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FUBO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 546 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 09, 2013 🔗 www.fubo.tv
💰 Market Cap: $850.0M 👥 Employees: 590
FuboTV Inc is a sports-first, live TV streaming company offering subscribers access to tens of thousands of live sporting events annually as well as news and entertainment content. Its platform, FuboTV, allows customers to access content through streaming devices and on SmartTVs, mobile phones, tablets, and computers. It offers subscribers a live TV streaming service with the option to purchase incremental features available for purchase that include additional content or enhanced functionality suited to their preferences. The company has one operating segment, the streaming business. Geographically, the company generates a majority of its revenue from the United States and also has a presence in other markets.
📊
546
Total Alerts
🎯
44.4%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.27%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+4.69%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.9%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.33%
Avg Loser: -1.46%
Best: +11.49%
Worst: -8.67%
Trades: 223/306

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +2.34%
Avg Loser: -2.41%
Best: +15.08%
Worst: -15.58%
Trades: 242/295

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +3.00%
Avg Loser: -2.74%
Best: +19.17%
Worst: -20.63%
Trades: 242/297

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.2%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +3.45%
Avg Loser: -3.35%
Best: +17.99%
Worst: -15.72%
Trades: 241/293

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 41.6%
Avg Gain: -0.47%
Avg Winner: +5.17%
Avg Loser: -4.81%
Best: +45.31%
Worst: -22.32%
Trades: 227/297

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.69%
Best MFE: +86.27%
Avg Time to MFE: 102 min

On average, FUBO alerts reach +4.69% profit potential within 102 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.85%
Worst MAE: -23.37%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.85%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.54:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.54x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 546 alerts, FUBO typically reaches +4.69% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 546
Gap Up % 26.9%
Avg Gap -0.30%
Best Gap +2.99%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MOTION PICTURE & VIDEO TAPE PRODUCTION

How FUBO compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FUBO: -0.28% Sector: -0.27% -0.01%
EOD Gain
FUBO: -0.47% Sector: -0.59% +0.12%
Avg MFE
FUBO: +4.69% Sector: +4.68% +0.01%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FUBO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:03 $3.92 +1.79% +1.79% +2.93% +0.77% +3.57% +4.08% -1.28% +0.26% WIN
2025-02-13 09:29:45 $3.68 +1.65% +2.58% +1.17% +2.04% +5.98% +6.52% -1.09% -0.54% WIN
2025-02-12 09:27:19 $3.68 +0.54% +0.27% +0.95% +1.36% -0.82% +3.12% -1.08% +0.54% WIN
2025-02-11 09:25:12 $3.82 -1.56% -0.26% +1.05% +1.83% -2.62% +5.37% -1.83% - LOSS
2025-02-10 09:28:50 $4.03 - -0.50% -2.73% -1.63% -4.47% +1.24% -1.99% -0.50% -
2025-02-07 09:25:12 $4.03 - -2.02% -1.73% -1.12% -1.99% +0.25% +0.25% - -
2025-02-06 09:26:29 $4.42 -1.36% -2.83% -3.73% -4.52% -8.60% +0.45% -0.91% +0.23% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:26:20 $4.63 -3.46% -5.94% -4.73% -4.00% -3.67% -0.22% -0.65% -1.08% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:25:07 $4.18 -0.72% +2.16% +7.36% +7.45% +9.57% +12.68% -1.20% -0.24% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:27:23 $3.87 +1.43% - +0.39% +1.81% +7.49% +8.24% -1.55% +0.39% WIN
2025-01-31 09:27:10 $4.13 +1.69% +0.72% +0.05% +0.25% -2.18% +3.39% -0.24% +0.48% WIN
2025-01-30 09:26:49 $4.16 - +1.73% -0.24% -2.04% -0.96% +3.37% -1.20% +0.48% -
2025-01-29 09:28:00 $3.99 +4.75% +1.38% +2.38% +2.50% +2.26% +6.52% -0.50% -0.25% WIN
2025-01-28 09:27:12 $3.71 +0.67% +0.94% +2.56% +7.15% +6.47% +7.95% -0.27% +0.81% WIN
2025-01-27 09:27:01 $3.89 -1.67% +1.53% +0.39% +1.41% -5.14% +2.57% -1.80% +1.03% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:29:14 $3.92 +1.02% +2.44% +3.01% +2.65% +3.06% +5.87% -1.53% +0.26% WIN
2025-01-23 09:25:35 $3.57 +3.50% +5.04% +4.90% +5.60% +11.76% +14.57% +0.00% +0.84% WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:04 $3.65 +0.14% -2.88% -2.98% - -0.82% +2.47% -3.84% -0.55% WIN
2025-01-21 09:27:20 $3.82 +0.37% -1.35% -1.18% -2.09% -3.93% +2.88% -4.19% - WIN
2025-01-17 09:28:34 $4.05 -0.99% +1.24% +4.69% -0.51% -5.68% +6.17% -1.98% +0.49% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ FUBO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 44.4% win rate and -0.27% average gain, FUBO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider FUBO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze FUBO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FUBO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FUBO historically offers an average upside of +4.69% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FUBO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.4%, FUBO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests FUBO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: FUBO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.27%). This suggests FUBO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.