Latest signal:
LRCX Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 55 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2025-02-10
⚠️ Small sample size (55 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, LRCX alerts reach +1.78% profit potential within 111 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.61%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.91x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 55 alerts, LRCX typically reaches +1.78% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SPECIAL INDUSTRY MACHINERY, NEC
How LRCX compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical LRCX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-10 | 09:29:58 | $83.4 | +0.73% | +1.32% | +0.98% | -0.30% | +0.40% | +1.52% | -0.02% | +0.18% | WIN |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:29:25 | $78.95 | -0.25% | +0.10% | +0.80% | +2.17% | +1.57% | +3.31% | -0.57% | +0.03% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:27:52 | $80.83 | +1.62% | +2.13% | +2.72% | +3.24% | +0.27% | +4.19% | +0.09% | +0.32% | WIN |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:25:34 | $80.36 | -1.03% | -1.72% | -1.76% | -0.47% | +0.46% | +2.15% | -3.45% | -0.76% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:25:06 | $77.25 | -1.29% | -2.38% | -2.62% | -2.94% | -2.72% | +0.31% | -1.51% | +0.26% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:28:24 | $76.38 | -1.07% | -1.23% | -0.37% | -0.63% | -0.98% | +0.68% | +0.68% | +0.54% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-16 | 09:29:29 | $79.15 | -0.53% | +0.23% | +0.01% | +1.51% | +0.09% | +4.65% | -1.06% | -0.33% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-15 | 09:27:40 | $75.83 | +0.58% | +1.09% | +1.10% | +1.50% | +0.42% | +1.90% | -0.29% | +0.04% | WIN |
| 2025-01-06 | 09:26:38 | $76.92 | +1.46% | +3.01% | +3.15% | +3.56% | +1.38% | +4.20% | -0.51% | +0.34% | WIN |
| 2024-12-20 | 09:29:29 | $70.81 | -0.48% | +0.29% | -0.56% | +0.97% | +1.38% | +3.76% | -0.72% | -0.38% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-19 | 09:29:14 | $72.5 | -0.56% | -1.61% | -1.94% | -2.68% | -1.78% | +0.57% | -0.69% | +0.34% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-29 | 09:27:03 | $73.74 | +0.69% | +0.55% | +1.05% | +2.12% | +0.19% | +2.75% | -0.11% | +0.15% | WIN |
| 2024-11-15 | 09:28:21 | $71.75 | +0.09% | +0.69% | +0.85% | +0.50% | -2.37% | +1.34% | -0.77% | -0.14% | WIN |
| 2024-10-24 | 09:27:14 | $76.52 | +0.22% | -0.55% | -1.79% | -1.40% | +0.07% | +1.25% | -1.58% | -0.44% | WIN |
| 2024-10-21 | 09:26:18 | $72.6 | -0.01% | -0.19% | -0.06% | +0.34% | +0.33% | +0.69% | -0.71% | +0.03% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-17 | 09:25:09 | $77.15 | -1.32% | -3.89% | -2.87% | -2.84% | -5.20% | +0.13% | -0.43% | -0.89% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-16 | 09:28:23 | $77.21 | -0.92% | -1.15% | -1.26% | -0.22% | -3.98% | +0.38% | -2.31% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2024-09-11 | 09:27:58 | $735.0 | +0.05% | +0.35% | -0.28% | -0.57% | -89.57% | +4.64% | -1.71% | -0.41% | WIN |
| 2024-08-09 | 09:25:34 | $810.11 | -0.22% | -0.05% | -1.56% | -1.39% | -90.03% | +0.77% | -2.29% | -0.26% | LOSS |
| 2024-06-12 | 09:28:58 | $1009.75 | +0.46% | +1.24% | +2.30% | +2.31% | -89.72% | +3.08% | -0.38% | +0.16% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 54.5% Baseline on LRCX
The 54.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push LRCX's performance to 75%+.
Optimize LRCX Strategy →Why Analyze LRCX with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LRCX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, LRCX historically offers an average upside of +1.78% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 LRCX Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 54.5%, LRCX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show LRCX performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.