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CRCT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-09 → 2022-03-09

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Cricut, Inc. Class A Common Stock SPECIAL INDUSTRY MACHINERY, NEC (SIC 3559)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 25, 2021 🔗 www.cricut.com
💰 Market Cap: $931.7M 👥 Employees: 640
Cricut Inc designs and builds a creativity platform that enables users to turn ideas into professional-looking handmade goods. With its connected machines, design apps and accessories, and materials, the users create everything from personalized birthday cards, mugs and T-shirts to large-scale interior decorations. It has two segments including the Platform segment which derives revenue from monthly and annual subscription fees, purchases of digital content, and a minimal amount of the revenue allocated to unspecified future upgrades and enhancements related to the essential software and access to the Company's cloud-based services and Products segment which derives revenue from the sale of its connected machine hardware, and sale of craft, DIY, home decor products and extensions.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.12%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+19.14%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.12%
Avg Winner: +1.12%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.12%
Worst: +1.12%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.80%
Avg Winner: +3.80%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.80%
Worst: +3.80%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.70%
Avg Winner: +2.70%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.70%
Worst: +2.70%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.14%
Avg Winner: +2.14%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.14%
Worst: +2.14%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +18.23%
Avg Winner: +18.23%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +18.23%
Worst: +18.23%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +19.14%
Best MFE: +19.14%
Avg Time to MFE: 381 min

On average, CRCT alerts reach +19.14% profit potential within 381 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.14%
Worst MAE: -2.14%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.14%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

8.95:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 8.95x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, CRCT typically reaches +19.14% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 15.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.73%
Best Gap -1.73%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SPECIAL INDUSTRY MACHINERY, NEC

How CRCT compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CRCT: +1.12% Sector: +0.17% +0.95%
EOD Gain
CRCT: +18.23% Sector: -21.65% +39.88%
Avg MFE
CRCT: +19.14% Sector: +3.15% +15.99%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CRCT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-03-09 09:25:00 $9.82 +1.12% +3.80% +2.70% +2.14% +18.23% +19.14% -2.14% -1.73% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

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🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on CRCT

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CRCT's performance to 75%+.

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Why Analyze CRCT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CRCT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CRCT historically offers an average upside of +19.14% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CRCT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, CRCT shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CRCT performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.12%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.