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QS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 331 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

QuantumScape Corporation Class A Common Stock MISCELLANEOUS ELECTRICAL MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES (SIC 3690)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 27, 2020 🔗 www.quantumscape.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.23B 👥 Employees: 800
QuantumScape Corp is engaged in the development of next-generation solid-state lithium-metal batteries for use in electric vehicles and other applications. The company's solid-state lithium-metal battery technology is designed to offer greater energy density, faster charging, and enhanced safety. Its battery cells have none of the host materials used in conventional anodes.
📊
331
Total Alerts
🎯
45.9%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.00%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+3.51%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.1%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.22%
Avg Loser: -1.08%
Best: +8.59%
Worst: -5.68%
Trades: 146/180

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.8%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +2.13%
Avg Loser: -1.76%
Best: +14.70%
Worst: -5.73%
Trades: 135/187

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +2.59%
Avg Loser: -2.11%
Best: +22.98%
Worst: -7.47%
Trades: 142/183

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.9%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +2.87%
Avg Loser: -2.43%
Best: +17.17%
Worst: -8.08%
Trades: 152/179

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 41.1%
Avg Gain: -0.33%
Avg Winner: +3.99%
Avg Loser: -3.39%
Best: +17.86%
Worst: -12.69%
Trades: 136/192

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.51%
Best MFE: +30.77%
Avg Time to MFE: 100 min

On average, QS alerts reach +3.51% profit potential within 100 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.43%
Worst MAE: -8.24%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.43%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.45:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.45x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 331 alerts, QS typically reaches +3.51% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 331
Gap Up % 34.1%
Avg Gap -0.17%
Best Gap +3.60%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MISCELLANEOUS ELECTRICAL MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES

How QS compares to 24 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
QS: -0.05% Sector: -0.46% +0.41%
EOD Gain
QS: -0.33% Sector: +197.82% -198.15%
Avg MFE
QS: +3.51% Sector: +6.28% -2.78%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical QS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:15 $5.22 +1.95% +1.82% +4.31% +3.74% +0.19% +5.17% -0.10% +0.38% WIN
2025-02-13 09:28:15 $4.89 +8.59% +2.66% +3.58% +5.01% +5.73% +9.59% +0.20% +1.02% WIN
2025-02-12 09:28:45 $4.79 -0.73% +0.52% +0.13% +0.52% +0.84% +3.76% -2.51% -0.42% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:27:35 $4.96 -0.71% +0.20% +0.71% +0.30% -4.03% +1.01% -1.21% +0.20% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:25:29 $5.0 -0.83% -1.02% -0.40% -0.12% +0.20% +1.00% -1.60% -0.20% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:27:19 $5.01 +0.50% -0.42% +0.70% +0.10% -1.40% +1.00% -0.60% +0.60% WIN
2025-02-06 09:26:10 $5.01 +0.40% +0.90% +0.80% +1.21% - +2.79% -0.20% - WIN
2025-02-04 09:28:08 $5.02 -0.40% -0.20% -0.20% +0.30% +1.00% +2.29% -1.70% -0.60% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:27:47 $5.0 -0.40% +0.04% - -0.07% -0.60% +1.60% -1.60% - LOSS
2025-01-31 09:28:02 $5.24 +2.29% +2.67% +3.41% +6.11% -1.34% +6.30% -0.19% +0.19% WIN
2025-01-30 09:27:19 $5.12 +1.27% +1.95% +1.83% +1.57% +1.56% +3.52% - - WIN
2025-01-29 09:29:24 $5.11 -0.47% -0.78% -0.88% +0.29% -0.20% +1.57% - - LOSS
2025-01-28 09:26:32 $5.06 -1.38% -2.37% -1.58% -0.89% +1.38% +1.38% -2.59% -0.20% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:17 $5.04 +0.89% +0.40% +0.60% +1.39% +0.60% +2.78% -1.29% +0.79% WIN
2025-01-24 09:25:00 $5.21 +0.67% +0.12% - +1.13% -0.96% +2.11% -1.15% +0.19% WIN
2025-01-23 09:25:07 $5.02 +0.38% +0.12% -0.40% +0.20% +2.99% +3.78% -1.00% +0.40% WIN
2025-01-22 09:28:33 $5.12 +0.54% -1.76% -1.86% -0.59% -1.76% +0.78% -0.98% -0.39% WIN
2025-01-21 09:26:39 $5.25 +0.19% +0.48% -1.62% -0.77% -2.48% +1.52% -0.57% +0.19% WIN
2025-01-17 09:29:50 $5.37 +1.77% +1.49% +0.93% -0.19% -2.79% +2.42% -1.31% -1.30% WIN
2025-01-16 09:27:09 $5.37 -1.12% -0.47% -0.37% -0.19% -2.05% +2.05% -2.98% -0.56% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ QS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.9% win rate and +0.00% average gain, QS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider QS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze QS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for QS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, QS historically offers an average upside of +3.51% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 QS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.9%, QS shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: QS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at +0.00%). This suggests QS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.