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CHGG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 29 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2025-01-14

⚠️ Small sample size (29 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 13, 2013 🔗 www.chegg.com
💰 Market Cap: $84.7M 👥 Employees: 1,271
Chegg Inc is an American educational services company. The Chegg platform provides products and services to support learners with their academic course materials, as well as their career and personal skills development. The company's service and product offerings fall into two categories: Subscription Services, which encompasses Chegg Study Pack, Chegg Study, Chegg Writing, Chegg Math, and Busuu offerings that can be accessed internationally through the company's websites and on mobile devices, and Skills and Other, which encompasses skills, advertising services, print textbooks, and eTextbooks offerings.
📊
29
Total Alerts
🎯
58.6%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.54%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+6.62%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.7%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +2.35%
Avg Loser: -3.07%
Best: +7.94%
Worst: -6.43%
Trades: 15/14

15MIN

Win Rate: 55.2%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +3.79%
Avg Loser: -4.54%
Best: +7.93%
Worst: -13.38%
Trades: 16/13

30MIN

Win Rate: 58.6%
Avg Gain: -0.54%
Avg Winner: +3.43%
Avg Loser: -6.17%
Best: +10.52%
Worst: -14.33%
Trades: 17/12

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.2%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +4.47%
Avg Loser: -5.88%
Best: +10.80%
Worst: -16.62%
Trades: 16/12

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.2%
Avg Gain: +0.25%
Avg Winner: +6.61%
Avg Loser: -7.58%
Best: +15.98%
Worst: -18.41%
Trades: 16/13

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.62%
Best MFE: +16.63%
Avg Time to MFE: 136 min

On average, CHGG alerts reach +6.62% profit potential within 136 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.97%
Worst MAE: -10.61%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.97%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.37:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.37x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 29 alerts, CHGG typically reaches +6.62% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 29
Gap Up % 48.3%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +3.50%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-EDUCATIONAL SERVICES

How CHGG compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CHGG: -0.26% Sector: -0.49% +0.22%
EOD Gain
CHGG: +0.25% Sector: +426.83% -426.58%
Avg MFE
CHGG: +6.62% Sector: +5.81% +0.81%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CHGG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-14 09:28:33 $1.56 -5.15% -0.96% -7.12% -6.41% -3.85% +1.28% -3.20% -0.64% LOSS
2024-12-02 09:25:12 $2.1 +3.33% +3.80% +2.14% +7.86% +12.86% +14.29% - +0.48% WIN
2024-11-13 09:26:25 $1.49 -3.02% -4.70% -8.72% -0.34% +6.04% +6.71% -10.06% -1.34% LOSS
2024-08-06 09:26:22 $2.54 -5.51% -13.38% -11.42% -11.61% -10.24% +2.05% +2.05% -3.54% LOSS
2024-07-16 09:29:54 $3.42 +7.94% +6.87% +8.48% +6.11% +8.77% +9.94% - - WIN
2024-06-18 09:27:43 $3.11 -6.43% +4.14% -0.80% -3.05% -13.18% +4.66% -10.61% -2.89% LOSS
2024-04-30 09:25:54 $6.18 -3.24% -6.23% -9.14% -8.66% -16.34% +0.81% -1.29% +0.65% LOSS
2024-02-06 09:25:21 $8.46 +2.36% +7.80% +10.52% +8.10% +3.19% +15.25% +1.06% +1.06% WIN
2023-11-20 09:26:00 $9.73 -2.98% -4.42% -4.84% -0.77% +0.82% +2.36% -6.68% -1.80% LOSS
2023-11-15 09:25:00 $9.2 +2.17% +7.93% +8.15% +9.57% +14.02% +16.63% +0.43% +2.07% WIN
2023-10-31 09:29:00 $8.5 -3.65% -9.88% -9.65% -11.41% -11.41% +1.76% -1.65% +0.94% LOSS
2023-08-17 09:26:00 $9.99 +0.70% +3.37% +3.59% +5.76% +6.21% +8.01% -0.10% +3.10% WIN
2023-08-08 09:27:00 $12.82 -4.99% -9.78% -14.33% -16.62% -18.41% +3.74% -0.16% +2.18% LOSS
2023-05-12 09:29:00 $9.68 +2.53% +1.86% +0.62% +1.24% +0.31% +2.69% +0.10% +1.34% WIN
2023-05-04 09:28:00 $10.06 +0.20% -0.62% -1.79% -1.89% -6.16% +1.69% -0.50% -0.10% WIN
2023-05-03 09:27:00 $9.72 -3.24% +3.80% +1.24% +5.97% +4.63% +13.89% -4.32% -1.03% LOSS
2023-05-02 09:29:00 $9.35 +2.14% -2.64% +2.83% -0.96% -2.89% +5.35% -1.60% -1.07% WIN
2023-04-20 09:27:00 $18.02 +3.44% +2.50% +2.39% +3.47% +3.22% +4.16% +0.44% +2.11% WIN
2023-02-08 09:27:00 $17.61 +0.51% +0.34% +0.80% +1.59% -0.23% +2.95% -0.60% -0.57% WIN
2023-02-07 09:27:00 $16.57 +1.99% +0.12% +1.45% +1.36% +5.19% +6.10% -2.72% -0.60% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CHGG Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 58.6% win rate, CHGG has -0.54% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making CHGG profitable.

🔧 Fix CHGG Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze CHGG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CHGG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CHGG historically offers an average upside of +6.62% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CHGG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 58.6%, CHGG shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-6.17%) outweigh average wins (+3.43%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CHGG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.54%). This suggests CHGG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.