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ULBI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-07-27 → 2024-04-25

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 23, 1992 🔗 www.ultralifecorporation.com
💰 Market Cap: $106.2M 👥 Employees: 671
Ultralife Corp provides products and services ranging from power solutions to communications and electronics systems to customers across the globe in the government and defense, medical, safety and security, energy, and industrial sectors. The company designs, manufactures, installs, and maintains power and communications systems including rechargeable and non-rechargeable batteries, charging systems, communications and electronics systems and accessories, and custom-engineered systems. The company's segments include Battery and Energy Products, and Communications Systems. It generates maximum revenue from the Battery and Energy Products segment, and from the U.S. The Battery & Energy Products segment includes Lithium 9-volt, cylindrical, and various other non-rechargeable batteries.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+7.40%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+13.70%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +4.79%
Avg Winner: +8.52%
Avg Loser: -2.67%
Best: +16.56%
Worst: -2.67%
Trades: 2/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +4.10%
Avg Winner: +7.61%
Avg Loser: -2.90%
Best: +9.54%
Worst: -2.90%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +2.25%
Avg Winner: +8.04%
Avg Loser: -0.64%
Best: +8.04%
Worst: -0.97%
Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +1.23%
Avg Winner: +5.36%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: +5.36%
Worst: -1.07%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +7.40%
Avg Winner: +7.40%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +18.61%
Worst: +0.11%
Trades: 3/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +13.70%
Best MFE: +30.28%
Avg Time to MFE: 140 min

On average, ULBI alerts reach +13.70% profit potential within 140 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.85%
Worst MAE: -4.44%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.85%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.81:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.81x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, ULBI typically reaches +13.70% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 11.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +2.01%
Best Gap +2.67%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MISCELLANEOUS ELECTRICAL MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES

How ULBI compares to 24 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ULBI: +4.79% Sector: -0.46% +5.25%
EOD Gain
ULBI: +7.40% Sector: +197.82% -190.42%
Avg MFE
ULBI: +13.70% Sector: +6.28% +7.42%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ULBI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-04-25 09:25:43 $10.35 +0.48% -2.90% -0.97% -0.62% +3.48% +3.86% -4.44% +1.45% WIN
2024-02-15 09:26:31 $9.35 -2.67% +5.67% -0.32% -1.07% +0.11% +6.95% -2.67% +2.67% LOSS
2023-07-27 09:29:00 $6.34 +16.56% +9.54% +8.04% +5.36% +18.61% +30.28% -1.42% +1.89% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on ULBI

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ULBI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ULBI Strategy →

Why Analyze ULBI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ULBI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ULBI historically offers an average upside of +13.70% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ULBI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, ULBI shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ULBI performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +7.40%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.