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TOPP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2025-01-23 → 2025-01-30

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Jan 22, 2025 🔗 www.toppointtrucking.com
💰 Market Cap: $17.6M 👥 Employees: 2
Toppoint Holdings Inc is a truckload services and solutions provider focused on the recycling export supply chain. The company operates in one operating segment where it derives its revenues from the delivery of truckload services.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+2.74%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+10.58%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.74%
Avg Winner: +2.74%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.38%
Worst: +2.11%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -5.43%
Avg Winner: +0.26%
Avg Loser: -11.11%
Best: +0.26%
Worst: -11.11%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -10.76%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -10.76%
Best: -2.29%
Worst: -19.23%
Trades: 0/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -8.94%
Avg Winner: +3.91%
Avg Loser: -21.79%
Best: +3.91%
Worst: -21.79%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -15.07%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -15.07%
Best: -4.06%
Worst: -26.07%
Trades: 0/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +10.58%
Best MFE: +16.88%
Avg Time to MFE: 7 min

On average, TOPP alerts reach +10.58% profit potential within 7 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.14%
Worst MAE: -8.97%
Avg Time to MAE: 1 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.14%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.06:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.06x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, TOPP typically reaches +10.58% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.42%
Best Gap +2.14%

🏭 Sector Comparison: TRUCKING & COURIER SERVICES (NO AIR)

How TOPP compares to 2 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TOPP: +2.74% Sector: +0.13% +2.61%
EOD Gain
TOPP: -15.07% Sector: -1.47% -13.60%
Avg MFE
TOPP: +10.58% Sector: +1.82% +8.75%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TOPP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-30 09:26:19 $2.34 +2.11% -11.11% -19.23% -21.79% -26.07% +4.27% -8.97% +2.14% WIN
2025-01-23 09:29:52 $3.85 +3.38% +0.26% -2.29% +3.91% -4.06% +16.88% -1.30% -1.30% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on TOPP

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TOPP's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TOPP Strategy →

Why Analyze TOPP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TOPP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TOPP historically offers an average upside of +10.58% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TOPP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, TOPP shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TOPP performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.74%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.