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AREN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-11-15 → 2024-11-19

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

The Arena Group Holdings, Inc. CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES (SIC 4841)
📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Nov 21, 1996 🔗 www.thearenagroup.net
💰 Market Cap: $191.8M 👥 Employees: 198
The Arena Group Holdings Inc is a tech-powered media company that fuses technology, iconic brands, and marketing to deliver vibrant content and experiences that reach million users each month. The company creates robust digital destinations that delight consumers with powerful journalism, news about things such as favorite sports teams, advice on investing, the inside scoop on personal finance, and the latest on lifestyle essentials. The Company operates in one reportable segment which focuses on a publishing platform. The company generates revenue from Digital and Print, where the majority is generated from Digital. The company owns and operates TheStreet, The Spun, Parade, and Men's Journal and powers more than 320 independent Publisher Partners.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+2.90%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+13.19%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.06%
Avg Winner: +5.63%
Avg Loser: -4.40%
Best: +5.63%
Worst: -7.25%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.41%
Avg Winner: +3.42%
Avg Loser: -8.06%
Best: +6.22%
Worst: -8.06%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.18%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.18%
Best: -1.21%
Worst: -5.15%
Trades: 0/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.90%
Avg Winner: +2.90%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.12%
Worst: +2.07%
Trades: 3/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.68%
Avg Winner: +13.55%
Avg Loser: -7.79%
Best: +13.55%
Worst: -9.33%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +13.19%
Best MFE: +17.87%
Avg Time to MFE: 60 min

On average, AREN alerts reach +13.19% profit potential within 60 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -10.46%
Worst MAE: -22.28%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 10.46%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.26:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, AREN typically reaches +13.19% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 10.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +3.65%
Best Gap +8.75%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES

How AREN compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AREN: +2.04% Sector: +0.08% +1.97%
EOD Gain
AREN: +3.65% Sector: +0.22% +3.43%
Avg MFE
AREN: +13.31% Sector: +2.68% +10.63%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AREN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-19 09:26:31 $1.6 +5.63% +0.62% -1.21% +2.50% -6.25% +8.75% +2.50% +8.75% WIN
2024-11-18 09:25:02 $1.55 -1.55% -8.06% -5.15% +4.12% +13.55% +17.87% -11.61% +3.23% LOSS
2024-11-15 09:26:28 $1.93 -7.25% +6.22% - +2.07% -9.33% +12.95% -22.28% -1.04% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on AREN

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AREN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AREN Strategy →

Why Analyze AREN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AREN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AREN historically offers an average upside of +13.19% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AREN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, AREN shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AREN performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.90%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.