 50% of the company's total sales.
📊
56
Total Alerts
🎯
60.7%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.12%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.08%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -0.37%
Best: +1.83%
Worst: -1.53%
Trades: 28/28

15MIN

Win Rate: 53.6%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.72%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +3.05%
Worst: -3.06%
Trades: 30/25

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.7%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.72%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +2.33%
Worst: -2.81%
Trades: 34/22

60MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.73%
Avg Loser: -0.78%
Best: +2.63%
Worst: -2.36%
Trades: 32/24

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.8%
Avg Gain: +0.19%
Avg Winner: +1.13%
Avg Loser: -0.82%
Best: +2.58%
Worst: -2.10%
Trades: 29/27

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.08%
Best MFE: +3.70%
Avg Time to MFE: 132 min

On average, MDT alerts reach +1.08% profit potential within 132 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.33%
Worst MAE: -2.26%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.33%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.27:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.27x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 56 alerts, MDT typically reaches +1.08% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 56
Gap Up % 57.1%
Avg Gap +0.06%
Best Gap +1.11%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTROMEDICAL & ELECTROTHERAPEUTIC APPARATUS

How MDT compares to 17 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MDT: +0.07% Sector: -0.30% +0.38%
EOD Gain
MDT: +0.19% Sector: +884236.30% -884236.11%
Avg MFE
MDT: +1.08% Sector: +9.64% -8.56%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MDT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-24 09:27:51 $89.0 -0.08% +0.17% +0.12% +0.27% +1.34% +1.46% -0.20% +0.12% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:25:06 $80.7 -0.35% -0.14% +0.30% +0.14% -1.07% +0.55% -0.50% -0.22% LOSS
2024-12-18 09:26:28 $81.5 -0.14% -0.04% -0.12% -0.18% -1.80% +0.20% -0.61% -0.16% LOSS
2024-12-12 09:28:15 $82.8 +0.17% - +0.21% +0.24% -0.08% +0.54% -0.36% +0.13% WIN
2024-11-27 09:27:23 $85.83 +0.70% +0.74% +0.66% +0.93% +0.51% +1.25% +0.10% +0.35% WIN
2024-11-08 09:26:02 $88.5 -0.36% -0.60% -0.11% -0.24% -0.88% +0.21% -0.60% -0.16% LOSS
2024-10-24 09:28:36 $92.56 -0.02% -0.21% -0.30% -0.54% -1.70% +0.13% -0.15% -0.08% LOSS
2024-10-23 09:25:41 $91.0 -0.05% +0.08% +0.20% -0.09% +1.40% +1.53% -0.35% -0.29% LOSS
2024-10-09 09:27:45 $88.05 -0.18% +0.01% -0.11% -0.41% +0.34% +0.44% -0.43% -0.10% LOSS
2024-10-08 09:28:40 $87.49 +0.52% +0.80% +0.78% +0.16% +0.74% +1.22% -0.30% -0.19% WIN
2024-10-01 09:25:14 $90.03 -0.09% -0.01% -0.18% +0.04% -0.03% +0.36% -0.54% +0.24% LOSS
2024-09-18 09:28:59 $88.31 -0.52% -0.39% -0.39% -0.57% -0.20% +0.23% -0.72% -0.32% LOSS
2024-09-05 09:27:18 $91.03 -0.66% -1.09% -1.04% -1.07% -1.80% +0.16% -0.25% +0.14% LOSS
2024-08-26 09:25:39 $88.26 -0.05% +0.53% +0.95% +1.67% +1.22% +2.12% -0.16% +0.39% LOSS
2024-08-22 09:26:33 $87.88 +0.10% +0.51% +0.46% +0.56% -0.06% +1.54% -0.28% +0.03% WIN
2024-08-09 09:28:11 $82.21 -0.33% -0.26% -0.49% -0.64% -0.21% +0.23% -0.12% +0.09% LOSS
2024-07-24 09:25:11 $79.43 +0.29% +0.31% +0.29% -0.31% +0.68% +1.17% -0.63% +0.19% WIN
2024-07-22 09:29:20 $79.48 +0.20% +0.03% -0.40% +0.31% -0.23% +0.75% -0.50% +0.09% WIN
2024-07-16 09:29:14 $77.39 -0.47% -0.66% +0.09% +0.61% +0.92% +1.05% -0.92% -0.45% LOSS
2024-07-08 09:28:27 $77.68 -0.21% -0.55% -0.42% -0.55% -1.08% -0.10% -0.37% -0.32% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 60.7% Baseline on MDT

The 60.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MDT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MDT Strategy →

Why Analyze MDT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MDT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MDT historically offers an average upside of +1.08% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MDT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.7%, MDT shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MDT performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.12%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.