$ZTO
Trade-Ideas alerts 52.9% at 5-min n=85 2022-01-04 → 2026-10-01
⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 85 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
Practice trading ZTO on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ZTO alerts reach +1.39% profit potential within 78 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.96%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 85 alerts, ZTO typically reaches +1.39% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: Trucking & Courier Services (No Air)
How ZTO compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ZTO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 09:25:00 | $19.42 | -0.08% | +0.26% | +0.36% | +0.28% | -0.15% | +0.59% | -0.08% | +0.15% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-28 | 09:25:00 | $19.69 | +0.25% | -0.30% | -0.23% | -0.30% | -0.10% | +0.30% | -0.20% | -0.20% | WIN |
| 2026-09-24 | 09:25:00 | $19.72 | +0.58% | +0.35% | +0.28% | -0.56% | -1.27% | +0.86% | +0.51% | +0.66% | WIN |
| 2026-09-23 | 09:25:00 | $19.77 | -0.51% | -0.91% | -0.99% | -0.96% | -0.81% | +0.00% | -0.61% | -0.05% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-22 | 09:25:00 | $19.75 | +0.46% | +0.38% | -0.17% | +0.13% | +0.43% | +0.89% | +0.00% | +0.23% | WIN |
| 2026-09-21 | 09:25:00 | $20.05 | -1.95% | -2.94% | -3.67% | -3.37% | -2.99% | +0.25% | +0.05% | -0.10% | LOSS |
| 2026-08-07 | 09:25:00 | $23.75 | -0.63% | -1.01% | -1.01% | -1.20% | -0.63% | +0.76% | -0.63% | -0.63% | LOSS |
| 2026-07-07 | 09:25:00 | $22.65 | +2.01% | +2.25% | +2.19% | +2.12% | +2.30% | +2.69% | +1.13% | +1.55% | WIN |
| 2026-06-05 | 09:25:00 | $22.61 | -0.53% | -0.27% | -0.33% | -0.84% | -1.46% | -0.13% | -0.71% | -0.13% | LOSS |
| 2026-05-20 | 09:25:00 | $22.5 | +0.47% | +0.66% | +1.87% | +2.04% | +3.20% | +3.33% | -1.02% | +0.76% | WIN |
| 2026-05-18 | 09:25:00 | $23.43 | +0.17% | -0.73% | -0.38% | +0.09% | +0.51% | +0.64% | -0.17% | +0.64% | WIN |
| 2026-03-19 | 09:25:00 | $24.46 | -1.35% | +0.37% | +2.08% | +2.29% | +3.31% | +3.48% | -2.49% | -0.63% | LOSS |
| 2026-01-05 | 09:25:00 | $21.46 | +0.84% | +0.79% | +1.05% | +0.37% | +1.16% | +1.82% | -0.33% | -0.33% | WIN |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:26:49 | $19.16 | +1.85% | +2.32% | +1.96% | +1.91% | +2.51% | +2.73% | +0.26% | +0.89% | WIN |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:26:16 | $19.25 | +0.62% | -0.52% | -0.10% | -0.10% | -0.10% | +0.88% | +0.21% | +0.36% | WIN |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:28:17 | $18.44 | +0.38% | +0.41% | +1.06% | +0.73% | +0.11% | +1.25% | +0.00% | +0.38% | WIN |
| 2025-01-06 | 09:26:13 | $19.53 | -1.51% | -2.25% | -2.23% | -2.33% | -3.17% | -0.05% | -1.28% | -1.74% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-05 | 09:27:46 | $23.06 | +0.82% | +0.52% | +0.37% | +0.13% | -0.39% | +1.78% | +0.48% | +0.52% | WIN |
| 2024-10-04 | 09:25:16 | $27.24 | +0.04% | +0.29% | -0.99% | -0.20% | -0.92% | +0.95% | -0.88% | -0.88% | WIN |
| 2024-10-02 | 09:25:34 | $26.93 | -0.50% | -0.82% | -1.15% | -1.08% | +0.11% | +0.71% | -0.11% | +0.22% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠ ZTO Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 52.9% win rate, ZTO has -0.01% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making ZTO profitable.
🔧 Fix ZTO Risk / Reward →Why Analyze ZTO with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ZTO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ZTO historically offers an average upside of +1.39% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ZTO Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 52.9%, ZTO shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.97%) outweigh average wins (+0.80%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: ZTO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.01%). This suggests ZTO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.