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VFF Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 18 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2023-11-09

⚠️ Small sample size (18 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Village Farms International, Inc. Common Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 18, 2010 🔗 www.villagefarms.com
💰 Market Cap: $392.8M 👥 Employees: 1,400
Village Farms International Inc owns and operates intensive agricultural greenhouse facilities in British Columbia and Texas, where it produces, markets and sells tomatoes, bell peppers and cucumbers. Its wholly owned subsidiary, Pure Sunfarms, is a vertically integrated licensed producer and supplier of cannabis products sold to other licensed providers and provincial governments across Canada and internationally. The Company's wholly owned subsidiary, Balanced Health, develops and sells, cannabidiol (CBD) based products including ingestible, edible and topical applications. The operating segments of the Company are VF Fresh (Produce), Cannabis Canada, Cannabis U.S., Clean Energy, and Leli . The company makes majority of its revenue from the Produce segment.
📊
18
Total Alerts
🎯
44.4%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-1.00%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+3.45%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -0.59%
Avg Winner: +0.94%
Avg Loser: -1.19%
Best: +1.28%
Worst: -3.14%
Trades: 4/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.49%
Avg Winner: +1.11%
Avg Loser: -2.79%
Best: +2.48%
Worst: -6.28%
Trades: 6/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -1.00%
Avg Winner: +1.93%
Avg Loser: -3.35%
Best: +6.27%
Worst: -8.71%
Trades: 8/10

60MIN

Win Rate: 27.8%
Avg Gain: -2.13%
Avg Winner: +1.51%
Avg Loser: -3.53%
Best: +2.83%
Worst: -9.82%
Trades: 5/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -3.34%
Avg Winner: +2.15%
Avg Loser: -6.63%
Best: +3.58%
Worst: -14.94%
Trades: 6/11

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.45%
Best MFE: +8.26%
Avg Time to MFE: 107 min

On average, VFF alerts reach +3.45% profit potential within 107 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.53%
Worst MAE: -5.91%
Avg Time to MAE: 21 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.53%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.36:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 18 alerts, VFF typically reaches +3.45% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 18
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.46%
Best Gap +1.01%

🏭 Sector Comparison: None

How VFF compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VFF: -0.59% Sector: -0.42% -0.16%
EOD Gain
VFF: -3.34% Sector: +37617.82% -37621.15%
Avg MFE
VFF: +3.45% Sector: +5.58% -2.13%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VFF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-11-09 09:26:00 $0.76 -2.79% -6.28% -5.94% -8.95% -12.96% +0.62% -2.62% +0.62% LOSS
2023-09-18 09:29:00 $0.99 -2.53% -6.06% -5.09% -4.32% -8.01% +1.01% -0.59% +1.01% LOSS
2023-09-15 09:25:00 $1.04 - -2.40% -2.94% -1.92% -2.88% +5.77% -3.85% +0.96% -
2023-09-12 09:29:00 $1.11 -3.14% +1.35% -1.76% -9.82% -13.16% +3.60% -3.60% -3.60% LOSS
2023-08-09 09:26:00 $0.67 -1.49% -2.23% -1.49% -0.19% +3.58% +3.57% -4.31% -2.99% LOSS
2023-03-09 09:27:00 $0.96 -0.81% -2.07% +1.69% +2.83% -3.69% +3.36% -2.37% -1.75% LOSS
2023-02-06 09:28:00 $1.17 +1.28% +0.13% +0.59% -0.05% -0.85% +1.71% -0.85% -0.85% WIN
2023-02-03 09:29:00 $1.18 -0.84% -0.68% +2.54% +1.69% -1.69% +5.93% -2.54% - LOSS
2023-02-02 09:25:00 $1.18 -0.14% -0.13% -0.42% -0.85% - +0.85% -0.85% +0.85% LOSS
2023-01-30 09:26:00 $0.99 +1.00% +1.53% +1.03% -1.01% +2.03% +4.05% -1.81% +0.23% WIN
2023-01-27 09:25:00 $0.96 -0.29% -3.10% -4.15% -4.14% +1.78% +2.08% -5.16% +0.20% LOSS
2023-01-26 09:27:00 $0.95 -1.23% -1.45% -2.11% +2.22% -0.41% +6.32% -5.26% -2.68% LOSS
2022-11-09 09:25:00 $1.86 -0.27% -3.76% +1.61% -2.69% -2.69% +2.15% -5.91% -0.54% LOSS
2022-10-07 09:25:00 $2.41 -0.21% -4.56% -8.71% -7.88% -14.94% +1.24% -1.24% +0.41% LOSS
2022-03-25 09:25:00 $6.05 +0.33% +2.48% +6.27% +0.66% +0.83% +8.26% -0.66% +0.33% WIN
2022-01-10 09:25:00 $6.06 - +0.33% +0.99% +0.17% +1.16% +3.80% -1.98% -0.66% -
2022-01-05 09:25:00 $7.05 +1.13% +0.85% +0.71% -2.88% -11.63% +2.27% -0.28% +0.43% WIN
2022-01-04 09:25:00 $6.84 -0.58% -0.73% -0.88% -1.24% +3.51% +5.48% -1.61% -0.29% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ VFF Shows Negative Expectancy

With 44.4% win rate and -1.00% average gain, VFF alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider VFF for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze VFF with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VFF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VFF historically offers an average upside of +3.45% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VFF Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.4%, VFF shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests VFF may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: VFF shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -1.00%). This suggests VFF is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.