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COLM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-11-18 → 2024-12-09

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 27, 1998 🔗 www.columbia.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.85B 👥 Employees: 9,780
Columbia Sportswear Co makes outdoor and active-lifestyle apparel, footwear, equipment, and accessories that it sells under four primary brands: Columbia, Sorel, Mountain Hardwear, and prAna. The majority of sales are in the United States, but the company also has remarkable sales in its three other geographic segments: Latin American and Asia-Pacific; Europe, Middle East, and Africa; and Canada. The majority of sales are through wholesale channels, including sporting goods and department stores, but the company also operates its own branded stores in each of its geographic segments. Columbia sources products from around the world and uses contract manufacturers outside the United States, predominantly in Asia to manufacture its various products.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.30%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.78%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.30%
Avg Winner: +0.30%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.32%
Worst: +0.28%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.32%
Avg Winner: +1.32%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.32%
Worst: +1.32%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.85%
Avg Winner: +0.85%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.67%
Worst: +0.02%
Trades: 2/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.40%
Avg Winner: +1.40%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.68%
Worst: +0.12%
Trades: 2/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.51%
Avg Winner: +2.43%
Avg Loser: -1.41%
Best: +2.43%
Worst: -1.41%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.78%
Best MFE: +3.10%
Avg Time to MFE: 173 min

On average, COLM alerts reach +1.78% profit potential within 173 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.31%
Worst MAE: -0.64%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.31%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.72:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.72x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, COLM typically reaches +1.78% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.19%
Best Gap +0.45%

🏭 Sector Comparison: APPAREL & OTHER FINISHD PRODS OF FABRICS & SIMILAR MATL

How COLM compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
COLM: +0.32% Sector: -0.22% +0.53%
EOD Gain
COLM: +2.43% Sector: +79.60% -77.17%
Avg MFE
COLM: +3.10% Sector: +3.31% -0.22%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical COLM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-09 09:26:24 $88.5 +0.32% +1.32% +1.67% +2.68% +2.43% +3.10% -0.64% -0.07% WIN
2024-11-18 09:26:50 $83.61 +0.28% - +0.02% +0.12% -1.41% +0.45% +0.02% +0.45% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on COLM

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push COLM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize COLM Strategy →

Why Analyze COLM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for COLM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, COLM historically offers an average upside of +1.78% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 COLM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, COLM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show COLM performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.30%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.