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AZN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 344 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-02-06

🏢 Company Profile

AstraZeneca PLC
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 18, 1993 🔗 www.astrazeneca.com
💰 Market Cap: $292.17B 👥 Employees: 94,300
A merger between Astra of Sweden and Zeneca Group of the United Kingdom formed AstraZeneca in 1999. The firm sells branded drugs across a number of major therapeutic areas, including oncology (about 40% of total revenue), cardiovascular, renal, and metabolic (25%), rare disease (17%), and respiratory and immunology (15%). The majority of sales comes from international markets, with the United States representing close to one third of its sales.
📊
344
Total Alerts
🎯
52.6%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.07%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.87%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.20%
Avg Loser: -0.19%
Best: +1.02%
Worst: -0.79%
Trades: 172/163

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.38%
Avg Loser: -0.34%
Best: +1.55%
Worst: -1.20%
Trades: 168/171

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.3%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -0.40%
Best: +1.86%
Worst: -2.00%
Trades: 173/167

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.6%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -0.47%
Best: +3.12%
Worst: -2.21%
Trades: 174/168

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.6%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -0.82%
Best: +2.89%
Worst: -3.16%
Trades: 181/162

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.87%
Best MFE: +4.35%
Avg Time to MFE: 143 min

On average, AZN alerts reach +0.87% profit potential within 143 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.34%
Worst MAE: -2.09%
Avg Time to MAE: 21 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.34%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.57:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.57x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 344 alerts, AZN typically reaches +0.87% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 344
Gap Up % 39.8%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +0.53%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AZN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:27:51 $74.24 -0.48% -0.84% -0.57% -0.19% -2.53% +0.50% -0.13% -0.06% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:25:38 $70.0 -0.17% -0.32% -0.30% -0.27% +1.34% +1.56% -0.50% -0.10% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:26:48 $67.55 -0.30% -0.43% -0.49% -0.13% -1.41% +0.49% +0.04% +0.34% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:28:12 $65.52 +0.06% - -0.21% -0.35% +0.24% +0.55% -0.75% -0.02% WIN
2025-01-13 09:26:22 $65.85 +0.15% +0.47% +0.36% +0.47% -0.18% +0.55% -0.06% +0.05% WIN
2025-01-08 09:28:43 $66.15 -0.26% -0.62% -0.21% +0.36% +0.65% +0.89% -0.71% +0.09% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:27:49 $66.0 +0.18% +0.42% +0.30% +0.19% -0.18% +0.62% -0.05% +0.02% WIN
2024-12-18 09:26:43 $65.92 +0.42% +0.59% +0.49% +0.29% -1.94% +0.76% -0.18% +0.02% WIN
2024-12-02 09:29:46 $67.54 -0.25% -0.50% -0.71% -1.04% -0.74% - -0.16% -0.01% LOSS
2024-11-22 09:25:17 $65.73 -0.05% +0.25% +0.17% +1.06% -0.15% +1.10% -0.18% -0.05% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:26:38 $63.9 -0.20% -0.29% -0.28% -0.16% +0.56% +0.69% -0.58% -0.02% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:27:29 $63.88 -0.22% -0.45% +0.02% -0.21% -1.06% +0.08% -0.25% +0.02% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:26:32 $62.92 -0.05% +0.11% -0.05% - +0.75% +1.16% -0.27% +0.13% LOSS
2024-11-15 09:28:44 $63.86 -0.13% -0.58% -0.38% -0.21% -0.99% +0.28% -0.28% -0.08% LOSS
2024-11-14 09:28:09 $65.39 +0.15% +0.12% -0.12% -0.14% -0.54% +0.90% -0.30% +0.09% WIN
2024-11-13 09:25:11 $65.49 +0.19% -0.73% -0.56% -0.73% -0.31% +0.32% -0.11% - WIN
2024-11-12 09:29:17 $63.48 +0.25% +0.82% +0.82% +0.96% +2.69% +4.35% -0.85% -0.07% WIN
2024-11-11 09:25:33 $65.26 -0.31% -0.49% -0.61% -0.61% -0.72% -0.08% -0.85% -0.11% LOSS
2024-11-07 09:25:31 $63.43 +0.52% +0.44% +0.39% +0.63% +1.99% +2.07% -0.09% +0.12% WIN
2024-11-06 09:25:18 $64.43 +0.12% -0.05% -0.16% -0.11% -0.90% +0.53% -0.54% -0.14% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 52.6% Baseline on AZN

The 52.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AZN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AZN Strategy →

Why Analyze AZN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AZN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AZN historically offers an average upside of +0.87% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AZN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.6%, AZN shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AZN performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.07%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.