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ET Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 385 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-12

🏢 Company Profile

Energy Transfer LP Common Units representing limited partner interests NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION (SIC 4922)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 03, 2006 🔗 www.energytransfer.com
💰 Market Cap: $61.77B 👥 Employees: 16,248
Energy Transfer is a diversified midstream firm, operating from wellhead to consuming demand. It handles natural gas, natural gas liquids, or NGLs, crude oil, and refined products. Commodities are moved through its network of field level gathering and processing to refineries and demand centers. Operations are concentrated in Texas and the Midcontinent United States. It also controls Sunoco and USA Compression through its general partner relationship.
📊
385
Total Alerts
🎯
50.1%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.06%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.15%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.4%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.36%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +3.74%
Worst: -3.02%
Trades: 148/225

15MIN

Win Rate: 41.0%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.61%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +3.07%
Worst: -4.06%
Trades: 158/223

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.3%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.77%
Avg Loser: -0.75%
Best: +3.09%
Worst: -3.29%
Trades: 159/223

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.1%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -0.93%
Best: +3.29%
Worst: -3.67%
Trades: 166/215

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.1%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.22%
Avg Loser: -1.39%
Best: +5.45%
Worst: -5.51%
Trades: 193/186

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.15%
Best MFE: +5.93%
Avg Time to MFE: 134 min

On average, ET alerts reach +1.15% profit potential within 134 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.59%
Worst MAE: -4.26%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.59%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.96:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 385 alerts, ET typically reaches +1.15% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 385
Gap Up % 32.2%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +2.78%

🏭 Sector Comparison: NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION

How ET compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ET: -0.12% Sector: -0.07% -0.05%
EOD Gain
ET: -0.06% Sector: -0.01% -0.05%
Avg MFE
ET: +1.15% Sector: +1.22% -0.07%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ET alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:25:29 $19.35 -0.41% +0.80% +1.92% +1.78% +1.55% +3.31% -0.52% -0.10% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:28:06 $20.41 -0.34% -1.30% -0.71% -0.44% -1.57% +0.69% -0.44% +0.10% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:29:14 $20.19 -1.86% -0.99% -0.52% -0.59% -1.29% -0.37% -1.98% -0.94% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:25:52 $20.88 -0.72% -0.62% +0.06% +0.26% -0.53% +0.57% - - LOSS
2025-02-03 09:26:36 $20.25 -0.22% +1.33% +1.28% +1.80% +2.52% +3.04% -0.84% -0.49% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:26:38 $20.06 +0.05% -0.52% -0.92% -0.82% +1.45% +1.65% -1.30% -0.05% WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:27 $20.45 -2.03% -1.76% -0.34% -0.88% -3.13% +0.15% -0.29% -0.34% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:29:21 $20.5 -0.07% -0.39% -0.00% +0.00% +2.00% +2.54% -0.61% +0.10% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:28:36 $20.17 -0.45% -0.15% +0.37% +0.17% -0.64% +0.74% -0.57% +0.15% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:27:38 $19.79 -0.25% -0.61% -0.63% -1.13% -1.87% +0.20% -0.15% -0.05% LOSS
2024-12-20 09:28:38 $18.34 +0.82% +1.44% +1.69% +1.99% +2.84% +2.62% -0.16% +0.22% WIN
2024-12-18 09:29:50 $18.68 - +0.05% -0.23% -0.19% -2.57% +0.48% - +0.05% -
2024-12-11 09:29:27 $18.81 +1.06% +1.11% +1.22% +1.81% +1.97% +2.55% - +0.32% WIN
2024-12-09 09:28:19 $19.35 +0.31% -0.05% +0.67% -0.36% -2.64% +1.45% +0.15% +0.78% WIN
2024-12-02 09:25:36 $19.9 -0.20% -1.13% -1.28% -1.03% -2.41% - -0.35% - LOSS
2024-11-26 09:25:49 $19.05 -0.79% -0.32% +0.21% +0.52% +0.79% +0.89% -1.05% -0.63% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:27:18 $19.15 +0.73% +0.47% +0.23% -0.81% -0.94% +1.04% -0.10% -0.10% WIN
2024-11-22 09:26:02 $19.08 +0.00% +0.29% +0.45% -0.50% -0.05% +0.63% -0.10% +0.16% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:26:40 $18.38 +0.03% -0.03% +0.27% +1.17% +3.21% +3.75% -0.35% -0.11% WIN
2024-11-20 09:29:10 $18.1 +0.17% +0.91% +0.49% +0.11% +0.99% +1.71% -0.41% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ET Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 50.1% win rate, ET has -0.06% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making ET profitable.

🔧 Fix ET Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze ET with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ET. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ET historically offers an average upside of +1.15% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ET Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.1%, ET shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.39%) outweigh average wins (+1.22%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ET shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.06%). This suggests ET is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.