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UDMY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-09 → 2025-01-21

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Udemy, Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-EDUCATIONAL SERVICES (SIC 8200)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 29, 2021 🔗 www.udemy.com
💰 Market Cap: $736.7M 👥 Employees: 1,246
Udemy Inc operates a marketplace platform at the center of a vibrant knowledge network. The company operates under two operating and reportable segments Consumer and Enterprise, out of which the Enterprise segment derives the maximum revenue. Geographically, the company derives maximum revenue from North America. The company leverages data, technology, and insights for effective learning experiences. It helps individuals and organizations to possess effective skill acquisition and development with flexibility.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+2.54%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+4.85%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.55%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -4.10%
Best: +1.00%
Worst: -4.10%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.45%
Avg Winner: +1.54%
Avg Loser: -0.64%
Best: +1.54%
Worst: -0.64%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.27%
Avg Winner: +2.72%
Avg Loser: -0.19%
Best: +2.72%
Worst: -0.19%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.54%
Avg Winner: +2.54%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.00%
Worst: +1.09%
Trades: 2/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.13%
Avg Winner: +3.13%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.99%
Worst: +0.26%
Trades: 2/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.85%
Best MFE: +7.90%
Avg Time to MFE: 171 min

On average, UDMY alerts reach +4.85% profit potential within 171 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.05%
Worst MAE: -4.10%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.05%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.36:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.36x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, UDMY typically reaches +4.85% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +1.02%
Best Gap +1.41%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-EDUCATIONAL SERVICES

How UDMY compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
UDMY: -1.55% Sector: -0.49% -1.07%
EOD Gain
UDMY: +3.13% Sector: +426.83% -423.70%
Avg MFE
UDMY: +4.85% Sector: +5.81% -0.96%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UDMY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-21 09:29:25 $7.8 -4.10% -0.64% -0.19% +1.09% +0.26% +1.79% -4.10% +1.41% LOSS
2022-03-09 09:25:00 $11.01 +1.00% +1.54% +2.72% +4.00% +5.99% +7.90% - +0.64% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on UDMY

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push UDMY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize UDMY Strategy →

Why Analyze UDMY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UDMY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UDMY historically offers an average upside of +4.85% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UDMY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, UDMY shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show UDMY performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.54%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.