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TOON Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-06-26 → 2023-08-15

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Jul 24, 2009 🔗 www.kartoonstudios.com
💰 Market Cap: $38.3M 👥 Employees: 344
Kartoon Studios Inc is a media company developing, producing, marketing, and licensing branded animated entertainment properties and consumer products for media and retail distribution. Its portfolio features programming for toddlers to tweens, including the preschool properties Rainbow Rangers for Nick Jr. and Llama Llama for Netflix, Stan Lee's Superhero Kindergarten, Shaq's Garage, toddler brand Baby Genius, STEM-based series Thomas Edison's Secret Lab, Warren Buffett's Secret Millionaires Club, and the new preschool show, Stan Lee's Superhero Kindergarten. Its channel is available on television and mobile devices through distribution platforms, including Comcast, Cox, DISH, Sling TV, Apple TV, Roku, Android TV, Tubi, Xumo, and Amazon Fire.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.02%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.65%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -3.09%
Best: +1.80%
Worst: -3.09%
Trades: 3/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.79%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.79%
Best: -0.68%
Worst: -13.40%
Trades: 0/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -5.82%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -11.90%
Best: +0.52%
Worst: -19.59%
Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -5.06%
Avg Winner: +2.02%
Avg Loser: -11.13%
Best: +2.02%
Worst: -21.99%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -10.96%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -10.96%
Best: -3.14%
Worst: -26.12%
Trades: 0/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.65%
Best MFE: +3.60%
Avg Time to MFE: 36 min

On average, TOON alerts reach +2.65% profit potential within 36 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.31%
Worst MAE: -5.11%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.31%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.15:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, TOON typically reaches +2.65% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +1.04%
Best Gap +3.09%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MOTION PICTURE & VIDEO TAPE PRODUCTION

How TOON compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TOON: -0.63% Sector: -0.27% -0.36%
EOD Gain
TOON: -10.96% Sector: -0.59% -10.37%
Avg MFE
TOON: +2.33% Sector: +4.68% -2.35%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TOON alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-08-15 09:29:00 $1.91 +0.52% -0.68% +0.52% - -3.14% +2.62% -0.52% +2.09% WIN
2023-07-03 09:25:00 $1.94 -3.09% -2.06% - -0.26% -3.61% +1.29% -3.61% -1.03% LOSS
2023-06-27 09:27:00 $2.91 +0.69% -13.40% -19.59% -21.99% -26.12% +3.09% - +3.09% WIN
2023-06-26 09:26:00 $3.33 +1.80% -3.00% -4.20% +2.02% - +3.60% -5.11% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ TOON Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 75.0% win rate, TOON has -0.02% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making TOON profitable.

🔧 Fix TOON Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze TOON with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TOON. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TOON historically offers an average upside of +2.65% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TOON Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, TOON shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-3.09%) outweigh average wins (+1.00%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TOON shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.02%). This suggests TOON is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.