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AM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-01 → 2023-09-26

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Antero Midstream Corporation Common Stock NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION (SIC 4922)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 04, 2017 🔗 www.anteromidstream.com
💰 Market Cap: $8.93B 👥 Employees: 616
Antero Midstream Corp is a midstream company that owns, operates, and develops midstream energy assets that service Antero Resources' production and completion activity in the Appalachian Basin located in West Virginia and Ohio. The company has two operating segments; the Gathering and Processing segment includes a network of gathering pipelines and compressor stations that collect and process production from Antero Resources wells in West Virginia and Ohio and the Water Handling segment includes two independent systems that deliver water from sources including the Ohio River, local reservoirs and several regional waterways. It derives a majority of its revenue from the Gathering and Processing segment.
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.26%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.26%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -0.50%
Best: +1.47%
Worst: -0.55%
Trades: 6/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.44%
Avg Winner: +0.81%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +1.38%
Worst: -0.90%
Trades: 6/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.56%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +1.75%
Worst: -0.71%
Trades: 6/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: -1.05%
Best: +2.26%
Worst: -1.87%
Trades: 5/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +1.44%
Avg Winner: +2.08%
Avg Loser: -0.49%
Best: +5.30%
Worst: -0.73%
Trades: 6/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.26%
Best MFE: +5.64%
Avg Time to MFE: 172 min

On average, AM alerts reach +2.26% profit potential within 172 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.87%
Worst MAE: -2.88%
Avg Time to MAE: 32 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.87%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.61:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.61x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, AM typically reaches +2.26% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +0.64%

🏭 Sector Comparison: NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION

How AM compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AM: +0.26% Sector: -0.07% +0.33%
EOD Gain
AM: +1.44% Sector: -0.01% +1.44%
Avg MFE
AM: +2.26% Sector: +1.22% +1.03%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-09-26 09:27:00 $11.85 +0.38% +0.70% +0.30% -0.13% -0.25% +0.89% -0.25% -0.25% WIN
2023-04-03 09:27:00 $10.59 +0.38% +0.47% +0.76% +0.66% +0.85% +1.04% -0.38% - WIN
2022-09-28 09:25:00 $8.86 +0.34% +1.07% +1.75% +2.26% +5.30% +5.64% -0.34% +0.34% WIN
2022-07-01 09:25:00 $9.1 -0.44% -0.49% -0.71% -1.87% +1.65% +1.87% -2.88% -0.55% LOSS
2022-06-01 09:25:00 $10.89 +1.47% +1.38% +1.38% +0.96% +2.48% +3.17% -0.46% +0.64% WIN
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $9.27 +0.22% +0.43% +0.65% +0.81% +1.08% +2.27% -0.59% +0.22% WIN
2022-02-17 09:25:00 $9.57 +0.31% +0.84% +0.94% -1.15% -0.73% +1.72% -0.42% +0.31% WIN
2022-02-01 09:25:00 $9.95 -0.55% -0.90% -0.60% +0.65% +1.11% +1.46% -1.61% -0.50% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on AM

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AM Strategy →

Why Analyze AM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AM historically offers an average upside of +2.26% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, AM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AM performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.26%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.