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BIRD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 15 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-25 → 2024-08-30

⚠️ Small sample size (15 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 03, 2021 🔗 www.allbirds.com
💰 Market Cap: $34.0M 👥 Employees: 542
Allbirds Inc is a lifestyle brand that innovates with naturally derived materials to make footwear and apparel products in a better way, while treading lighter on the planet. Its primary source of revenue is from sales of shoes and apparel products. The majority of the revenue is derived from United States.
📊
15
Total Alerts
🎯
73.3%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+956.72%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.90%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.80%
Avg Winner: +1.88%
Avg Loser: -2.38%
Best: +5.61%
Worst: -5.65%
Trades: 5/9

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -2.60%
Avg Winner: +2.30%
Avg Loser: -5.04%
Best: +5.61%
Worst: -10.33%
Trades: 5/10

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: -1.07%
Avg Winner: +3.84%
Avg Loser: -5.36%
Best: +7.36%
Worst: -11.15%
Trades: 7/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: -2.07%
Avg Winner: +2.53%
Avg Loser: -6.09%
Best: +4.84%
Worst: -11.34%
Trades: 7/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 73.3%
Avg Gain: +956.72%
Avg Winner: +1308.49%
Avg Loser: -14.22%
Best: +1949.38%
Worst: -29.78%
Trades: 11/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.90%
Best MFE: +12.96%
Avg Time to MFE: 63 min

On average, BIRD alerts reach +4.90% profit potential within 63 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.24%
Worst MAE: -14.06%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.24%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.16:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 15 alerts, BIRD typically reaches +4.90% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 15
Gap Up % 26.7%
Avg Gap -0.77%
Best Gap +1.03%

🏭 Sector Comparison: APPAREL & OTHER FINISHD PRODS OF FABRICS & SIMILAR MATL

How BIRD compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BIRD: -0.80% Sector: -0.22% -0.58%
EOD Gain
BIRD: +956.72% Sector: +79.60% +877.12%
Avg MFE
BIRD: +4.90% Sector: +3.31% +1.59%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BIRD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-08-30 09:28:51 $0.67 -5.54% -2.09% +2.25% +0.22% +5.43% +7.46% -10.03% -1.57% LOSS
2024-07-17 09:28:05 $0.7 -0.71% +2.45% +7.36% -1.44% +1857.14% +8.57% -0.73% - LOSS
2024-07-15 09:28:21 $0.68 - +1.55% +2.25% +2.24% +1847.86% +7.51% -4.90% -4.90% -
2024-07-12 09:29:22 $0.74 -3.74% -10.33% -8.08% -2.05% +1521.30% - -10.80% -3.50% LOSS
2023-12-06 09:29:00 $1.07 +5.61% +5.61% +6.56% +3.75% +5.61% +10.28% - - WIN
2023-07-19 09:25:00 $1.62 +0.88% +1.54% +5.56% +3.70% +1949.38% +12.96% -1.85% - WIN
2023-03-14 09:29:00 $1.24 -5.65% -5.24% -6.85% -6.57% +1698.39% -0.81% -1.61% -0.81% LOSS
2023-03-13 09:25:00 $1.28 -1.43% -9.37% -3.91% -7.03% +1696.88% +1.56% -14.06% +0.78% LOSS
2023-03-10 09:26:00 $1.78 -0.56% -3.93% -4.49% -9.86% -29.78% +3.37% -3.37% -1.12% LOSS
2022-11-10 09:25:00 $2.68 -0.75% -1.91% +0.93% +0.19% +1870.15% +1.68% -2.99% -0.75% LOSS
2022-08-10 09:25:00 $4.55 +2.42% +0.35% +1.98% +4.84% +2.86% +6.92% -1.32% -0.66% WIN
2022-08-09 09:25:00 $4.85 +0.10% -6.60% -11.15% -11.34% -5.57% +3.09% +0.82% +1.03% WIN
2022-05-27 09:25:00 $5.21 +0.40% -0.58% -2.50% -4.89% +1938.39% +3.45% -4.89% -0.96% WIN
2022-05-11 09:25:00 $3.99 -2.26% -4.51% -0.13% +2.76% - +6.27% -7.02% +0.25% LOSS
2022-02-25 09:25:00 $8.48 -0.83% -5.90% -5.78% -5.54% -7.31% +1.18% -0.83% +0.71% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 73.3% Baseline on BIRD

The 73.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BIRD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BIRD Strategy →

Why Analyze BIRD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BIRD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BIRD historically offers an average upside of +4.90% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BIRD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 73.3%, BIRD shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BIRD performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +956.72%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.