$LRCX
Trade-Ideas alerts 53.0% at 30-min n=134 2022-01-07 → 2026-10-02
🏢 Company Profile
Practice trading LRCX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →
Playable LRCX setups
Historical LRCX setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, LRCX alerts reach +2.26% profit potential within 114 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.76%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.97x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 134 alerts, LRCX typically reaches +2.26% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.8% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SPECIAL INDUSTRY MACHINERY, NEC
How LRCX compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical LRCX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | 09:25:00 | $350.02 | -0.61% | -0.18% | -0.18% | -0.19% | -0.72% | +0.73% | -1.50% | -0.01% | LOSS |
| 2026-10-01 | 09:25:00 | $332.0 | +0.22% | +2.22% | +1.45% | +0.48% | +2.44% | +2.90% | -0.45% | +0.00% | WIN |
| 2026-09-29 | 09:25:00 | $324.67 | -0.52% | +0.28% | -0.27% | +0.13% | -0.25% | +1.13% | -1.22% | -0.32% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-25 | 09:25:00 | $310.12 | -0.35% | +0.35% | +1.32% | +0.50% | +1.64% | +2.26% | -0.84% | -0.30% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-24 | 09:25:00 | $303.79 | -0.94% | -1.07% | -0.69% | -0.72% | +1.11% | +1.13% | -1.62% | -0.64% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-22 | 09:25:00 | $297.25 | +0.32% | +1.45% | +2.39% | +2.16% | +4.61% | +4.76% | -0.39% | -0.15% | WIN |
| 2026-09-21 | 09:25:00 | $293.0 | +0.56% | +0.55% | +0.18% | +0.45% | +3.17% | +4.33% | -1.01% | -0.17% | WIN |
| 2026-09-18 | 09:25:00 | $272.2 | +1.37% | +1.82% | +1.93% | +2.82% | +5.84% | +5.91% | -1.02% | +0.81% | WIN |
| 2026-09-17 | 09:25:00 | $280.03 | -1.00% | -2.43% | -2.81% | -3.94% | -3.83% | +0.52% | +0.35% | +0.15% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-15 | 09:25:00 | $277.5 | -1.15% | -1.83% | -2.08% | -2.72% | -2.39% | +0.41% | +0.41% | +0.40% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-14 | 09:25:00 | $271.5 | +1.18% | +0.93% | +2.45% | +2.91% | +0.73% | +3.20% | +0.00% | +1.29% | WIN |
| 2026-09-09 | 09:25:00 | $319.26 | +0.38% | -0.39% | -0.65% | -0.87% | -1.07% | +0.92% | -0.41% | +0.00% | WIN |
| 2026-09-08 | 09:25:00 | $311.34 | +2.03% | +0.97% | +1.19% | +1.63% | +2.92% | +3.35% | +0.00% | +1.01% | WIN |
| 2026-09-04 | 09:25:00 | $300.0 | +0.02% | +1.33% | +2.86% | +1.67% | +2.55% | +3.43% | -0.87% | +1.16% | WIN |
| 2026-09-01 | 09:25:00 | $295.8 | -0.45% | -0.83% | -1.02% | -1.68% | -1.89% | +0.18% | -0.78% | -0.42% | LOSS |
| 2026-08-25 | 09:25:00 | $320.33 | -2.36% | -2.04% | -1.87% | -3.14% | -1.77% | -0.10% | -1.30% | -1.29% | LOSS |
| 2026-08-19 | 09:25:00 | $331.12 | -2.13% | -3.55% | -4.18% | -6.02% | -7.23% | +0.42% | +0.02% | -0.79% | LOSS |
| 2026-08-11 | 09:25:00 | $315.51 | -1.47% | -0.57% | -1.02% | -0.25% | -1.30% | +0.43% | -1.91% | -0.15% | LOSS |
| 2026-08-10 | 09:25:00 | $321.0 | -2.26% | -3.21% | -3.76% | -3.68% | -4.55% | -0.31% | -0.94% | -0.47% | LOSS |
| 2026-08-04 | 09:25:00 | $311.0 | -0.25% | -0.32% | +0.06% | -0.87% | +2.17% | +2.97% | -1.56% | -0.70% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠ LRCX Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 53.0% win rate, LRCX has -0.02% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making LRCX profitable.
🔧 Fix LRCX Risk / Reward →Why Analyze LRCX with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LRCX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, LRCX historically offers an average upside of +2.26% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 LRCX Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 53.0%, LRCX shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.74%) outweigh average wins (+1.51%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: LRCX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.02%). This suggests LRCX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.