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KMI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 88 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (88 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 11, 2011 🔗 www.kindermorgan.com
💰 Market Cap: $65.79B 👥 Employees: 10,933
Kinder Morgan operates natural gas, crude oil, and refined products pipelines connecting producing regions to demand centers. It is principally involved in the gathering, storage, and transmission of natural gas across the continental United States. It also operates distribution centers for refined products along with the largest fleet of Jones Act-compliant tankers.
📊
88
Total Alerts
🎯
47.1%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.14%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.07%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 36.8%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -0.49%
Best: +1.86%
Worst: -2.83%
Trades: 32/53

15MIN

Win Rate: 37.9%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +0.71%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: +2.48%
Worst: -3.10%
Trades: 33/52

30MIN

Win Rate: 43.7%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.63%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +2.23%
Worst: -3.53%
Trades: 38/45

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: -1.05%
Best: +3.75%
Worst: -4.21%
Trades: 41/45

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.2%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +1.18%
Avg Loser: -1.24%
Best: +4.15%
Worst: -6.34%
Trades: 38/48

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.07%
Best MFE: +5.08%
Avg Time to MFE: 144 min

On average, KMI alerts reach +1.07% profit potential within 144 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.55%
Worst MAE: -2.62%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.55%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.93:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 88 alerts, KMI typically reaches +1.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 88
Gap Up % 37.5%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +0.99%

🏭 Sector Comparison: NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION

How KMI compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KMI: -0.11% Sector: -0.07% -0.04%
EOD Gain
KMI: -0.16% Sector: -0.01% -0.15%
Avg MFE
KMI: +1.07% Sector: +1.22% -0.15%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KMI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:28 $26.75 -0.24% -0.34% +0.21% +0.47% -0.75% +0.79% -0.60% -0.37% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:29:07 $26.57 -0.24% -0.08% +0.51% +0.17% -1.09% +1.03% -1.21% -0.45% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:25:58 $27.01 -0.93% -1.74% -1.48% -1.68% -0.81% -0.04% -0.04% -0.07% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:28:37 $27.4 -1.00% -2.12% -1.50% -1.46% -1.20% -0.40% -1.09% -0.73% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:29:56 $26.85 -0.89% -0.09% +0.38% +1.17% +0.71% +1.38% -1.01% +0.04% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:25:17 $29.32 -2.83% -3.10% -3.53% -4.21% -6.34% +0.72% -0.03% -0.95% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:25:50 $31.11 -1.35% -2.60% -1.11% -2.15% -2.03% +0.61% -0.35% +0.61% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:26:27 $30.66 -0.08% +0.39% +0.88% +1.03% +1.83% +2.67% -0.36% -0.28% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:28:36 $29.39 +0.10% +0.24% +0.60% +0.17% +0.17% +0.65% -0.37% - WIN
2024-12-04 09:29:54 $27.4 - -0.15% -0.18% -0.40% -0.04% +0.07% -0.38% -0.15% -
2024-11-21 09:26:37 $28.21 -0.64% -0.67% +0.14% +0.55% +1.17% +1.63% -0.82% -0.64% LOSS
2024-11-19 09:28:13 $27.68 +0.22% +0.81% +0.69% +0.90% +1.45% +1.70% -0.33% -0.33% WIN
2024-11-18 09:28:09 $27.31 +0.51% +0.64% +0.99% +1.15% +1.72% +1.94% +0.15% +0.15% WIN
2024-11-06 09:27:05 $25.3 +1.86% +2.47% +2.23% +3.75% +4.15% +5.08% -0.20% +0.32% WIN
2024-10-17 09:26:17 $24.58 +1.63% +2.48% +1.75% +2.69% +0.98% +3.46% -0.33% +0.69% WIN
2024-07-25 09:25:15 $21.09 -0.27% -0.38% -0.17% +0.05% -0.09% +0.95% -0.38% -0.14% LOSS
2024-07-08 09:28:50 $19.8 +0.35% +0.45% +0.86% +0.28% +0.56% +0.98% +0.20% +0.45% WIN
2024-04-18 09:25:20 $17.91 +1.28% +1.54% +1.23% +1.06% +1.68% +2.48% -0.11% +0.50% WIN
2024-04-12 09:28:03 $18.4 +0.24% +0.76% +0.03% +0.24% -1.47% +0.76% -0.05% -0.05% WIN
2024-04-05 09:28:50 $18.49 -0.32% -0.92% -1.05% -1.27% -0.16% +0.03% -1.49% -0.32% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ KMI Shows Negative Expectancy

With 47.1% win rate and -0.14% average gain, KMI alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider KMI for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze KMI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KMI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KMI historically offers an average upside of +1.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KMI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.1%, KMI shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests KMI may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: KMI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.14%). This suggests KMI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.