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CTVA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 93 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-02 → 2025-02-06

⚠️ Small sample size (93 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Corteva, Inc. Common Stock
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 24, 2019 🔗 www.corteva.com
💰 Market Cap: $48.45B 👥 Employees: 22,000
Corteva is an agricultural inputs pure play that was formed in 2019 when it was spun off from DowDuPont. The company is a leader in the development of new seed and crop protection products. Seeds generate the majority of profits with the remainder coming from crop protection products. Corteva plans to spin off its seeds business in 2026 and will become a pure-play crop protection company following the divestiture. Corteva operates globally, but around half of revenue comes from North America.
📊
93
Total Alerts
🎯
62.6%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.13%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.39%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 62.6%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -0.75%
Best: +2.94%
Worst: -2.32%
Trades: 57/33

15MIN

Win Rate: 58.7%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.83%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +4.16%
Worst: -3.01%
Trades: 54/38

30MIN

Win Rate: 56.5%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.92%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +4.74%
Worst: -3.65%
Trades: 52/40

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.4%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +1.08%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: +4.67%
Worst: -4.18%
Trades: 51/41

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.8%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +1.32%
Avg Loser: -1.29%
Best: +4.85%
Worst: -3.37%
Trades: 51/41

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.39%
Best MFE: +7.40%
Avg Time to MFE: 157 min

On average, CTVA alerts reach +1.39% profit potential within 157 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.60%
Worst MAE: -15.43%
Avg Time to MAE: 23 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.60%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.32:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.32x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 93 alerts, CTVA typically reaches +1.39% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 93
Gap Up % 50.5%
Avg Gap +0.10%
Best Gap +5.04%

🏭 Sector Comparison: None

How CTVA compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CTVA: +0.13% Sector: -0.42% +0.55%
EOD Gain
CTVA: +0.10% Sector: +37617.82% -37617.71%
Avg MFE
CTVA: +1.27% Sector: +5.58% -4.30%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CTVA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:27:00 $61.84 +2.94% +2.23% +2.59% +1.35% +0.84% +4.12% +1.86% +2.80% WIN
2024-12-02 09:27:33 $61.5 +0.78% +0.42% +0.47% +0.52% +1.19% +1.57% +0.11% +1.22% WIN
2024-11-25 09:25:13 $61.28 +0.65% +1.00% +1.22% +1.95% +4.65% +4.76% +0.57% +0.57% WIN
2024-11-07 09:26:21 $57.08 +1.91% +1.87% +2.19% +0.91% +2.73% +3.71% +0.90% +1.61% WIN
2024-09-27 09:25:30 $58.2 +0.60% +0.79% +0.93% +1.39% +0.65% +1.50% +0.26% +0.31% WIN
2024-09-11 09:27:12 $56.44 -2.32% -3.01% -3.65% -4.18% -2.29% -2.04% -2.50% -2.09% LOSS
2024-09-09 09:26:35 $55.33 +0.58% +0.11% +0.58% +0.99% +0.85% +1.68% -0.16% +0.56% WIN
2024-09-06 09:26:43 $55.11 -0.29% +0.11% +0.71% +0.21% +0.40% +1.00% -0.42% -0.34% LOSS
2024-08-23 09:25:44 $54.66 +0.33% +0.55% +0.15% +0.93% +1.68% +1.78% +0.15% +0.33% WIN
2024-06-11 09:25:47 $51.51 -1.18% -2.21% -1.69% +0.91% +0.25% +1.81% -2.91% -0.80% LOSS
2024-05-29 09:26:02 $55.58 -0.58% -1.13% -1.73% -1.98% -2.36% -0.13% -0.86% -0.86% LOSS
2024-05-13 09:27:38 $57.56 +0.83% +1.02% +0.86% +1.25% -0.45% +1.55% +0.17% +0.17% WIN
2024-05-10 09:27:28 $57.8 +0.39% +1.04% +0.99% +1.37% -0.55% +1.66% +0.31% +0.35% WIN
2024-03-11 09:29:04 $54.14 +1.72% +1.37% +1.22% +1.29% +1.75% +2.86% +0.81% +0.81% WIN
2024-03-08 09:28:34 $54.65 -0.29% -0.13% +0.13% -0.27% +0.05% +0.35% -0.46% -0.31% LOSS
2024-03-05 09:26:02 $53.6 +0.11% +0.06% +0.06% -0.06% +0.63% +0.95% -0.45% -0.30% WIN
2024-02-01 00:00:00 $53.78 - - - - +0.52% +7.40% -15.43% +5.04% -
2023-11-02 09:29:00 $47.75 +1.95% +1.32% +2.12% +2.01% +3.79% +3.85% +0.36% +0.36% WIN
2023-10-17 09:27:00 $49.57 +0.95% +2.42% +2.25% +2.32% +4.01% +4.05% +0.16% +0.22% WIN
2023-10-06 09:27:00 $49.41 +0.81% +0.47% +0.58% +0.49% +1.30% +2.19% +0.06% +0.53% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 62.6% Baseline on CTVA

The 62.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CTVA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CTVA Strategy →

Why Analyze CTVA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CTVA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CTVA historically offers an average upside of +1.39% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CTVA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.6%, CTVA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CTVA performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.13%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.