Latest signal:
ASML Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 89 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2025-01-30
⚠️ Small sample size (89 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ASML alerts reach +1.90% profit potential within 166 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.70%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.7x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 89 alerts, ASML typically reaches +1.90% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ASML alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-30 | 09:25:16 | $743.86 | -0.94% | -1.24% | -0.90% | -1.36% | -0.92% | +0.23% | -1.79% | -0.51% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:27:08 | $727.73 | -1.03% | -0.61% | -0.89% | -1.15% | -2.07% | +0.13% | +0.02% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:26:19 | $671.38 | +0.77% | +0.69% | +1.48% | +1.67% | +2.80% | +2.86% | -0.07% | +0.21% | WIN |
| 2025-01-16 | 09:28:35 | $759.0 | -0.55% | -0.63% | -1.17% | -0.18% | -1.15% | +1.65% | -1.39% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-08 | 09:29:02 | $753.63 | -0.14% | -0.93% | -0.76% | -1.09% | -1.28% | -0.04% | -0.10% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-06 | 09:26:34 | $748.76 | +0.24% | +0.79% | +1.15% | +1.52% | +2.64% | +4.32% | +0.10% | +0.31% | WIN |
| 2024-12-17 | 09:27:43 | $741.33 | -0.35% | +0.43% | -0.52% | -0.48% | -0.83% | +0.51% | -0.72% | -0.18% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-21 | 09:27:28 | $654.01 | +0.87% | -0.27% | +0.11% | -0.18% | +2.78% | +2.91% | -0.76% | -0.01% | WIN |
| 2024-11-14 | 09:26:54 | $705.39 | +0.38% | -0.02% | -0.17% | +0.38% | -1.76% | +0.94% | -0.41% | +0.04% | WIN |
| 2024-11-13 | 09:29:40 | $664.83 | -0.09% | -0.09% | -0.34% | -1.10% | +1.29% | +1.33% | -1.21% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-30 | 09:25:10 | $692.5 | - | -0.59% | +0.17% | +0.23% | -1.25% | +0.45% | -0.85% | +0.15% | - |
| 2024-10-22 | 09:27:03 | $722.23 | -0.03% | +0.12% | -0.39% | -0.07% | -0.18% | +0.26% | -0.26% | +0.11% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-21 | 09:25:29 | $722.07 | +0.13% | -0.15% | -0.10% | -0.63% | -1.10% | +0.39% | -0.74% | +0.27% | WIN |
| 2024-10-18 | 09:26:43 | $714.88 | +0.62% | +0.54% | +0.63% | +1.31% | +1.17% | +1.62% | -0.24% | +0.39% | WIN |
| 2024-10-17 | 09:29:14 | $693.18 | -0.81% | -1.61% | -1.65% | -1.92% | +1.07% | +1.54% | -2.32% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-16 | 09:25:23 | $706.43 | +1.36% | -1.31% | -2.53% | -1.69% | -3.24% | +1.56% | +0.20% | +0.64% | WIN |
| 2024-09-04 | 09:25:43 | $806.54 | -0.61% | +0.89% | +1.37% | +1.23% | +0.61% | +2.01% | -0.91% | -0.19% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-12 | 09:28:28 | $861.34 | +0.52% | +0.05% | -0.77% | -0.10% | -0.98% | +0.65% | +0.02% | +0.05% | WIN |
| 2024-08-05 | 09:27:05 | $775.17 | -0.57% | +0.79% | +2.20% | +2.75% | +5.83% | +8.22% | -1.00% | -0.02% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-02 | 09:25:41 | $818.83 | +0.12% | +0.65% | -0.52% | -0.97% | -1.16% | +1.19% | -1.05% | +0.66% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 53.9% Baseline on ASML
The 53.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ASML's performance to 75%+.
Optimize ASML Strategy →Why Analyze ASML with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ASML. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ASML historically offers an average upside of +1.90% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ASML Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 53.9%, ASML shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ASML performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.24%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.