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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$ASML

Trade-Ideas alerts 52.5% at EOD n=242 2022-01-07 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 15, 1995 🔗 www.asml.com
💰 Market Cap: $717.23B 👥 Employees: 44,209
ASML is the leader in lithography systems for manufacturing semiconductors with 90% market share. Lithography is the process in which a light source is used to expose circuit patterns from a photomask onto a semiconductor wafer. Lithography allows chipmakers to increase the number of transistors in the same area of silicon, with lithography historically representing a high portion of the cost of making cutting-edge chips. ASML outsources the manufacturing of most of its parts, acting like an assembler. ASML's largest clients are TSMC, Samsung, Intel, SK Hynix, and Micron.
Total alerts
242
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
52.5%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+0.09%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.73%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading ASML on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.9%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.37%
Avg Loser: -0.38%
Best: +1.36%
Worst: -1.70%
Trades: 111/130

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.3%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.65%
Avg Loser: -0.78%
Best: +2.19%
Worst: -2.84%
Trades: 112/130

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +2.68%
Worst: -3.90%
Trades: 115/127

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.12%
Avg Loser: -1.14%
Best: +4.58%
Worst: -5.04%
Trades: 114/128

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.5%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.80%
Avg Loser: -1.80%
Best: +10.81%
Worst: -6.83%
Trades: 127/115

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.73%
Best MFE: +12.27%
Avg Time to MFE: 145 min

On average, ASML alerts reach +1.73% profit potential within 145 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.64%
Worst MAE: -2.88%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.64%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.7:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.7x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 242 alerts, ASML typically reaches +1.73% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 242
Gap Up % 51.2%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +0.66%

🏭 Sector Comparison: Special Industry Machinery, NEC

How ASML compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ASML: -0.04% Sector: -0.12% +0.08%
EOD Gain
ASML: +0.09% Sector: -3.94% +4.03%
Avg MFE
ASML: +1.73% Sector: +3.83% -2.10%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ASML alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $1848.37 -0.01% +0.63% +0.39% +0.79% +1.02% +1.36% -0.32% +0.07% LOSS
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $1798.0 +0.36% +1.06% +0.73% +0.10% +0.58% +1.35% -0.08% +0.06% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $1828.75 -0.41% -0.27% -0.30% -0.50% -0.93% +0.09% -0.11% -0.01% LOSS
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $1808.33 +0.03% -0.24% +0.15% +1.29% +1.44% +1.85% -0.44% +0.18% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $1750.95 -0.43% +0.60% +0.38% +0.11% +1.17% +1.92% -0.88% -0.12% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $1743.04 -0.25% +0.16% +0.74% +0.13% +0.05% +0.93% -0.49% -0.10% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $1708.25 -0.06% +0.12% +0.40% +0.33% +0.83% +1.67% -0.43% +0.03% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $1702.26 -0.56% -0.41% -0.94% -0.98% +0.53% +1.18% -1.48% -0.54% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $1638.64 -0.23% -0.86% -0.60% -0.53% -0.55% +0.33% -0.08% -0.10% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $1632.17 -0.53% -1.03% -1.14% -1.31% -1.83% +0.24% +0.02% -0.14% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $1620.37 -1.52% -2.06% -1.62% -1.65% -1.78% +0.11% -0.18% -0.29% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $1595.19 -0.45% -0.72% +0.12% +0.43% -1.26% +0.95% -1.01% -0.06% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $1729.22 -0.71% -0.63% -0.67% -0.89% -1.79% +0.07% -0.03% -0.14% LOSS
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $1727.51 +0.64% +0.80% +0.65% +0.67% +0.12% +1.35% -0.22% +0.01% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $1779.24 +0.03% -0.65% -1.15% -1.61% -0.81% +0.60% -0.48% -0.27% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $1677.78 +0.02% +1.45% +2.44% +2.17% +2.21% +2.62% -0.11% +0.06% WIN
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $1645.0 -0.03% -0.62% -0.57% -0.26% +0.07% +0.69% -1.56% -0.16% LOSS
2026-09-02 09:25:00 $1675.91 -0.47% -0.48% -1.29% -0.27% +0.38% +0.76% -1.53% -0.22% LOSS
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $1678.44 +0.13% -0.74% -0.81% -1.34% -0.79% +0.33% -0.08% +0.14% WIN
2026-08-31 09:25:00 $1712.3 -0.29% -0.90% -0.78% -1.26% -0.95% +0.27% -0.45% -0.21% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 52.5% Baseline on ASML

The 52.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push ASML's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ASML Strategy →

Why Analyze ASML with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ASML. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ASML historically offers an average upside of +1.73% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ASML Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.5%, ASML shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ASML performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.09%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.