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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$HOMB

Trade-Ideas alerts 50.0% at 30-min n=2 2026-07-31 → 2026-08-11

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 2 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Home BancShares, Inc. STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6022)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 23, 2006 🔗 www.homebancshares.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.74B 👥 Employees: 2,543
Home BancShares Inc is a bank holding company that operates through its wholly owned community bank subsidiary, Centennial Bank. The bank provides a broad range of commercial and retail banking, as well as related financial services, to a diverse customer base. Its customer base includes businesses, real estate developers and investors, individuals, and municipalities. The company's loan portfolio, while diversified, is typically between half and two thirds in commercial real estate loans. The company's plan emphasizes growth, both through strategic acquisitions and organically within its existing markets. The company has one reportable segment: The Banking Segment.
Total alerts
2
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
50.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
-0.67%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.13%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading HOMB on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.52%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.52%
Best: -0.05%
Worst: -0.98%
Trades: 0/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.44%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: -0.03%
Worst: -0.86%
Trades: 0/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.67%
Avg Winner: +0.13%
Avg Loser: -1.46%
Best: +0.13%
Worst: -1.46%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.88%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: -0.05%
Worst: -1.71%
Trades: 0/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.50%
Avg Winner: +0.36%
Avg Loser: -1.37%
Best: +0.36%
Worst: -1.37%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.13%
Best MFE: +0.86%
Avg Time to MFE: 166 min

On average, HOMB alerts reach +0.13% profit potential within 166 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.90%
Worst MAE: -1.27%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.90%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.14:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, HOMB typically reaches +0.13% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.78%
Best Gap -0.52%

🏭 Sector Comparison: STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS

How HOMB compares to 45 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HOMB: -0.52% Sector: -0.00% -0.52%
EOD Gain
HOMB: -0.50% Sector: +0.01% -0.52%
Avg MFE
HOMB: +0.13% Sector: +1.29% -1.16%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HOMB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-08-11 09:25:00 $30.9 -0.05% -0.03% +0.13% -0.05% +0.36% +0.86% -0.54% -0.52% LOSS
2026-07-31 09:25:00 $31.5 -0.98% -0.86% -1.46% -1.71% -1.37% -0.60% -1.27% -1.05% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ HOMB Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.67% average gain, HOMB alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider HOMB for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze HOMB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HOMB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HOMB historically offers an average upside of +0.13% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HOMB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, HOMB shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests HOMB may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: HOMB shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.67%). This suggests HOMB is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.